THE DYNAMICS OF LAND COVER CHANGE AND LEVEL OF SUSTAINABILITY DEVELOPMENT IN DEPOK CITY

The massive development of Depok City has had an impact on improving the economic level but has also caused a decline in environmental sustainability and quality. This research aims to determine trends in land cover change and predictions for the future as well as the level of sustainability of development in Depok City. Land cover change trends in Depok City were carried out using the overlay method in ArcGIS software using land cover data for 2000, 2009, and 2019. Land cover changes were predicted until 2039 using the Land Change Modeler (LCM) analysis method with a business-as-usual scenario (BAU). Meanwhile, sustainability status is analyzed using the Rapfish Multidimensional Scaling (MDS) method using data/attributes from economic, social, and environmental dimensions. The research results show that changes in land cover in Depok City from 2000 - 2019 were dominated by agriculture to residential areas. Some open land is expected to experience a significant decline by 2039, while residential areas will continue to increase. The results of the MDS Rapfish analysis show that sub-districts in Depok City have different sustainability statuses, both in economic, social, and environmental dimensions

Dynamics and Predictions of Urban Expansion in Java, Indonesia: Continuity and Change in Mega-Urbanization

This paper is situated within the discussion of mega-urbanization, a particular urbanization process that entails a large-scale agglomeration. In this paper, our focus is on urbanization in Java, Indonesia’s most dynamic region. We add to the literature by investigating the change and prediction of the land use/land cover (LULC) of mega-urbanization in Java. This research uses a vector machine approach to support the classification of land cover change dynamics, cellular automata-Markov (CA Markov), and the Klassen typology technique. This paper indicates that major metropolitan areas are still expanding in terms of built-up areas, generating a larger urban agglomeration. However, attention should be also given to the urbanization process outside existing metropolis’ boundaries given that more than half of the built-up land coverage in Java is located in non-metropolitan areas. In terms of future direction, the projection results for 2032 show that the Conservative scenario can reduce and slow down the increase in built-up land on the island of Java. On the other hand, the Spatial Plan (RTRW) scenario facilitates a rapid increase in the LULC of built-up land from 2019. The urban spatial dynamics in Java raises challenges for urban and regional planning as the process is taking place across multiple administrative authorities