¿Será Bali II un punto de inflexión?

Este ARI examina las medidas que se están tomando y aquéllas que deberían tomarse para que Indonesia pueda desarrollar una respuesta satisfactoria a la amenaza de terrorismo islamista tras el atentado de Bali del día 1 de octubre de 2005. La respuesta indonesia tras el primer incidente terrorista en Bali en 2002 fue firme, pero insuficiente. A pesar de que no faltaron datos de inteligencia antes del segundo atentando terrorista en Bali, perpetrado el día 1 de octubre de 2005, las autoridades indonesias no lograron responder adecuadamente a la amenaza. El éxito en la prevención de atentados terroristas es el mejor baremo para medir la funcionalidad de una estrategia contraterrorista. Bali II puso de manifiesto la falta de incomprensión de la magnitud de la amenaza por parte de Indonesia y la incapacidad de su Gobierno de desarrollar una estrategia global para luchar contra un movimiento yihadista de rápido crecimiento en el país. Este segundo atentado en Bali también demostró la continuada falta de liderazgo antiterrorista de Indonesia y su falta de inversión en el desarrollo de la legislación, capacitación e inteligencia adecuadas. Este ARI examina las medidas que se están tomando y las que deberían tomarse para que Indonesia pueda responder satisfactoriamente a la amenaza del terrorismo islamista tras el atentado de Bali del 1 de octubre de 2005. ¿Será Bali II otro punto de inflexión

Jemaah Islamiyah and the threat of chemical and biological terrorism

Over the course of the past decade, the possibility of the use of chemical and biological weapons (CBW) by non-state actors has been a topic of extensive academic and public debate. Originally, this debate concentrated primarily on capabilities, where the ease of acquisition of CBW materials after the breakup of the Soviet Union, as well as more widespread availability of information needed for the production and weaponization of CBW agents, were the sources of major concern. Relatively recently, the debate was brought to a more realistic level through the acknowledgment of technical hurdles associated with the successful delivery of CBW agents, as well as the possible motivational constraints involved in the decision of terrorist groups to use such weapons. Another shift in the debate was represented by the claim that the rise of religious terrorism had eroded these constraints. According to this argument, religious terrorists whose operations have been observed to be responsible for the vast majority of all casualties in terrorist attacks worldwide are believed to be unconstrained by political considerations, as their only constituency is God. Further, the ability of religious terrorists to dehumanize indiscriminately their enemies is strengthened by the perceived divine sanction of their actions

Jemaah Islamiyah and the threat of chemical and biological terrorism

Over the course of the past decade, the possibility of the use of chemical and biological weapons (CBW) by non-state actors has been a topic of extensive academic and public debate. Originally, this debate concentrated primarily on capabilities, where the ease of acquisition of CBW materials after the breakup of the Soviet Union, as well as more widespread availability of information needed for the production and weaponization of CBW agents, were the sources of major concern. Relatively recently, the debate was brought to a more realistic level through the acknowledgment of technical hurdles associated with the successful delivery of CBW agents, as well as the possible motivational constraints involved in the decision of terrorist groups to use such weapons. Another shift in the debate was represented by the claim that the rise of religious terrorism had eroded these constraints. According to this argument, religious terrorists whose operations have been observed to be responsible for the vast majority of all casualties in terrorist attacks worldwide are believed to be unconstrained by political considerations, as their only constituency is God. Further, the ability of religious terrorists to dehumanize indiscriminately their enemies is strengthened by the perceived divine sanction of their actions

The global terrorist threat forecast in 2024

The article focuses on the recent Israel-Hamas conflict and its implications for global stability and security. The article highlights how the threat is likely to evolve from a regional conflict in Middle East into a global conflict. The US, British and European support for Israel and increasing civilian death toll have sparked off endless debate. The world leaders should develop a far-reaching approach to countering the terrorist threats and protecting civilian rights. In addition, the article highlights the paramount importance of cybersecurity in responding to threat

Counterterrorism : ASEAN Militaries’ Growing Role

Following its defeat in Iraq and Syria last year the self-proclaimed Islamic State (IS) has expanded to other parts of the Muslim world including Southeast Asia by linking up with local militant groups. Countries in the region recognise the need for stronger cooperation in counter-terrorism and are increasingly roping in their militaries

Combating Terrorism: Major Shift in US Approach?

To counter the current and emerging Al Qaeda-IS hybrid threat, the US seeks to build a global ecosystem resistant to the pernicious ideology of terrorist groups. For lasting impact, the US and its allies need to address both the ideality and reality of global conflict

Forecast 2016: IS as a Networked Globalised Threat

Global terrorism will continue to pose the pre-eminent national security threat to the world in 2016. The most severe and imminent will come from Al Qaeda led by Dr Ayman Al Zawahiri, and Islamic State (IS) led by Dr Abu Bakr al Baghdadi. Its ideological and operational dimensions present a formidable challenge to both social stability and security of states

Defeating Islamic State

Contrary to earlier assessment, the so-called Islamic State (IS) can be defeated. IS support can be contained, its membership can be isolated, and its leadership can be eliminated with the right resources