Incidence, risk factors, and predictors of infective endocarditis in adult congenital heart disease: focus on the use of prosthetic material

Aims Adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) predisposes to infective endocarditis (IE). Surgical advancements have changed the ACHD population, whereas associated prosthetic material may constitute additional IE targets. We aimed to prospectively determine contemporary incidence, risk factors, and predictors of IE in a nationwide ACHD cohort, focusing on the presence of prosthetics. Methods and results We identified 14 224 patients prospectively followed in the CONCOR ACHD registry (50.5% female, median age 33.6years). IE incidence was determined using Poisson regression, risk factors and predictors using Cox regression. Overall incidence was 1.33 cases/1000 person-years (124 cases in 93 562 person-years). For risk-factor analysis, presence of prosthetics was forced-as separate time-updated variables for specific prosthetics-into a model with baseline characteristics univariably associated with IE. Valve-containing prosthetics were independently associated with greater risk both short-and long term after implantation [0-6 months: hazard ratio (HR) =17.29; 7.34-40.70, 6-12 months: HR=15.91; 6.76-37.45, beyond 12 months: HR=5.26; 3.52-7.86], non-valve-containing prosthetics, including valve repair, only in the first 6 months after implantation (HR=3.34; 1.33-8.41), not thereafter. A prediction model was derived and validated using bootstrapping techniques. Independent predictors of IE were baseline valve-containing prosthetics, main congenital heart defect, multiple defects, previous IE, and sex. The model had fair discriminative ability and provided accurate predictions up to 10 years. Conclusions This study provides IE incidence estimates, and determinants of IE risk in a nationwide ACHD cohort. Our findings, essentially informing IE prevention guidelines, indicate valve-containing prosthetics as a main determinant of IE risk whereas other prosthetics, including valve-repair, are not associated with increased risk long term after implantatio

Contemporary prevalence of pulmonary arterial hypertension in adult congenital heart disease following the updated clinical classification

The aging congenital heart disease (CHD) population is prone to develop a variety of sequelae, including pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Previous prevalence estimates are limited in applicability due to the use of tertiary centers, or database encoding only. We aimed to investigate the contemporary prevalence of PAH in adult CHD patients, using a nationwide population. A cross-sectional study was performed, using the population-based Dutch CONgenital CORvitia (CONCOR) registry. All patients born with a systemic-to-pulmonary shunt, thereby at risk of developing PAH, were identified. From this cohort, a random sample was obtained and carefully reviewed. Of 12,624 registered adults with CHD alive in 2011, 5,487 (44%) were at risk of PAH. The random sample consisted of 1,814 patients (mean age 40 ± 15 years) and 135 PAH cases were observed. PAH prevalence in patients born with a systemic-to-pulmonary shunt was 7.4%. The prevalence of PAH after corrective cardiac surgery was remarkably high (5.7%). Furthermore, PAH prevalence increased with age, from 2.5% under 30 years until 35% in the eldest. PAH prevalence in the entire CHD population was 3.2%. Based on 3000 per million adult CHD patients in the general population, we can assume that PAH-CHD is present in 100 per million. This new approach using a nationwide CHD population reports a PAH prevalence of 3.2% in CHD patients, and 100 per million in the general adult population. Especially in patients after shunt closure and the elderly, physicians should be aware of PAH-CHD, to provide optimal therapeutic and clinical car