PENGARUH PENDAPATAN NASIONAL, INFLASI, DAN SUKU BUNGA DEPOSITO TERHADAP KONSUMSI MASYARAKAT DI INDONESIA

This research is titled “Effect of National Income, Inflation and Deposit Interest Rate on Private Consumption in Indonesia”. This study aims to determine the effect of variables of National Revenue, Inflation and Deposit Interest Rate of Consumption by Indonesia Society. The data that uses in this research is secondary data which derived from Bank Indonesia’s data (BI) and Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), the data use quarterly data from the first quarter of 2000 to the second quarter of 2009. To analyze the data, this research use ECM (Error Correction Model) method, ECM is a model that is used to correct the equation of regression among the variables that individually are not stationary in order to return to equilibrium in long-term value with a requirement of the existence of cointegration relationships among variables constituent. The test statistic involves the t-test, F test, and R2 test (coefficient of determination) as well as the assumptions of classical test covering multicoleniarity test and autocorrelation test. The results of this research states that the National Income, Inflation and Deposit Interest Rate has significant effect to society consumption in long term, while in short term National Income, Inflation and Deposit Interest Rate has showing result insignificantly. Keyword : Consumption, National Income, Inflation, Deposit Interest Rat

Why do greater forest tenure rights not enthuse local communities? An early observation on the new community forestry scheme in state forests in Indonesia

The Indonesian Ministry of Environment and Forestry recently issued a 35-year permit-based social forestry, called Izin Pemanfaatan Hutan Perhutanan Sosial (IPHPS), which was implemented in forestlands managed by the State Forest Corporation (SFC). IPHPS is a unique scheme because social forestry permits were previously granted on forestland unencumbered with rights. It provides more secure tenure rights (long-term permits), greater decision-making authority, and improved profit-sharing arrangements compared with the SFC’s co-management model. However, IPHPS has not attracted widespread interest from local communities. This paper aims to identify and to analyse factors that explain local communities’ low interest in the policy. Results show that local communities have not been attracted by the scheme because it requires them to undertake substantial investments in reforestation and make several payments to the government beyond their means. This paper highlights the specific challenges related to access mechanisms and benefits to local communities from the granted rights. Lastly, local communities were prone to manipulative persuasion by the SFC to continue the co-management model

Synergy Development of “State-Representative Apparatus” in Accelerating Social Forestry Policy Outcomes in Ngawi Regency, East Java

Social forestry is a new approach to solving problems around forests, such as poverty, social inequality, and massive deforestation. Indonesia’s new social forestry policy has given local communities greater rights and legal certainty regarding their involvement in forest management. However, local communities cannot stand alone in their implementation but must collaborate with other relevant stakeholders. A qualitative descriptive approach is used in this paper to capture efforts to build synergies between stakeholders in forest management and empowerment of forest communities in Ngawi Regency and identify opportunities and challenges afterward. The results of our analysis found that the signing of the MoU can be the first step to accelerate the achievement of social forestry policy outcomes. The dichotomy between “forest” and “social” affairs is increasingly visible in the division of tasks of each stakeholder involved. There is a need for clear legal rules regarding the roles and limits of allowable intervention for Regency governments. In addition, an urgent issue that needs to be addressed is the acceleration of capacity building and the capability of local communities, which are identified as essential factors in the success of social forestry policies