Predictive model to identify multiple failure to biological therapy in patients with rheumatoid arthritis

Despite advances in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and the wide range of therapies available, there is a percentage of patients whose treatment presents a challenge for clinicians due to lack of response to multiple biologic and target-specific disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (b/tsDMARDs).To develop and validate an algorithm to predict multiple failure to biological therapy in patients with RA.Observational retrospective study involving subjects from a cohort of patients with RA receiving b/tsDMARDs.Based on the number of prior failures to b/tsDMARDs, patients were classified as either multi-refractory (MR) or non-refractory (NR). Patient characteristics were considered in the statistical analysis to design the predictive model, selecting those variables with a predictive capability. A decision algorithm known as 'classification and regression tree' (CART) was developed to create a prediction model of multi-drug resistance. Performance of the prediction algorithm was evaluated in an external independent cohort using area under the curve (AUC).A total of 136 patients were included: 51 MR and 85 NR. The CART model was able to predict multiple failures to b/tsDMARDs using disease activity score-28 (DAS-28) values at 6 months after the start time of the initial b/tsDMARD, as well as DAS-28 improvement in the first 6 months and baseline DAS-28. The CART model showed a capability to correctly classify 94.1% NR and 87.5% MR patients with a sensitivity = 0.88, a specificity = 0.94, and an AUC = 0.89 (95% CI: 0.74-1.00). In the external validation cohort, 35 MR and 47 NR patients were included. The AUC value for the CART model in this cohort was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.73-0.9).Our model correctly classified NR and MR patients based on simple measurements available in routine clinical practice, which provides the possibility to characterize and individualize patient treatments during early stages.© The Author(s), 2022

Four small supernumerary marker chromosomes derived from chromosomes 6, 8, 11 and 12 in a patient with minimal clinical abnormalities: a case report

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Introduction</p> <p>Small supernumerary marker chromosomes are still a problem in cytogenetic diagnostic and genetic counseling. This holds especially true for the rare cases with multiple small supernumerary marker chromosomes. Most such cases are reported to be clinically severely affected due to the chromosomal imbalances induced by the presence of small supernumerary marker chromosomes. Here we report the first case of a patient having four different small supernumerary marker chromosomes which, apart from slight developmental retardation in youth and non-malignant hyperpigmentation, presented no other clinical signs.</p> <p>Case presentation</p> <p>Our patient was a 30-year-old Caucasian man, delivered by caesarean section because of macrosomy. At birth he presented with bilateral cryptorchidism but no other birth defects. At age of around two years he showed psychomotor delay and a bilateral convergent strabismus. Later he had slight learning difficulties, with normal social behavior and now lives an independent life as an adult. Apart from hypogenitalism, he has multiple hyperpigmented nevi all over his body, short feet with pes cavus and claw toes. At age of 30 years, cytogenetic and molecular cytogenetic analysis revealed a karyotype of 50,XY,+min(6)(:p11.1-> q11.1:),+min(8)(:p11.1->q11.1:),+min(11)(:p11.11->q11:),+min(12)(:p11.2~12->q10:), leading overall to a small partial trisomy in 12p11.1~12.1.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Including this case, four single case reports are available in the literature with a karyotype 50,XN,+4mar. For prenatally detected multiple small supernumerary marker chromosomes in particular we learn from this case that such a cytogenetic condition may be correlated with a positive clinical outcome.</p

Risk of miscarriage after chorionic villus sampling.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the risk of miscarriage associated to chorionic villus sampling (CVS). METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study performed in eight fetal-medicine units in Spain, Belgium and Bulgaria. Two populations were included: first, all singleton pregnancies attending to their first-trimester assessment in Murcia, Spain, and second, all singleton pregnancies having a CVS following first-trimester assessment at any of the participating centers. We used propensity score matching analysis to estimate the association between CVS and miscarriage. We compared risks of miscarriage of CVS and non-CVS groups after propensity score matching (1:1 ratio). This procedure creates two comparable groups balancing the maternal and pregnancy characteristics that lead to CVS, in a similar way in which randomization operates in a randomized clinical trial. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 22,250 participants in the non-CVS group and 3,613 in the CVS group. The incidence of miscarriage in the CVS group was 2.1% (77/3,613), which was significantly higher than the 0.9% (207/22,250) in the non-CVS group (p <0.001). The propensity score algorithm matched 2,122 CVS cases with 2,122 non-CVS cases including 40 (1.9%) and 55 (2.6%) miscarriages in the CVS and non-CVS groups, respectively (OR 0.72 [95% CI 0.48 to 1.10]; p = 0.146). However, we found a significant interaction between the CVS risk of miscarriage and the risk of aneuploidies, suggesting a different effect of the CVS for different baseline characteristics in such a way that, when the risk of aneuploidies is low, the risk after CVS increases (OR 2.87 [95% CI 1.13 to 7.30]) but when the risk is high, the risk after CVS is paradoxically reduced (OR 0.47 [95% CI 0.28 to 0.76]), presumably due to prenatal diagnosis and termination of major aneuploidies that would have otherwise resulted in spontaneous miscarriage. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of miscarriage in women having a CVS is about 1% higher than in women without CVS, although this excess risk is not entirely due to the invasive procedure but to some extent the demographic and pregnancy characteristics of the patient undergoing CVS. After accounting for these risk factors and confining the analysis to low-risk pregnancies, CVS seems to increase the risk of miscarriage about three times above the patient's background-risk. Although this is a substantial increase in relative terms, in pregnancies without risk factors, the risk of miscarriage after CVS will still remain low and similar to or slightly higher than that of the general population. For example, if her risk of aneuploidy is 1 in a 1,000 (0.1%), her risk of miscarriage after CVS will increase to 0.3% (0.2% higher)

Rheumatoid arthritis response to treatment across IgG1 allotype - anti-TNF incompatibility: a case-only study.

INTRODUCTION: We have hypothesized that incompatibility between the G1m genotype of the patient and the G1m1 and G1m17 allotypes carried by infliximab (INX) and adalimumab (ADM) could decrease the efficacy of these anti-tumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) antibodies in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: The G1m genotypes were analyzed in three collections of patients with RA totaling 1037 subjects. The first, used for discovery, comprised 215 Spanish patients. The second and third were successively used for replication. They included 429 British and Greek patients and 393 Spanish and British patients, respectively. Two outcomes were considered: change in the Disease Activity Score in 28 joint (ΔDAS28) and the European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) response criteria. RESULTS: An association between less response to INX and incompatibility of the G1m1,17 allotype was found in the discovery collection at 6 months of treatment (P = 0.03). This association was confirmed in the replications (P = 0.02 and 0.08, respectively) leading to a global association (P = 0.001) that involved a mean difference in ΔDAS28 of 0.4 units between compatible and incompatible patients (2.3 ± 1.5 in compatible patients vs. 1.9 ± 1.5 in incompatible patients) and an increase in responders and decrease in non-responders according to the EULAR criteria (P = 0.03). A similar association was suggested for patients treated with ADM in the discovery collection, but it was not supported by replication. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that G1m1,17 allotypes are associated with response to INX and could aid improved therapeutic targeting in RA

International nosocomial infection control consortium (INICC) report, data summary of 36 countries, for 2004-2009

The results of a surveillance study conducted by the International Nosocomial Infection Control Consortium (INICC) from January 2004 through December 2009 in 422 intensive care units (ICUs) of 36 countries in Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Europe are reported. During the 6-year study period, using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN; formerly the National Nosocomial Infection Surveillance system [NNIS]) definitions for device-associated health care-associated infections, we gathered prospective data from 313,008 patients hospitalized in the consortium's ICUs for an aggregate of 2,194,897 ICU bed-days. Despite the fact that the use of devices in the developing countries' ICUs was remarkably similar to that reported in US ICUs in the CDC's NHSN, rates of device-associated nosocomial infection were significantly higher in the ICUs of the INICC hospitals; the pooled rate of central line-associated bloodstream infection in the INICC ICUs of 6.8 per 1,000 central line-days was more than 3-fold higher than the 2.0 per 1,000 central line-days reported in comparable US ICUs. The overall rate of ventilator-associated pneumonia also was far higher (15.8 vs 3.3 per 1,000 ventilator-days), as was the rate of catheter-associated urinary tract infection (6.3 vs. 3.3 per 1,000 catheter-days). Notably, the frequencies of resistance of Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates to imipenem (47.2% vs 23.0%), Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates to ceftazidime (76.3% vs 27.1%), Escherichia coli isolates to ceftazidime (66.7% vs 8.1%), Staphylococcus aureus isolates to methicillin (84.4% vs 56.8%), were also higher in the consortium's ICUs, and the crude unadjusted excess mortalities of device-related infections ranged from 7.3% (for catheter-associated urinary tract infection) to 15.2% (for ventilator-associated pneumonia). Copyright © 2012 by the Association for Professionals in Infection Control and Epidemiology, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved

Evaluation of appendicitis risk prediction models in adults with suspected appendicitis

Background Appendicitis is the most common general surgical emergency worldwide, but its diagnosis remains challenging. The aim of this study was to determine whether existing risk prediction models can reliably identify patients presenting to hospital in the UK with acute right iliac fossa (RIF) pain who are at low risk of appendicitis. Methods A systematic search was completed to identify all existing appendicitis risk prediction models. Models were validated using UK data from an international prospective cohort study that captured consecutive patients aged 16–45 years presenting to hospital with acute RIF in March to June 2017. The main outcome was best achievable model specificity (proportion of patients who did not have appendicitis correctly classified as low risk) whilst maintaining a failure rate below 5 per cent (proportion of patients identified as low risk who actually had appendicitis). Results Some 5345 patients across 154 UK hospitals were identified, of which two‐thirds (3613 of 5345, 67·6 per cent) were women. Women were more than twice as likely to undergo surgery with removal of a histologically normal appendix (272 of 964, 28·2 per cent) than men (120 of 993, 12·1 per cent) (relative risk 2·33, 95 per cent c.i. 1·92 to 2·84; P < 0·001). Of 15 validated risk prediction models, the Adult Appendicitis Score performed best (cut‐off score 8 or less, specificity 63·1 per cent, failure rate 3·7 per cent). The Appendicitis Inflammatory Response Score performed best for men (cut‐off score 2 or less, specificity 24·7 per cent, failure rate 2·4 per cent). Conclusion Women in the UK had a disproportionate risk of admission without surgical intervention and had high rates of normal appendicectomy. Risk prediction models to support shared decision‐making by identifying adults in the UK at low risk of appendicitis were identified

El complejo parasitario larvario de "helicoverpa armigera" Hübner sobre tomate en las Vegas del Guadiana (Extremadura)

La fauna de parasitoides larvarios de Helicoverpa armigera Hübner asociada a cultivos de tomate de industria se estudió en las Vegas del Guadiana durante el periodo 1995-1998. Se siguieron dos protocolos de muestreo: 1) muestreos puntuales en parcelas diseminadas por toda la zona de estudio y 2) muestreos sistemáticos cada 7-10 días en parcelas fijas enclavadas en La Orden, Guadajira (Badajoz) desde junio (floración-cuajado) hasta agosto-septiembre (recolección) e incluso octubre (recolección de tomate tardío). Las orugas recolectadas se individualizaron y criaron en laboratorio sobre medio semisintético hasta la finalización de su desarrollo, o muerte y emergencia de los parasitoides. El parasitismo larvario fue muy variable tanto entre campañas como a lo largo del ciclo de cultivo, alcanzándose en determinados muestreos valores totales de parasitismo bruto de casi el 70% y de parasitismo neto de hasta el 100%. El parasitoide más frecuente fue Cotesia kazak Telenga (Hym.: Braconidae) seguido de Hyposoter didymator Thunberg (Hym.: Ichneumonidae). La dinámica poblacional de ambos parasitoides difirió ostensiblemente: C. kazak se detectó a lo largo de todo el periodo muestreado, mientras que H. didymator no se manifestó desde aproximadamente mediados de julio hasta mediados de agosto. Aunque circunstancialmente se detectaron otras especies de himenópteros parasitoides, el complejo parasitario de C. kazak e H. didymator, supuso más del 95% del parasitismo larvario total en H. armigera sobre tomate en las Vegas del Guadiana. Para finalizar, se discuten diversos aspectos relacionados con la fiabilidad de los muestreos, con la concurrencia ecológica de C. kazak e H. didymator así como con la trascendencia de este complejo parasitario y su aconsejable potenciación en los programas de control integrado en tomate de industria que se ejecutan actualmente en las Vegas del Guadiana