Multiplication of Crowns

It is known that the only nite topological spaces that are H-spaces are the discrete spaces. For a nite poset which is weakly equivalent to an H-space, a generalized multiplication may be found after suitable sub-division. In this paper we construct minimal models of the k-fold generalised multiplications of circles in the category of relational structures, including poset models. In particular, we obtain higher dimensional analogues of a cer-tain ternary multiplication of crown

An SEIRS epidemic model with stochastic transmission

For an SEIRS epidemic model with stochastic perturbations on transmission from the susceptible class to the latent and infectious classes, we prove the existence of global positive solutions. For sufficiently small values of the perturbation parameter, we prove the almost surely exponential stability of the disease-free equilibrium whenever a certain invariant R? is below unity. Here R?<R, the latter being the basic reproduction number of the underlying deterministic model. Biologically, the main result has the following significance for a disease model that has an incubation phase of the pathogen: A small stochastic perturbation on the transmission rate from susceptible to infectious via the latent phase will enhance the stability of the disease-free state if both components of the perturbation are non-trivial; otherwise the stability will not be disturbed. Simulations illustrate the main stability theorem.IS

Generalizing the Hilton–Mislin genus group

For any group H, let H be the set of all isomorphism classes of groups K such that K H . For a finitely generated group H having finite commu- Ž .tator subgroup H, H , we define a group structure on H in terms of embed- dings of K into H, for groups K of which the isomorphism classes belong to Ž . H . If H is nilpotent, then the group we obtain coincides with the genus group Ž .GG H defined by Hilton and Mislin. We obtain some new results on Hilton Mislin genus groups as well as generalizations of known results

An SEIR model with infected immigrants and recovered emigrants

We present a deterministic SEIR model of the said form. The population in point can be considered as consisting of a local population together with a migrant subpopulation. The migrants come into the local population for a short stay. In particular, the model allows for a constant inflow of individuals into different classes and a constant outflow of individuals from the R-class. The system of ordinary differential equations has positive solutions and the infected classes remain above specified threshold levels. The equilibrium points are shown to be asymptotically stable. The utility of the model is demonstrated by way of an application to measles. © 2021, The Author(s)

An optimal portfolio and capital management strategy for basel III compliant commercial banks

We model a Basel III compliant commercial bank that operates in a financial market consisting of a treasury security, a marketable security, and a loan and we regard the interest rate in the market as being stochastic. We find the investment strategy that maximizes an expected utility of the bank’s asset portfolio at a future date. This entails obtaining formulas for the optimal amounts of bank capital invested in different assets. Based on the optimal investment strategy, we derive a model for the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), which the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) introduced as a measure against banks’ susceptibility to failure. Furthermore, we consider the optimal investment strategy subject to a constant CAR at the minimum prescribed level. We derive a formula for the bank’s asset portfolio at constant (minimum) CAR value and present numerical simulations on different scenarios. Under the optimal investment strategy, the CAR is above the minimum prescribed level. The value of the asset portfolio is improved if the CAR is at its (constant) minimum value

Generalizing the Hilton–Mislin genus group

For any group H, let H be the set of all isomorphism classes of groups K such that K H . For a finitely generated group H having finite commu- Ž .tator subgroup H, H , we define a group structure on H in terms of embed- dings of K into H, for groups K of which the isomorphism classes belong to Ž . H . If H is nilpotent, then the group we obtain coincides with the genus group Ž .GG H defined by Hilton and Mislin. We obtain some new results on Hilton Mislin genus groups as well as generalizations of known results

Tuberculosis in Ethiopia: Optimal intervention strategies and cost-effectiveness analysis

This paper searches for optimal strategies for the minimization of the number of high-risk latent and active tuberculosis (TB) infectious individuals using real data from Ethiopia. Optimal control theory is harnessed for investigation and analysis of the optimal combination of interventions for controlling the transmission of TB using distancing, case finding, and case holding as controls. We calculate and compare the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for each of the strategies to determine the most effective combination of interventions for curbing the spread of the disease. Our findings suggest that, for optimal cost-effective management of the TB disease, the government of Ethiopia must focus more on prevention strategies such as isolation of infectious people, early TB patient detection, treatment, and educational programs. The optimal strategy is quantified through simulation

Modeling the dynamics of an epidemic under vaccination in two interacting populations

Mathematical modeling of the numerical evolution of infectious diseases has become an important tool for disease control and eradication when possible. Much work has been done on the problem of how a given population is affected by another population when there is mutual interaction. The mere presence of migrant people poses a challenge to whatever health systems are in place in a particular region. Such epidemiological phenomena have been studied extensively, described by mathematical models with suggestions for intervention strategies. The epidemiological effect of migration within the population itself was modeled for sleeping sickness in a paper 1 by Chalvet-Monfray et al. In the case of malaria, there is for instance a study 2 by Tumwiine et al. on the effect of migrating people on a fixed population. The latter two diseases are vector borne. Diseases that propagate without a vector spread perhaps more easily when introduced into a new region. Various studies of models with immigration of infectives have been undertaken for tuberculosis, see for instance 3 by Zhou et al., or the work 4 of Jia et al., and for HIV, see the paper 5 of Naresh et al

Stochastic modeling of a mosquito-borne disease

We present and analyze a stochastic differential equation (SDE) model for the population dynamics of a mosquito-borne infectious disease. We prove the solutions to be almost surely positive and global. We introduce a numerical invariant R of the model with R<1 being a condition guaranteeing the almost sure stability of the disease-free equilibrium. We show that stochastic perturbations enhance the stability of the disease-free equilibrium of the underlying deterministic model. We illustrate the main stability theorem through simulations and show how to obtain interval estimates when making forward projections. We consulted a wide range of literature to find relevant numerical parameter values

A stochastic population model of cholera disease

A cholera population model with stochastic transmission and stochasticity on the environmental reservoir of the cholera bacteria is presented. It is shown that solutions are well-behaved. In comparison with the underlying deterministic model, the stochastic perturbation is shown to enhance stability of the disease-free equilibrium. The main extinction theorem is formulated in terms of an invariant which is a modification of the basic reproduction number of the underlying deterministic model. As an application, the model is calibrated as for a certain province of Nigeria. In particular, a recent outbreak (2019) in Nigeria is analysed and featured through simulations. Simulations include making forward projections in the form of confidence intervals. Also, the extinction theorem is illustrated through simulations