Improved prediction of early cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis combining blood and imaging biomarkers

Disability in multiple sclerosis is generally classified by sensory and motor symptoms, yet cognitive impairment has been identified as a frequent manifestation already in the early disease stages. Imaging- and more recently blood-based biomarkers have become increasingly important for understanding cognitive decline associated with multiple sclerosis. Thus, we sought to determine the prognostic utility of serum neurofilament light chain levels alone and in combination with MRI markers by examining their ability to predict cognitive impairment in early multiple sclerosis. A comprehensive and detailed assessment of 152 early multiple sclerosis patients (Expanded Disability Status Scale: 1.3 ± 1.2, mean age: 33.0 ± 10.0 years) was performed, which included serum neurofilament light chain measurement, MRI markers (i.e. T2-hyperintense lesion volume and grey matter volume) acquisition and completion of a set of cognitive tests (Symbol Digits Modalities Test, Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test, Verbal Learning and Memory Test) and mood questionnaires (Hospital Anxiety and Depression scale, Fatigue Scale for Motor and Cognitive Functions). Support vector regression, a branch of unsupervised machine learning, was applied to test serum neurofilament light chain and combination models of biomarkers for the prediction of neuropsychological test performance. The support vector regression results were validated in a replication cohort of 101 early multiple sclerosis patients (Expanded Disability Status Scale: 1.1 ± 1.2, mean age: 34.4 ± 10.6 years). Higher serum neurofilament light chain levels were associated with worse Symbol Digits Modalities Test scores after adjusting for age, sex Expanded Disability Status Scale, disease duration and disease-modifying therapy (B = −0.561; SE = 0.192; P = 0.004; 95% CI = −0.940 to −0.182). Besides this association, serum neurofilament light chain levels were not linked to any other cognitive or mood measures (all P-values > 0.05). The tripartite combination of serum neurofilament light chain levels, lesion volume and grey matter volume showed a cross-validated accuracy of 88.7% (90.8% in the replication cohort) in predicting Symbol Digits Modalities Test performance in the support vector regression approach, and outperformed each single biomarker (accuracy range: 68.6–75.6% and 68.9–77.8% in the replication cohort), as well as the dual biomarker combinations (accuracy range: 71.8–82.3% and 72.6–85.6% in the replication cohort). Taken together, early neuro-axonal loss reflects worse information processing speed, the key deficit underlying cognitive dysfunction in multiple sclerosis. Our findings demonstrate that combining blood and imaging measures improves the accuracy of predicting cognitive impairment, highlighting the clinical utility of cross-modal biomarkers in multiple sclerosis

Sex-specific signatures of intrinsic hippocampal networks and regional integrity underlying cognitive status in multiple sclerosis

The hippocampus is an anatomically compartmentalized structure embedded in highly wired networks that are essential for cognitive functions. The hippocampal vulnerability has been postulated in acute and chronic neuroinflammation in multiple sclerosis, while the patterns of occurring inflammation, neurodegeneration or compensation have not yet been described. Besides focal damage to hippocampal tissue, network disruption is an important contributor to cognitive decline in multiple sclerosis patients. We postulate sex-specific trajectories in hippocampal network reorganization and regional integrity and address their relationship to markers of neuroinflammation, cognitive/memory performance and clinical severity. In a large cohort of multiple sclerosis patients (n = 476; 337 females, age 35 ± 10 years, disease duration 16 ± 14 months) and healthy subjects (n = 110, 54 females; age 34 ± 15 years), we utilized MRI at baseline and at 2-year follow-up to quantify regional hippocampal volumetry and reconstruct single-subject hippocampal networks. Through graph analytical tools we assessed the clustered topology of the hippocampal networks. Mixed-effects analyses served to model sex-based differences in hippocampal network and subfield integrity between multiple sclerosis patients and healthy subjects at both time points and longitudinally. Afterwards, hippocampal network and subfield integrity were related to clinical and radiological variables in dependency of sex attribution. We found a more clustered network architecture in both female and male patients compared to their healthy counterparts. At both time points, female patients displayed a more clustered network topology in comparison to male patients. Over time, multiple sclerosis patients developed an even more clustered network architecture, though with a greater magnitude in females. We detected reduced regional volumes in most of the addressed hippocampal subfields in both female and male patients compared to healthy subjects. Compared to male patients, females displayed lower volumes of para- and presubiculum but higher volumes of the molecular layer. Longitudinally, volumetric alterations were more pronounced in female patients, which showed a more extensive regional tissue loss. Despite a comparable cognitive/memory performance between female and male patients over the follow-up period, we identified a strong interrelation between hippocampal network properties and cognitive/memory performance only in female patients. Our findings evidence a more clustered hippocampal network topology in female patients with a more extensive subfield volume loss over time. A stronger relation between cognitive/memory performance and the network topology in female patients suggests greater entrainment of the brain's reserve. These results may serve to adapt sex-targeted neuropsychological interventions