Predicting central line-associated bloodstream infections and mortality using supervised machine learning

The purpose of this study was to compare machine learning techniques for predicting central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI). The Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III database was queried for all ICU admissions. The variables included six different severities of illness scores calculated on the first day of ICU admission with their components and comorbidities. The outcomes of interest were in-hospital mortality, central line placement, and CLABSI. Predictive models were created for these outcomes using classifiers with different algorithms: logistic regression, gradient boosted trees, and deep learning. There were 57,786 total hospital admissions and the mortality rate was 10.1%. There were 38.4% patients with a central line and the rate of CLABSI was 1.5%. The classifiers using deep learning performed with the highest AUC for mortality, 0.885±0.010 (p<0.01) and central line placement, 0.816±0.006 (p<0.01). The classifier using logistic regression for predicting CLABSI performed with an AUC of 0.722±0.048 (p<0.01). This study demonstrates models for identifying patients who will develop CLABSI. Early identification of these patients has implications for quality, cost, and outcome improvements. •Machine learning has proven to be useful for developing prediction models for outcomes in intensive care unit patients.•This study uses illness severity scores and comorbidities provided to train artificial intelligence classifiers.•These classifiers were highly accurate for predicting central line-associated bloodstream infections and mortality.•Such predictive models can be incorporated into existing medical record systems to support clinical decision making

Thirty-day readmissions following parathyroidectomy: Evidence from the National Readmissions Database, 2013-2014

Parathyroidectomy is one of the most common procedures performed in the United States, and are increasingly being performed safely in the outpatient setting. However, complications from surgery can be life-threatening, and thus an understanding of who may be at risk is essential. We analyzed and compared the risk factors for patients readmitted within 30 days following inpatient parathyroidectomy for primary or secondary hyperparathyroidism. We reviewed the National Readmissions Database from 2013 to 2014 for patients who received inpatient parathyroidectomy for primary or secondary hyperparathyroidism. The primary outcome was non-elective readmission within 30 days. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze risk factor odds ratios for readmission. 7171 patients underwent inpatient parathyroidectomies in 2013 and 2014. 59.89% of parathyroidectomies were performed for primary hyperparathyroidism, with a 5.6% readmission rate. Most common causes of readmission were septicemia (13.69%), hypocalcemia (12.86%), heart failure (10.79%) and renal failure (9.54%). Having Medicare (OR: 1.71, CI:1.14-2.59, p = .01), Medicaid (OR: 3.24, CI: 2.03-5.17, p < .001), and self-paying (OR: 2.43, CI: 1.11-5.32, p = .02), were associated with increased odds of readmission for those with primary hyperparathyroidism. 21.99% of parathyroidectomies were performed for secondary hyperparathyroidism, with a 19.4% readmission rate. Most common causes of readmission were hypocalcemia (22.88%), hungry bone syndrome (14.38%), electrolyte disorders (13.73%), and renal failure (11.11%). Patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism are older, poorer and have more comorbidities than patients with primary hyperparathyroidism, and are more likely to be readmitted within 30 days of parathyroidectomy

Hidden Readmissions after Carotid Endarterectomy and Stenting

Historically, carotid procedures incur a readmission rate of approximately 6%; however, these studies are not nationally representative and are limited to tracking only the index hospitals. We sought to evaluate a nationally representative database for readmission rates (including different hospitals) after both carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid artery stenting (CAS) and determine risk factors for poor outcomes including postoperative mortality and myocardial infarction. This study was a retrospective analysis utilizing the 2010–2014 Nationwide Readmissions Database to query patients aged >18 years undergoing CEA or CAS. Outcomes included initial admission mortality, and 30-day readmission, including mortality and myocardial infarction (MI). Univariable analysis of 39 demographic, clinical, and hospital variables was conducted with significance set at P < 0.05. Significant variables were included in a multivariable logistic regression to identify independent risk factors for readmission. Results were weighted for national estimates. There were 527,622 patients undergoing carotid procedures and 13% (n = 69,187) underwent CAS. The 30-day readmission rate was 7% (n = 35,782), and of those, 25% (n = 8,862) were readmitted to a different hospital. When controlling for other factors, CAS was a risk factor for mortality at both index admission (odds ratio [OR] 2.29 [2.11–2.49]) and 30-day readmission (OR 1.48 [1.3–1.69]) and 30-day readmissions at both index hospital (OR 1.11 [1.07–1.14]) and different hospital (OR 1.38 [1.29–1.48]). Readmission to a different hospital increased mortality risk (OR 1.45 [1.29–1.63]) but did not have an effect on MI. Postoperative infections comprised 15% of readmissions while 6% of all readmissions were for stroke. Previously unreported, one in 4 readmissions after carotid procedures occur at a different hospital and this fragmentation of care could increase mortality risk after carotid procedures particularly for CAS which was also an independent risk factor for postoperative mortality and readmissions. Further validation is required to decrease unnecessary hospital after carotid procedures

Assessment of neuromonitoring use and postoperative readmission rates in pediatric Chiari I malformation with syrinx

Introduction While operative intervention for Chiari malformation type I (CMI) with syringomyelia is well established, there is limited data on outcomes of intraoperative neuromonitoring (IONM). This study sought to explore differences in procedural characteristics and their effects on postoperative readmission rates. Methods The Nationwide Readmission Database was queried from 2010 to 2014 for patients = 1 (16% vs. 15% without, p = 0.774). IONM was more often used in those with private insurance (63% vs. 58% without, p = 0.0004) and less likely in those with Medicaid (29% vs. 37% without, p = 0.004). Patients receiving IONM were more likely to have a postoperative complication (23% vs 17%, p = 0.004) and were more likely to have hospital lengths of stay > 7 days (9% vs. 5% without, p = 0.005). Readmission rates for CMI were 9% within 30 days and 15% within the year. The majority (89%) of readmissions were unplanned. 25% of readmissions were for infection and 27% of readmissions underwent a CMI reoperation. The 30-day readmission rate was higher for those with IONM (12% vs. 8% without, p = 0.010). Median cost for hospitalization was significantly higher for patients with IONM ($26,663 ($16,933-34,397)) vs. those without ($14,577 ($11,538-18,392)), p < 0.001. Conclusion The use of intraoperative neuromonitoring for operative repair of CMI is associated with higher postoperative complications and readmissions. In addition, there are disparities in its use and increased cost to the healthcare system. Further studies are needed to elucidate the factors underlying this association

Uncovering Risk Factors and Outcomes of Pulmonary Embolism in a Nationwide Cohort of Hospitalized Children

PURPOSEThe incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE) in hospitalized children has increased in recent years. This study sought to characterize factors and outcomes associated with PE using a national pediatric cohort.METHODSThe Nationwide Readmissions Database was queried (2016-2018) for patients (12 years old (77%). One-third had a known deep vein thrombosis (69% lower and 31% upper extremity). Nineteen percent underwent central venous catheter (CVC) placement. Twenty-one percent had a PH within 1 year. Nine percent underwent an operation with the majority being cardiothoracic (5%). Overall mortality was 5%. Neurocranial surgery, cardiothoracic surgery, and CVC placement were associated with the highest odds of inpatient mortality after logistic regression.CONCLUSIONPediatric patients with PE have a high rate of PHs, CVC placement, and inpatient operations, which may be associated with higher mortality. This information can be utilized to improve screening measures and clinical suspicion for PE in hospitalized children

Identifying Abuse and Neglect in Hospitalized Children With Burn Injuries

The purpose of this study was to identify the pattern of injuries that relates to abuse and neglect in children with burn injuries. The Nationwide Readmissions Database for 2010-2014 was queried for all patients aged less than 18 y admitted with burn injuries. The primary outcome was child maltreatment identified at the index admission. The secondary outcome was readmission for maltreatment. A subgroup analysis was performed on patients without a diagnosis of maltreatment during the index admission. Multivariable logistic regression was performed for each outcome. There were 57,939 admissions identified and 1960 (3.4%) involved maltreatment at the index admission. Maltreatment was associated with total body surface area burned >20% (odds ratio (OR) 2.79, P < 0.001) and burn of the lower limbs (OR 1.37, P < 0.001). Readmission for maltreatment was found in 120 (0.2%), and the strongest risk factor was maltreatment identified at the index admission (OR 5.11, P < 0.001). After excluding the patients with maltreatment identified at the index admission, 96 (0.17%) children were found to have a readmission for maltreatment that may have been present on the index admission and subsequently missed. The strongest risk factor was burn of the eye or ocular adnexa (OR 3.79, P = 0.001). This study demonstrates that a portion of admissions for burn injuries in children could involve maltreatment that was undiagnosed. Identifying these at-risk individuals is critical to prevention efforts

Readmission for infection after blunt splenic injury: A national comparison of management techniques

As nonoperative management (NOM) of blunt splenic injury (BSI) increases, understanding risks, especially infectious complications, becomes more important. There are no national studies on BSI outcomes that track readmissions across hospitals. Prior studies demonstrate that infection is a major cause of readmission after trauma and that a significant proportion is readmitted to different hospitals. The purpose of this study was to compare nationwide outcomes of different treatment modalities for BSI including readmissions to different hospitals. The Nationwide Readmissions Database for 2010 to 2014 was queried for patients 18 years to 64 years old admitted nonelectively with a primary diagnosis of BSI. Organ space infection; a composite infectious incidence of surgical site infection (SSI), urinary tract infection, and pneumonia; and sepsis were identified in three groups: NOM, splenic artery embolization (SAE), and operative management (OM). Rates of infection were quantified during index admission and 30-day and 1-year readmission. Multivariable logistic regression was performed. Results were weighted for national estimates. Of the 37,986 patients admitted for BSI, 54.1% underwent NOM, 12.2% SAE, and 33.7% OM. Compared with OM and NOM, SAE had the highest rates of organ space SSI at 1 year (3.9% vs. 2.2% vs. 1.7%, p < 0.001). Compared with NOM, at 1 year, SAE had higher rates of infection (17.2% vs. 8.1%, p < 0.001) and sepsis (3.2% vs. 1.1%, p < 0.001). Compared with NOM, SAE had an increased risk of infection (odds ratio [OR], 1.24; 95 confidence interval [95% CI], 1.10-1.39; p < 0.001) and sepsis (OR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.06-1.76; p < 0.001) at 1 year. At 1 year, SAE had increased risk of organ space SSI (OR, 1.99; 1.60-2.47; p < 0.001) but OM did not. Blunt splenic injury treated with SAE is at increased risk of both immediate and long-term infectious complications. Despite being considered splenic preservation, surgeons should be aware of these risks and incorporate such knowledge into their practice accordingly. Epidemiological study, level IV