A Flexible Nonlinear Feedback System That Captures Diverse Patterns of Adaptation and Rebound

An important approach to modeling tolerance and adaptation employs feedback mechanisms in which the response to the drug generates a counter-regulating action which affects the response. In this paper we analyze a family of nonlinear feedback models which has recently proved effective in modeling tolerance phenomena such as have been observed with SSRI’s. We use dynamical systems methods to exhibit typical properties of the response-time course of these nonlinear models, such as overshoot and rebound, establish quantitive bounds and explore how these properties depend on the system and drug parameters. Our analysis is anchored in three specific in vivo data sets which involve different levels of pharmacokinetic complexity. Initial estimates for system (kin, kout, ktol ) and drug (EC50/IC50, Emax/Imax, n ) parameters are obtained on the basis of specific properties of the response-time course, identified in the context of exploratory (graphical) data analysis. Our analysis and the application of its results to the three concrete examples demonstrates the flexibility and potential of this family of feedback models

Ribavirin-Induced Anemia in Hepatitis C Virus Patients Undergoing Combination Therapy

The current standard of care for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection – combination therapy with pegylated interferon and ribavirin – elicits sustained responses in only ∼50% of the patients treated. No alternatives exist for patients who do not respond to combination therapy. Addition of ribavirin substantially improves response rates to interferon and lowers relapse rates following the cessation of therapy, suggesting that increasing ribavirin exposure may further improve treatment response. A key limitation, however, is the toxic side-effect of ribavirin, hemolytic anemia, which often necessitates a reduction of ribavirin dosage and compromises treatment response. Maximizing treatment response thus requires striking a balance between the antiviral and hemolytic activities of ribavirin. Current models of viral kinetics describe the enhancement of treatment response due to ribavirin. Ribavirin-induced anemia, however, remains poorly understood and precludes rational optimization of combination therapy. Here, we develop a new mathematical model of the population dynamics of erythrocytes that quantitatively describes ribavirin-induced anemia in HCV patients. Based on the assumption that ribavirin accumulation decreases erythrocyte lifespan in a dose-dependent manner, model predictions capture several independent experimental observations of the accumulation of ribavirin in erythrocytes and the resulting decline of hemoglobin in HCV patients undergoing combination therapy, estimate the reduced erythrocyte lifespan during therapy, and describe inter-patient variations in the severity of ribavirin-induced anemia. Further, model predictions estimate the threshold ribavirin exposure beyond which anemia becomes intolerable and suggest guidelines for the usage of growth hormones, such as erythropoietin, that stimulate erythrocyte production and avert the reduction of ribavirin dosage, thereby improving treatment response. Our model thus facilitates, in conjunction with models of viral kinetics, the rational identification of treatment protocols that maximize treatment response while curtailing side effects