Comparing the performance of the palliative prognostic (PaP) score with clinical predictions of survival: A systematic review

BACKGROUND: In patients with advanced cancer, prognosis is usually determined using clinicians' predictions of survival (CPS). The palliative prognostic (PaP) score is a prognostic algorithm that was developed to predict survival in patients with advanced cancer. The score categorises patients into three risk groups in accordance with their probability of surviving for 30 days. The relative accuracy of PaP and CPS is unclear. DESIGN: This was a systematic review of MEDLINE, Embase, AMED, CINAHL Plus and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Trials from inception up to June 2021. The inclusion criteria were studies in adults with advanced cancer reporting data on performance of both PaP and CPS. Data were extracted on accuracy of prognoses and where available on discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve or C-index) and/or diagnostic performance (sensitivity, specificity). RESULTS: Eleven studies were included. One study reported a direct comparison between PaP risk groups and equivalent risk groups defined by CPS and found that PaP was as accurate as CPS. Five studies reported discrimination of PaP as a continuous total score (rather than using the previously validated risk categories) and reported C-statistics that ranged from 0.64 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.54, 0.74) up to 0.90 (95% CI 0.87, 0.92). Other studies compared PaP against CPS using non-equivalent metrics (e.g. comparing probability estimates against length of survival estimates). CONCLUSIONS: PaP risk categories and CPS are equally able to discriminate between patients with different survival probabilities. Total PaP scores show good discrimination between patients in accordance with their length of survival. The role of PaP in clinical practice still needs to be defined. TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (CRD42021241074, 5th March 2021)

Vascularity and perfusion of human gliomas xenografted in the athymic nude mouse.

The vascularisation and perfusion of seven subcutaneously xenografted human glioma lines established from surgical specimens has been analysed using an anti-collagen type IV antibody to visualise the vascular walls in combination with a perfusion marker (Hoechst 33342). A computer-based digital image processing system was employed for quantitative analysis of the parameters. The vascular architecture of individual tumours belonging to the same tumour line showed a consistent similarity, while substantial differences occurred between the various tumour lines derived from different patients. Despite the presence of a large inter-tumour variation in vascular area as a proportion of the tumour area, this vascular parameter clearly showed tumour line-specific characteristics. The perfused fraction of the tumour vessels also showed a large inter-tumour variation for all tumour lines ranging from 20% to 85%, but the majority of tumours of all lines had perfusion fractions of more than 55%. Despite large variation, the perfused vascular area as a proportion of the tumour cross-sectional area exhibited clear tumour line-specific tendencies. These observations suggest that consistent differences in vascular parameters are present between glioma xenograft lines, although the tumour lines all originated from histologically similar human high-grade gliomas. These differences may have important consequences for treatment and clinical behaviour of this type of tumour

Online randomised controlled trial to improve clinical estimates of survival (ORACLES): study design

Introduction: Clinicians often struggle to recognise whether palliative care patients are imminently dying.1 2 A previous study identified the factors that expert palliative care doctors (with demonstrated prognostic skills) had used to judge the probability of patients dying within 72 hours. / Aim and methods: To evaluate whether an online training resource can teach medical students to formulate survival estimates for palliative care patients that are more similar to experts’ estimates. In this online randomised controlled trial we will recruit 128 students in the penultimate/final year of medical school. Participants are asked to review three series of vignettes describing patients referred to palliative care and provide estimates (0%–100%) about the probability that patients will die within 72 hours. After the first series of vignettes students in the intervention arm are given access to the training resource showing how experts weighted the various symptoms/signs. Participants are asked to complete a second series of vignettes and then a third series after two weeks to assess if any effect has been maintained. Results Students’ survival estimates will be correlated with experts’ estimates to determine the baseline level of agreement and any changes following the intervention. The primary outcome will be the survival estimates provided in the second series of vignettes. Secondary outcomes include the estimates provided at the follow-up the weighting of symptoms/signs and levels of discrimination and consistency. / Conclusion: This study will provide evidence about whether a brief low-cost online training resource can influence how medical students make prognostic decisions in an experimental setting

Protocol for the ORaClES study: An online randomised controlled trial to improve clinical estimates of survival using a training resource for medical students

Copyright © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Introduction Clinicians often struggle to recognise when palliative care patients are imminently dying (last 72 hours of life). A previous study identified the factors that expert palliative care doctors (with demonstrated prognostic skills) had used, to form a judgement about which patients were imminently dying. This protocol describes a study to evaluate whether an online training resource showing how experts weighted the importance of various symptoms and signs can teach medical students to formulate survival estimates for palliative care patients that are more similar to the experts' estimates. Methods and analysis This online double-blind randomised controlled trial will recruit at least 128 students in the penultimate or final year of medical school in the UK. Participants are asked to review three series of vignettes describing patients referred to palliative care and provide an estimate about the probability (0%-100%) that each patient will die within 72 hours. After the first series, students randomised to the intervention arm are given access to an online training resource. All participants are asked to complete a second series of vignettes. After 2 weeks, all participants are asked to complete a third series. The primary outcome will be the probability of death estimates (0%-100%) provided by students in the intervention and control arms for the second series of vignettes. Secondary outcomes include the maintenance effect at 2-week follow-up, weighting of individual symptoms and signs, and level of expertise (discrimination and consistency). Ethics and dissemination Approval has been obtained from the UCL Research Ethics Committee (8675/002) and local approvals will be obtained as appropriate. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals using an open access format and presented at academic conferences. We will also publicise our findings on the Marie Curie website. Trial registration number NCT03360812; Pre-results.Marie Curie I-CAN-CARE Programme grant (MCCC-FPO-16-U); Professor Stone is supported by the Marie Curie Chair’s grant (MCCC-509537)

Games, Simulations, Immersive Environments, and Emerging Technologies

International audienceThis entry presents an overview of advanced technologies to support teaching and learning. The use of innovative interactive systems for education has never been higher. Far from being just a trend, the objective is to use the current technology to cover educational needs and create relevant pedagogical situations. The arguments in their favor are generally their positive effects on learners’ motivation and the necessity to provide learning methods adapted to our growing digital culture. The new learning technologies and emerging trends are first reviewed hereunder. We thus define and discuss learning games, gamification, simulation, immersive environments and other emerging technologies. Then, the current limits and remaining scientific challenges are highlighted

Games in Higher Education

International audienceThis entry presents an overview of how and why Learning Games are used in higher education.Learning Games can be defined as games that are designed to captivate the learners’ attention and facilitate their learning process. They have explicit educational purposes and can be used for teaching at all levels of education. All types of games can be used for learning: board games, card games, role-playing games, First Person Shooter games, simulation games, management games, puzzle games, treasure hunts…The main characteristic of Learning Games for higher education is the fact that they are designed to teach specific complex skills taught at university or during professional training programs. Unfortunately, it is not infrequent to observe strong opposition on the part of this target audience to this mode of learning, that these adult students associate with children.The use of Learning Games in primary school seems natural to teachers and is encouraged by specialists in didactics and neuroscience. This learning technique is much less frequently used in middle school and is almost completely absent from higher education. Yet teachers at all these levels are faced with the same problems, such as lack of motivation and investment, for which games are known to be an effective solution. This entry presents an overview of the games that can be used for higher education and the reasons why some teachers and students still show resistance to this type of learning. The numerous advantages of games for higher education will then be presented, citing games presently used in universities, in graduate schools and for professional training. Finally, thisDraft : Marfisi-Schottman I. (2019) Games in Higher Education. In: Tatnall A. (eds) Encyclopedia of Education and Information Technologies. Springer, Chamentry presents the current research questions that need to be addressed concerning the design of games for higher education and the acceptance of these games by teachers

Influence of head models on neuromagnetic fields and inverse source localizations

BACKGROUND: The magnetoencephalograms (MEGs) are mainly due to the source currents. However, there is a significant contribution to MEGs from the volume currents. The structure of the anatomical surfaces, e.g., gray and white matter, could severely influence the flow of volume currents in a head model. This, in turn, will also influence the MEGs and the inverse source localizations. This was examined in detail with three different human head models. METHODS: Three finite element head models constructed from segmented MR images of an adult male subject were used for this study. These models were: (1) Model 1: full model with eleven tissues that included detailed structure of the scalp, hard and soft skull bone, CSF, gray and white matter and other prominent tissues, (2) the Model 2 was derived from the Model 1 in which the conductivity of gray matter was set equal to the white matter, i.e., a ten tissuetype model, (3) the Model 3 consisted of scalp, hard skull bone, CSF, gray and white matter, i.e., a five tissue-type model. The lead fields and MEGs due to dipolar sources in the motor cortex were computed for all three models. The dipolar sources were oriented normal to the cortical surface and had a dipole moment of 100 μA meter. The inverse source localizations were performed with an exhaustive search pattern in the motor cortex area. A set of 100 trial inverse runs was made covering the 3 cm cube motor cortex area in a random fashion. The Model 1 was used as a reference model. RESULTS: The reference model (Model 1), as expected, performed best in localizing the sources in the motor cortex area. The Model 3 performed the worst. The mean source localization errors (MLEs) of the Model 3 were larger than the Model 1 or 2. The contour plots of the magnetic fields on top of the head were also different for all three models. The magnetic fields due to source currents were larger in magnitude as compared to the magnetic fields of volume currents. DISCUSSION: These results indicate that the complexity of head models strongly influences the MEGs and the inverse source localizations. A more complex head model performs better in inverse source localizations as compared to a model with lesser tissue surfaces

The Impairment of ILK Related Angiogenesis Involved in Cardiac Maladaptation after Infarction

Background: Integrin linked kinase (ILK), as an important component of mechanical stretch sensor, can initiate cellular signaling response in the heart when cardiac preload increases. Previous work demonstrated increased ILK expression could induce angiogenesis to improved heart function after MI. However the patholo-physiological role of ILK in cardiac remodeling after MI is not clear. Method and Results: Hearts were induced to cardiac remodeling by infarction and studied in Sprague-Dawley rats. Until 4 weeks after infarction, ILK expression was increased in non-ischemic tissue in parallel with myocytes hypertrophy and compensatory cardiac function. 8 weeks later, when decompensation of heart function occurred, ILK level returned to baseline. Followed ILK alternation, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) expression and phosphorylation of endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) was significantly decreased 8 weeks after MI. Histology study also showed significantly microvessel decreased and myocytes loss 8 weeks paralleled with ILK down-regualtion. While ILK expression was maintained by gene delivery, tissue angiogenesis and cardiac function was preserved during cardiac remodeling. Conclusion: Temporally up-regulation of ILK level in non-ischemic myocytes by increased external load is associated with beneficial angiogenesis to maintain infarction-induced cardiac hypertrophy. When ILK expression returns to normal, this cardiac adaptive response for infarction is weaken. Understanding the ILK related mechanism of cardiac maladaptatio

Marrow angiogenesis-associated factors as prognostic biomarkers in patients with acute myelogenous leukaemia

Bone marrow (BM) neoangiogenesis plays an important role in acute myelogenous leukaemia (AML), and depends on the interplay of members of the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and angiopoietin (Ang) families. We determined the marrow levels of seven molecules associated with angiogenesis in 52 AML patients before chemotherapy and 20 healthy controls: VEGF-A, VEGF/PlGF, VEGF-C, VEGF-D, Ang-1, Ang-2, and Tie-2. All the molecules were quantified using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Comparing to normal controls, the marrow levels of VEGF/PlGF, Ang-2, and Tie-2 were significantly higher, and those of VEGF-C and Ang-1 were significantly lower in the AML patients (P<0.001). A total of 31 patients were further subjected to survival analysis. Patients with lower Tie-2 (<26 ng ml−1) and Ang-2 levels (<4500 pg ml−1) displayed a survival advantage (P=0.037 and 0.042, respectively), same as patients with higher VEGF/PlGF (⩾1 pg ml−1) and VEGF-D levels (⩾350 pg ml−1) (P=0.020 and 0.016, respectively). An angio-index ((Ang-2 × Tie-2)/(VEGF/PlGF × VEGF-D)) was established and multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that patients with higher angio-index values (⩾50) displayed poor prognosis (hazard ratio 5.91, 95% confidence interval 1.99–17.56; P=0.001). The angio-index is closely associated with the clinical outcome of AML patients and may be valuable in disease prognosis