Time-Dependent Changes of Laboratory Parameters as Independent Predictors of All-Cause Mortality in COVID-19 Patients

Independent predictors of mortality for COVID-19 patients have been identified upon hospital admission; however, how they behave after hospitalization remains unknown. The aim of this study is to identify clinical and laboratory parameters from admission to discharge or death that distinguish survivors and non-survivors of COVID-19, including those with independent ability to predict mortality. In a cohort of 266 adult patients, clinical and laboratory data were analyzed from admission and throughout hospital stay until discharge or death. Upon admission, non-survivors had significantly increased C reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (p < 0.0001, each), ferritin (p < 0.001), and AST (aspartate transaminase) (p = 0.009) compared to survivors. During the hospital stay, deceased patients maintained elevated CRP (21.7 mg/dL [admission] vs. 19.3 [hospitalization], p = 0.060), ferritin, neutrophil count and NLR. Conversely, survivors showed significant reductions in CRP (15.8 mg/dL [admission] vs. 9.3 [hospitalization], p < 0.0001], ferritin, neutrophil count and NLR during hospital stay. Upon admission, elevated CRP, ferritin, and diabetes were independent predictors of mortality, as were persistently high CRP, neutrophilia, and the requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation during hospital stay. Inflammatory and clinical parameters distinguishing survivors from non-survivors upon admission changed significantly during hospital stay. These markers warrant close evaluation to monitor and predict patients’ outcome once hospitalized

Renal and brain failure predict mortality of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit

Introduction and Objectives: Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is characterized by organ failure and high 28-day mortality. Identifying clinical predictors associated with early mortality could have implications for the treatment of patients with ACLF. Patients and methods: Patients diagnosed with chronic liver failure that developed ACLF based on the EASL-CLIF Consortium definition admitted to the Intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital between 2012–2018 were included. Bivariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with mortality. Results: 148 patients (55% female) were diagnosed with ACLF of which 55% (n = 82) had ACLF grade 3, 28% (n = 41) grade 2 and 17% (n = 25) grade 1. The median age was 54 years (41-63). Hepatitis C virus (HCV) was the most frequent etiology in 29.8% (n = 44) of the patients with bacterial infection being the most predominant precipitant factor in 58.1% (n = 86). Ninety-day global cumulative survival was only 18%. When divided by grade, mortality reached to 10% in ACLF 3. Moreover, in the multivariate Cox regression analysis, renal failure (HR 3.26, 95% CI (2.13–4.99), brain failure (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.09–2.04) and male sex (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.10–2.40) were independent predictors of 28- and 90-day mortality. Conclusions: ACLF is a frequent syndrome among chronic liver disease patients. Brain and renal failure are significantly associated with higher mortality and are independent predictors of 28 and 90-day mortality

Consensus document on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) established by the Mexican Association of Hepatology

Acute-on chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been an intensively debated topic mainly due to the lack of a unified definition and diagnostic criteria. The growing number of publications describing the mechanisms of ACLF development, the progression of the disease, outcomes and treatment has contributed to a better understanding of the disease, however, it has also sparked the debate about this condition. As an attempt to provide medical professionals with a more uniform definition that could be applied to our population, the first Mexican consensus was performed by a panel of experts in the area of hepatology in Mexico. We used the most relevant and impactful publications along with the clinical and research experience of the consensus participants. The consensus was led by 4 coordinators who provided the most relevant bibliography by doing an exhaustive search on the topic. The entire bibliography was made available to the members of the consensus for consultation at any time during the process and six working groups were formed to develop the following sections: 1.- Generalities, definitions, and criteria, 2.- Pathophysiology of cirrhosis, 3.- Genetics in ACLF, 4.- Clinical manifestations, 5.- Liver transplantation in ACLF, 6.- Other treatments