4,020 research outputs found
Economic Impacts of Soybean Rust on the US Soybean Sector
The spread of Asian Soybean Rust (ASR) represents a real threat to the U.S. soybean sector. We assess the potential impacts of ASR on domestic soybean production and commodity markets as well as the competitive position of the US in the soybean export market. We develop a mathematical stochastic dynamic sector model with endogenous prices to assess the economic impacts of ASR on US agriculture. The model takes into account the disease spread during the cropping season, the inherent uncertainty regarding the risk of infection, and the dichotomous decisions that farmers make (no treatment, preventive treatment, and curative treatment) facing the risk of infection. Our results suggest substantial impacts from potential ASR spread on agricultural output, prices and exports. Our simulation results suggest that substantial losses to the US soybean producers may be avoided by establishing effective soybean rust controls. ASR control policies can be particularly efficient if applied in the gateway regions on the path of the ASR spread. On the other hand, our results indicate a possible gradual shift in soybean production from lower-latitude states toward higher-latitude statesAsian Soybean Rust, Stochastic Models, Dynamic Models, Crop Production/Industries, C61, Q13,
Economic Impacts of Soybean Rust on the US Soybean Sector
The spread of Asian Soybean Rust (ASR) represents a real threat to the U.S. soybean sector. We assess the potential impacts of ASR on domestic soybean production and commodity markets as well as the competitive position of the US in the soybean export market. We develop a mathematical stochastic dynamic sector model with endogenous prices to assess the economic impacts of ASR on US agriculture. The model takes into account the disease spread during the cropping season, the inherent uncertainty regarding the risk of infection, and the dichotomous decisions that farmers make (no treatment, preventive treatment, and curative treatment) facing the risk of infection. Our results suggest substantial impacts from potential ASR spread on agricultural output, prices and exports. Our simulation results suggest that substantial losses to the US soybean producers may be avoided by establishing effective soybean rust controls. ASR control policies can be particularly efficient if applied in the gateway regions on the path of the ASR spread. On the other hand, our results indicate a possible gradual shift in soybean production from lower-latitude states toward higher-latitude states.Asian Soybean Rust, Stochastic Models, Dynamic Models, Agribusiness, Marketing, C61, Q13,
A new eclipsing binary system with a pulsating component detected by CoRoT
We report the discovery of CoRoT 102980178 (R.A.= 06:50:12.10, Dec.=
-02:41:21.8, J2000) an Algol-type eclipsing binary system with a pulsating
component (oEA). It was identified using a publicly available 55 day long
monochromatic lightcurve from the CoRoT initial run dataset (exoplanet field).
Eleven consecutive 1.26m deep total primary and the equal number of 0.25m deep
secondary eclipses (at phase 0.50) were observed. The following light elements
for the primary eclipse were derived: HJD_MinI= 2454139.0680 + 5.0548d x E. The
lightcurve modeling leads to a semidetached configuration with the photometric
mass ratio q=0.2 and orbital inclination i=85 deg. The out-of-eclipse
lightcurve shows ellipsoidal variability and positive O'Connell effect as well
as clear 0.01m pulsations with the dominating frequency of 2.75 c/d. The
pulsations disappear during the primary eclipses, which indicates the primary
(more massive) component to be the pulsating star. Careful frequency analysis
reveals the second independent pulsation frequency of 0.21 c/d and numerous
combinations of these frequencies with the binary orbital frequency and its
harmonics. On the basis of the CoRoT lightcurve and ground based multicolor
photometry, we favor classification of the pulsating component as a gamma
Doradus type variable, however, classification as an SPB star cannot be
excluded.Comment: 16 pages, 7 figures, 3 tables, accepted to Communications in
Asteroseismolog
Spatially resolved past and projected changes of the suitable thermal habitat of North Sea cod (Gadus morhua) under climate change
Spatially resolved past and projected changes of the suitable thermal habitat of North Sea cod (Gadus morhua) under climate change
x,298 p. : il.; 23 cm
Variability in high-mass X-ray binaries
Strongly magnetized, accreting neutron stars show periodic and aperiodic
variability over a wide range of time scales. By obtaining spectral and timing
information on these different time scales, we can have a closer look into the
physics of accretion close to the neutron star and the properties of the
accreted material. One of the most prominent time scales is the strong
pulsation, i.e., the rotation period of the neutron star itself. Over one
rotation, our view of the accretion column and the X-ray producing region
changes significantly. This allows us to sample different physical conditions
within the column but at the same time requires that we have
viewing-angle-resolved models to properly describe them. In wind-fed high-mass
X-ray binaries, the main source of aperiodic variability is the clumpy stellar
wind, which leads to changes in the accretion rate (i.e., luminosity) as well
as absorption column. This variability allows us to study the behavior of the
accretion column as a function of luminosity, as well as to investigate the
structure and physical properties of the wind, which we can compare to winds in
isolated stars.Comment: 6 pages, 4 figures, accepted for publication in Astronomische
Nachrichten (proceedings of the XMM-Newton Workshop 2019
A multi-decadal meridional displacement of the Subpolar Front in the Newfoundland Basin
Observations since the 1950s show a multi-decadal cycle of a meridional displacement of the Subpolar Front (SPF) in the Newfoundland Basin (NFB) in the North Atlantic. The SPF displacement is associated with corresponding variations in the path of the North Atlantic Current. We use the ocean general circulation model MPIOM with enhanced horizontal and vertical resolutions and forced with NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data to study the relation of the SPF displacement to atmospheric forcing, intensities of the subpolar gyre (SPG) and Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), and Labrador Sea Water (LSW) volume. The simulations indicate that the SPF displacement is associated with a circulation anomaly between the SPG and the subtropical gyre (STG), an inter-gyre gyre with a multi-decadal time scale. A sensitivity experiment indicates that both wind stress curl (WSC) and heat fluxes (which match LSW changes) contribute to the circulation anomalies in the frontal region and to the SPF displacement. An anticyclonic inter-gyre gyre is related to negative WSC and LSW anomalies and to a SPF north of its climatological position, indicating an expanding STG. A cyclonic inter-gyre gyre is related to positive WSC and LSW anomalies and a SPF south of its climatological position, indicating an expanding SPG. Therefore, the mean latitudinal position of the SPF in the NFB (a "SPF index") could be an indicator of the amount of LSW in the inter-gyre region. Spreading of LSW anomalies intensifies the MOC, suggesting our SPF index as predictor of the MOC intensity at multi-decadal time scales. The meridional displacement of the SPF has a pronounced influence on the meridional heat transport, both on its gyre and overturning components.<br
Noncommutative Integrable Field Theories in 2d
We study the noncommutative generalization of (euclidean) integrable models
in two-dimensions, specifically the sine- and sinh-Gordon and the U(N)
principal chiral models. By looking at tree-level amplitudes for the
sinh-Gordon model we show that its na\"\i ve noncommutative generalization is
{\em not} integrable. On the other hand, the addition of extra constraints,
obtained through the generalization of the zero-curvature method, renders the
model integrable. We construct explicit non-local non-trivial conserved charges
for the U(N) principal chiral model using the Brezin-Itzykson-Zinn-Justin-Zuber
method.Comment: 18 pages, 1 figure; v2: references adde
Prevalencia de factores de riesgo cardiovascular clásicos en población adulta de Talca, Chile, 2005
Departamento de BioquĂmica ClĂnica e InmunohematologĂa, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Talca, Talca, Chile.
Instituto de Matemática y FĂsica, Universidad de Talca, Talca, Chile.
Departamento de Salud PĂşblica, Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de Talca, Talca, Chile. Escuela
de PsicologĂa, Universidad de Talca, Talca, Chile.Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) has several traditional risk factors (RF), and some of them are potentially modifiable. Aim: To determine the prevalence of most common risk factors in adult population in Talca in Central Chile. Subjects and methods: We studied 1007 subjects aged 18 to 74 years (66% women), living in Talca, selected by a probability sampling. They answered a questionnaire and anthropometry, blood pressure, lipid profile and blood glucose were measured. Results: Thirty seven percent of subjects smoked, 70.1% had a body mass index over 25 kg/m2 and 41% had an abnormally high circumference. High blood pressure was found in 37% (36% of these subjects were unaware of this condition), 44.5% had hypercholesterolemia, 21.5% had low HDL cholesterol, 40.1% had hypertriglyceridemia and 26.3% had high blood glucose levels. Conclusions: There is a high prevalence of risk factors for CVD in adult population from Talca. The prevalence of risk factors is higher than that reported by the 2003 National Health Survery
Superconformal Gauge Theories and Non-Critical Superstrings
We consider effective actions for six-dimensional non-critical superstrings.
We show that the addition of units of R-R flux and of space-time
filling D5-branes produces solutions with curvature
comparable to the string scale. These solutions have the right structure to be
dual to supersymmetric SU(N) gauge theories with flavors. We
further suggest bounds on the mass-squared of tachyonic fields in this
background that should restrict the theory to the conformal window.Comment: 16 pages, 1 figure v4: Minor change
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