Approaches to capitation and risk adjustment in health care: an international survey

This report is a survey of current capitation methods in health care finance in developed countries. It was commissioned as part of the fundamental review by UK Ministers of the formula used to allocate health care finance to local areas in England, being carried out under the auspices of the Advisory Committee on Resource Allocation (ACRA). The study was commissioned in February 1999 and completed in May 1999. It was informed by a review of published literature and an extensive network of contacts in government departments and academic institutions. A capitation can be defined as the amount of health service funds to be assigned to a person for the service in question, for the time period in question, subject to any national budget constraints. In effect, a capitation system puts a “price” on the head of every citizen. Capitations are usually varied according to an individual’s personal and social characteristics, using a process known as risk adjustment. In most nations, the intention is that the risk-adjusted capitation should represent an unbiased estimate of the expected costs of the citizen to the health care plan over the chosen time period (typically one year). There is an element of capitation funding in the health care systems of almost all developed countries. Capitation is seen as an important mechanism for securing both equity and efficiency objectives. The review examined capitation schemes in 19 countries and concentrated on major strategic risk adjustment schemes implemented at the national or regional level. It identified two broad approaches to setting capitations, which we term matrix methods and index methods. The fundamental difficulties affecting both approaches are a lack of suitable data and the problem of disentangling needs effects from supply effects on health care utilization. Almost all schemes rely on analysis of empirical data, and various analytic methods have been used for setting capitations. Numerous need and cost factors have been used in setting capitations. However, the choice has usually been determined more by data availability than a compelling link to health care expenditure needs. The review concluded that there were elements of many schemes that may be of relevance to the review of methods currently used in England, and which deserve further investigation. However, until improvements in data availability are in place, it is difficult to envisage major enhancements to methods currently in use.capitation

Risk and the GP budget holder

For most individuals, the use made of health care in a given year is determined principally by unpredictable random incidents. Of course, some individuals have a predictably higher predisposition to illness than others. However, the general consensus is that only a fraction of individual variability in health care costs can be predicted. The purpose of this paper is to explore the implications of this inherent randomness for budget setting for GP purchasers. The paper argues that variability in utilization in the NHS is very high; that no formula will ever completely capture that variability, even for large populations; that the problem of variability is likely to be very acute for a GP practice; and that health authorities and GP budget holders will therefore need to adopt a range of strategies to manage the variability.fundholding

Quality of schooling and inequality of opportunity in health

This paper explores the role of quality of schooling as a source of inequality of opportunity in health. Substantiating earlier literature that links differences in education to health disparities, the paper uses variation in quality of schooling to test for inequality of opportunity in health. Analysis of the 1958 NCDS cohort exploits the variation in type and quality of schools generated by the comprehensive schooling reforms in England and Wales. The analysis provides evidence of a statistically significant and economically sizable association between some dimensions of quality of education and a range of health and health-related outcomes. For some outcomes the association persists, over and above the effects of measured ability, social development, academic qualifications and adult socioeconomic status and lifestyle

Long-term effects of school quality on health and lifestyle: evidence from comprehensive schooling reforms in England

Members of the National Child Development Study cohort attended very different types of secondary schools, as their schooling lay within the transition period of the comprehensive education reform in England and Wales. This provides a natural setting to explore the impact of educational attainment and of school quality on health and health-related behavior later in life. We use a combination of matching methods and parametric regressions to deal with selection effects and to evaluate differences in adult health outcomes and health-related behavior for cohort members exposed to the old selective and to the new comprehensive educational systems

Further evidence on the link between health care spending and health outcomes in England

This report describes results from research funded by the Health Foundation under its Quest for Quality and Improved Performance (QQuIP) initiative. It builds on our earlier report for the Health Foundation – The link between health care spending and health outcomes: evidence from English programme budgeting data – that took advantage of the availability of a major new dataset to examine the relationship between health care expenditure and mortality rates for two disease categories (cancer and circulation problems) across 300 English Primary Care Trusts. Our results are useful from a number of perspectives. Scientifically, they confirm our previous findings that health care has an important impact on health across a range of conditions, suggesting that those results were robust across programmes of care and across years. From a policy perspective, these results can help set priorities by informing resource allocation across a larger number of programmes of care. They also add further evidence to help NICE decide whether its current QALY threshold is at the right level.

The link between health care spending and health outcomes for the new English Primary Care Trusts

English programme budgeting data have yielded major new insights into the link between health care spending and health outcomes. This paper updates two recent studies that have used programme budgeting data for 295 Primary Care Trusts (PCTs) in England to examine the link between spending and outcomes for several programmes of care. We use the same economic model employed in the two previous studies. It focuses on a decision maker who must allocate a fixed budget across programmes of care so as to maximize social welfare given a health production function for each programme. Two equations – a health outcome equation and an expenditure equation – are estimated for each programme (data permitting). The two previous studies employed expenditure data for 2004/05 and 2005/06 for 295 health authorities and found that in several care programmes – cancer, circulation problems, respiratory problems, gastro-intestinal problems, trauma burns and injury, and diabetes – expenditure had the anticipated negative effect on the mortality rate. Each health outcome equation was used to estimate the marginal cost of a life year saved. In 2006/07 the number of PCTs in England was reduced to 152, largely through a series of mergers. In addition, several changes were made to the methods employed to construct the programme budgeting data. This paper employs updated budgeting and mortality data for the new 152 PCTs to re-estimate health production and expenditure functions, and also presents updated estimates of the marginal cost of a life year saved in each programme. Although there are some differences, the results obtained are broadly similar to those presented in our two previous studies.

The Link Between Health Care Spending and Health Outcomes: Evidence from English Programme Budgeting Data

This report describes preliminary results from research funded by the Health Foundation under its Quest for Quality and Improved Performance (QQuIP) initiative.

Simulation-based Inference in Dynamic Panel Probit Models: an Application to Health

This paper considers the determinants of a binary indicator for the existence of functional limitations using seven waves (1991-1997) of the British Household Panel Survey(BHPS). The focal point of our analysis is a consideration of the relative contributions of state dependence, heterogeneity and serial correlation in expanding the dynamics of health. To investigate these issues we apply static and dynamic panel probit models with flexible error structures. To estimate the models we show strong positive state dependence, with the effect for men around 150% of the effect for women.

Towards locally based resource allocation in the NHS

In a health care system where resources are scarce and the principle of equity is of central concern, mechanisms for the appropriate allocation of resources based on the notion of relating resource use to some concept of need are essential. Two key issues raised in the UK government’s White Paper The New NHS: modern, dependable are the ability first to define health care budgets at a local level and second to integrate budgets to encompass all relevant aspects of health care delivery. This paper considers the theoretical and practical implications of devolving NHS budgets to primary care groups. The paper advocates the development of a patient-based survey of all NHS health care utilization, which could serve as the basis for integrated global budgets for use at a local level.resource allocation; health care budgets; primary care; health need; general practice

Early Retirement and Inequality in Britain and Germany: How Important Is Health?

Both health and income inequalities have been shown to be much greater in Britain than in Germany. One of the main reasons seems to be the difference in the relative position of the retired, who, in Britain, are much more concentrated in the lower income groups. Inequality analysis reveals that while the distribution of health shocks is more concentrated among those on low incomes in Britain, early retirement is more concentrated among those on high incomes. In contrast, in Germany, both health shocks and early retirement are more concentrated among those with low incomes. We use comparable longitudinal data sets from Britain and Germany to estimate hazard models of the effect of health on early retirement. The hazard models show that health is a key determinant of the retirement hazard for both men and women in Britain and Germany. The size of the health effect appears large compared to the other variables. Designing financial incentives to encourage people to work for longer may not be sufficient as a policy tool if people are leaving the labour market involuntarily due to health problems.health, early retirement, hazard models