Using Combinations of Both Clinical and Radiographic Parameters to Develop a Diagnostic Prediction Model Demonstrated an Excellent Performance in Early Detection of Patients with Blount’s Disease

Early identification of pathological causes for pediatric genu varum (bowlegs) is crucial for preventing a progressive, irreversible knee deformity of the child. This study aims to develop and validate a diagnostic clinical prediction algorithm for assisting physicians in distinguishing an early stage of Blount’s disease from the physiologic bowlegs to provide an early treatment that could prevent the progressive, irreversible deformity. The diagnostic prediction model for differentiating an early stage of Blount’s disease from the physiologic bowlegs was developed under a retrospective case-control study from 2000 to 2017. Stepwise backward elimination of multivariable logistic regression modeling was used to derive a diagnostic model. A total of 158 limbs from 79 patients were included. Of those, 84 limbs (53.2%) were diagnosed as Blount’s disease. The final model that included age, BMI, MDA, and MMB showed excellent performance (area under the receiver operating characteristic (AuROC) curve: 0.85, 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 0.91) with good calibration. The proposed diagnostic prediction model for discriminating an early stage of Blount’s disease from physiologic bowlegs showed high discriminative ability with minimal optimism

Development of Clinical Prediction Rules for One-Year Postoperative Functional Outcome in Patients with Intertrochanteric Fractures: The Intertrochanteric Fracture Ambulatory Prediction (IT-AP) Tool

Individualized prediction of postoperative ambulatory status for patients with intertrochanteric fractures is clinically relevant, during both preoperative and intraoperative periods. This study intended to develop clinical prediction rules (CPR) to predict one-year postoperative functional outcomes in patients with intertrochanteric fractures. CPR development was based on a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort of patients with intertrochanteric fractures aged ≥50 years who underwent a surgical fixation. Good ambulatory status was defined as a New Mobility Score ≥ 5. Two CPR for preoperative and intraoperative predictions were derived using clinical profiles and surgical-related parameters using logistic regression with the multivariable fractional polynomial procedure. In this study, 221 patients with intertrochanteric fractures were included. Of these, 160 (72.4%) had good functional status at one year. The preoperative model showed an acceptable AuROC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.85). After surgical-related parameters were incorporated into the preoperative model, the model discriminative ability was significantly improved to an AuROC of 0.83 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.88) (p = 0.021). The newly-derived CPR enable physicians to provide patients with intertrochanteric fractures with their individualized predictions of functional outcome one year after surgery, which could be used for risk communication, surgical optimization and tailoring postoperative care that fits patients’ expectations

A long-term outcome (up to 29 years) of bilateral iliac wings “bayonet osteotomies” for closure of bladder exstrophy

Abstract Background Several types of pelvic osteotomy techniques have been reported and employed by orthopedic surgeons to enhance the approximation of symphyseal diastasis in bladder exstrophy patients. However, there is limited evidence on a long-term follow-up to confirm which osteotomy techniques provide the most suitable and effective outcomes for correcting pelvic deformities. This study aimed to describe the surgical technique of bilateral iliac bayonet osteotomies for correcting pelvic bone without using fixation in bladder exstrophy and to report on the long-term clinical and radiographic outcomes following the bayonet osteotomies. Methods We retrospectively reviewed patients with bladder exstrophy who underwent bilateral iliac bayonet osteotomies with the closure of bladder exstrophy between 1993 and 2022. Clinical outcomes and radiographic pubic symphyseal diastasis measurements were evaluated. From a total of 28 operated cases, eleven were able to attend a special follow-up clinic or were interviewed by telephone by one of the authors with completed charts and recorded data. Results A total of 11 patients (9 female and 2 male) with an average age at operation of 9.14 ± 11.57 months. The average followed-up time was 14.67 ± 9.24 years (0.75–29), with the average modified Harris Hip score being 90.45 ± 1.21. All patients demonstrated decreased pubic symphyseal diastasis distance (2.05 ± 1.13 cm) compared to preoperative (4.58 ± 1.37 cm) without any evidence of nonunion. At the latest follow-up, the average foot progression angle was externally rotated 6.25° ± 4.79° with full hips ROM, and no patients reported abnormal gait, hip pain, limping, or leg length discrepancy. Conclusions Bilateral iliac wings bayonet osteotomies technique demonstrated a safe and successful pubic symphyseal diastasis closure with an improvement both clinically and radiographically. Moreover, it showed good long-term results and excellent patient’s reported outcome scores. Therefore, it would be another effective option for pelvic osteotomy in treating bladder exstrophy patients

Sarcopenia in Thai community-dwelling older adults: a national, cross-sectional, epidemiological study of prevalence and risk factors

Abstract Background Sarcopenia is an age-related condition characterized by a progressive loss of skeletal muscle mass. It leads to declining physical performance, potentially culminating in a diminished quality of life or death. This study investigated the prevalence of sarcopenia and its associated risk factors among Thai community-dwelling individuals of advanced age. Methods Between March 2021 and August 2022, we conducted a nationwide community-based epidemiological survey across all six major regions of Thailand. Participants with sarcopenia were identified according to the 2019 criteria of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS). The risk factors were examined using multivariable logistic regression. Results Of the 2456 participants, the overall prevalence of sarcopenia was 18.1%, with nearly two-thirds (66.9%) classified as having severe sarcopenia. Multivariate analysis identified six associated risk factors for sarcopenia. They are a lower body mass index (odds ratio [OR] = 11.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 7.8–17.4), suboptimal leg calf circumference (OR = 6.3, 95% CI = 4.3–9.5), male sex (OR = 2.8, 95% CI = 2.2–3.7), a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 2.3, 95% CI = 2.3–5.0), advanced age (OR = 2.1, 95% CI = 1.3–3.3), and an increasing time in the timed up-and-go test (OR = 1.1, 95% CI = 1.0–1.1). Conclusions This is the first large-scale national study to represent the prevalence and risk factors for sarcopenia in Thai community-dwelling individuals of advanced age using the AWGS 2019 criteria. Interventions such as lifestyle modifications and appropriate nutrition should be promoted throughout adulthood to maintain muscle strength and delay the onset of sarcopenia, particularly in males. Trial registration The Central Research Ethics Committee of the National Research Council of Thailand authorized the study protocol (approval number COA-CREC023/2021)