Simulation of irrigation in southern Ukraine incorporating soil moisture state in evapotranspiration assessments

The paper studies the accuracy of modeling moisture transport under the conditions of sprinkler irrigation using evapotranspiration assessment methods that take into account the soil moisture conditions. Appropriate modifications of the Penman-Monteith and the Priestley-Taylor models are considered. Moisture transport modeling is performed using the Richards equation in its integer- and fractional-order forms. Parameters identification is performed by the particle swarm optimization algorithm based on the readings of suction pressure sensors. Results for the two periods of 11 and 50 days demonstrate the possibility of up to ~20% increase in the simulation accuracy by using a modified Priestley-Taylor model when the maintained range of moisture content in the root layer is 70%-100% of field capacity. When irrigation maintained the range of 80%-100% of field capacity, moisture content consideration within evapotranspiration assessment models did not enhance simulation accuracy. This confirms the independence of evapotranspiration from soil moisture content at its levels above 80% of field capacity as in this case actual evapotranspiration reaches a level close to the potential one. Scenario modeling of the entire growing season with the subsequent estimation of crop (maize) yield showed that irrigation regimes generated using evapotranspiration models, which take into account soil moisture data, potentially provide higher yields at lower water supply

Optimisation of crop rotations : A case study for corn growing practices in forest-steppe of Ukraine

The formation of optimal crop rotations is virtually unsolvable from the standpoint of the classical methodology of experimental research. Here, we deal with a mathematical model based on expert estimates of “predecessor-crop” pairs’ efficiency created for the conditions of irrigation in the forest-steppe of Ukraine. Solving the problem of incorporating uncertainty assessments into this model, we present new models of crop rotations’ economic efficiency taking into account irrigation, application of fertilisers, and the negative environmental effect of nitrogen fertilisers’ introduction into the soil. For the considered models we pose an optimisation problem and present an algorithm for its solution that combines a gradient method and a genetic algorithm. Using the proposed mathematical tools, for several possible scenarios of water, fertilisers, and purchase price variability, the efficiency of growing corn as a monoculture in Ukraine is simulated. The proposed models show a reduction of the profitability of such a practice when the purchase price of corn decreases below 0.81 EUR∙kg-1 and the price of irrigation water increases above 0.32 EUR∙m-3 and propose more flexible crop rotations. Mathematical tools developed in the paper can form a basis for the creation of decision support systems that recommend optimal crop rotation variations to farmers and help to achieve sustainable, profitable, and ecologically safe agricultural production. However, future works on the actualisation of the values of its parameters need to be performed to increase the accuracy

Abstracts of The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium

This abstract book contains abstracts of the various research ideas presented at The Second Eurasian RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium.The RISK-2020 Conference and Symposium served as a perfect venue for practitioners, engineers, researchers, scientists, managers and decision-makers from all over the world to exchange ideas and technology about the latest innovation developments dealing with risk minimization