Clinical profile of patients with acute coronary syndrome in Lumbini Medical College and Teaching Hospital: A prospective study

Background: The clinical profile among patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is not well studied in this western part of Nepal where Lumbini Medical College and Teaching Hospital (LMCTH) is situated. Cardiovascular disease is now the most common non communicable disease killing thousands of people worldwide. The trend of incidence is increasing in the developing countries including Nepal. Objective: To obtain the clinical profile of patient presenting with ACS in LMCTH. Material and Method: This is a prospective study carried out in LMCTH in the department of Internal Medicine April 14, 2013 to October 14, 2013. Patients were diagnosed to have ACS based on their clinical findings, Electrocardiogram (ECG) and Troponin test. Those with non-cardiac chest pain were excluded. A detail history and all the data pertaining to the patient were noted analyzed in a systematic way. Results: A total of 40 patients with ACS presented during the study period in LMCTH. The mean age of presentation was 67±18 years. Thirty out of those constitute male (75%). Six patients (15%) died during the study period. Seventeen (42.5%) presented with central chest pain, 13(32.5%) presented with left sided chest pain, 4(10%) presented with acute shortness of breath. Four (10%) patient presented in the state of cardiogenic shock and 2 (5%) presented with the Ventricular tachycardia (VT) as their complication. 6 (15%) had unstable angina (UA), 14 (35%) had Non ST elevation Myocardial Infarction (NSTEMI) and 20 (50%) had ST elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI). Of the total 20 (50%) patient who had STEMI, only four of them underwent thrombolysis. Anterior wall MI was the most common wall involved. Circadian variation study showed peak incidence of acute coronary syndrome during the early morning hours.  Mean duration of symptoms before presentation to the hospital facility was 4 days. Mean hospital stay was 5±2 days. Conclusion: Cardiovascular disease is common in this Western part of Nepal. STEMI was the commonest presentation and the incidence was more among the male and the elderly patients

Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

BACKGROUND: Detailed assessments of mortality patterns, particularly age-specific mortality, represent a crucial input that enables health systems to target interventions to specific populations. Understanding how all-cause mortality has changed with respect to development status can identify exemplars for best practice. To accomplish this, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) estimated age-specific and sex-specific all-cause mortality between 1970 and 2016 for 195 countries and territories and at the subnational level for the five countries with a population greater than 200 million in 2016. METHODS: We have evaluated how well civil registration systems captured deaths using a set of demographic methods called death distribution methods for adults and from consideration of survey and census data for children younger than 5 years. We generated an overall assessment of completeness of registration of deaths by dividing registered deaths in each location-year by our estimate of all-age deaths generated from our overall estimation process. For 163 locations, including subnational units in countries with a population greater than 200 million with complete vital registration (VR) systems, our estimates were largely driven by the observed data, with corrections for small fluctuations in numbers and estimation for recent years where there were lags in data reporting (lags were variable by location, generally between 1 year and 6 years). For other locations, we took advantage of different data sources available to measure under-5 mortality rates (U5MR) using complete birth histories, summary birth histories, and incomplete VR with adjustments; we measured adult mortality rate (the probability of death in individuals aged 15-60 years) using adjusted incomplete VR, sibling histories, and household death recall. We used the U5MR and adult mortality rate, together with crude death rate due to HIV in the GBD model life table system, to estimate age-specific and sex-specific death rates for each location-year. Using various international databases, we identified fatal discontinuities, which we defined as increases in the death rate of more than one death per million, resulting from conflict and terrorism, natural disasters, major transport or technological accidents, and a subset of epidemic infectious diseases; these were added to estimates in the relevant years. In 47 countries with an identified peak adult prevalence for HIV/AIDS of more than 0·5% and where VR systems were less than 65% complete, we informed our estimates of age-sex-specific mortality using the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP)-Spectrum model fitted to national HIV/AIDS prevalence surveys and antenatal clinic serosurveillance systems. We estimated stillbirths, early neonatal, late neonatal, and childhood mortality using both survey and VR data in spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression models. We estimated abridged life tables for all location-years using age-specific death rates. We grouped locations into development quintiles based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and analysed mortality trends by quintile. Using spline regression, we estimated the expected mortality rate for each age-sex group as a function of SDI. We identified countries with higher life expectancy than expected by comparing observed life expectancy to anticipated life expectancy on the basis of development status alone. FINDINGS: Completeness in the registration of deaths increased from 28% in 1970 to a peak of 45% in 2013; completeness was lower after 2013 because of lags in reporting. Total deaths in children younger than 5 years decreased from 1970 to 2016, and slower decreases occurred at ages 5-24 years. By contrast, numbers of adult deaths increased in each 5-year age bracket above the age of 25 years. The distribution of annualised rates of change in age-specific mortality rate differed over the period 2000 to 2016 compared with earlier decades: increasing annualised rates of change were less frequent, although rising annualised rates of change still occurred in some locations, particularly for adolescent and younger adult age groups. Rates of stillbirths and under-5 mortality both decreased globally from 1970. Evidence for global convergence of death rates was mixed; although the absolute difference between age-standardised death rates narrowed between countries at the lowest and highest levels of SDI, the ratio of these death rates-a measure of relative inequality-increased slightly. There was a strong shift between 1970 and 2016 toward higher life expectancy, most noticeably at higher levels of SDI. Among countries with populations greater than 1 million in 2016, life expectancy at birth was highest for women in Japan, at 86·9 years (95% UI 86·7-87·2), and for men in Singapore, at 81·3 years (78·8-83·7) in 2016. Male life expectancy was generally lower than female life expectancy between 1970 and 2016, an

Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attributable burden of disease for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. Methods: The GBD 2021 risk factor analysis used data from 54 561 total distinct sources to produce epidemiological estimates for 88 risk factors and their associated health outcomes for a total of 631 risk–outcome pairs. Pairs were included on the basis of data-driven determination of a risk–outcome association. Age-sex-location-year-specific estimates were generated at global, regional, and national levels. Our approach followed the comparative risk assessment framework predicated on a causal web of hierarchically organised, potentially combinative, modifiable risks. Relative risks (RRs) of a given outcome occurring as a function of risk factor exposure were estimated separately for each risk–outcome pair, and summary exposure values (SEVs), representing risk-weighted exposure prevalence, and theoretical minimum risk exposure levels (TMRELs) were estimated for each risk factor. These estimates were used to calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF; ie, the proportional change in health risk that would occur if exposure to a risk factor were reduced to the TMREL). The product of PAFs and disease burden associated with a given outcome, measured in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), yielded measures of attributable burden (ie, the proportion of total disease burden attributable to a particular risk factor or combination of risk factors). Adjustments for mediation were applied to account for relationships involving risk factors that act indirectly on outcomes via intermediate risks. Attributable burden estimates were stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile and presented as counts, age-standardised rates, and rankings. To complement estimates of RR and attributable burden, newly developed burden of proof risk function (BPRF) methods were applied to yield supplementary, conservative interpretations of risk–outcome associations based on the consistency of underlying evidence, accounting for unexplained heterogeneity between input data from different studies. Estimates reported represent the mean value across 500 draws from the estimate's distribution, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile values across the draws. Findings: Among the specific risk factors analysed for this study, particulate matter air pollution was the leading contributor to the global disease burden in 2021, contributing 8·0% (95% UI 6·7–9·4) of total DALYs, followed by high systolic blood pressure (SBP; 7·8% [6·4–9·2]), smoking (5·7% [4·7–6·8]), low birthweight and short gestation (5·6% [4·8–6·3]), and high fasting plasma glucose (FPG; 5·4% [4·8–6·0]). For younger demographics (ie, those aged 0–4 years and 5–14 years), risks such as low birthweight and short gestation and unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing (WaSH) were among the leading risk factors, while for older age groups, metabolic risks such as high SBP, high body-mass index (BMI), high FPG, and high LDL cholesterol had a greater impact. From 2000 to 2021, there was an observable shift in global health challenges, marked by a decline in the number of all-age DALYs broadly attributable to behavioural risks (decrease of 20·7% [13·9–27·7]) and environmental and occupational risks (decrease of 22·0% [15·5–28·8]), coupled with a 49·4% (42·3–56·9) increase in DALYs attributable to metabolic risks, all reflecting ageing populations and changing lifestyles on a global scale. Age-standardised global DALY rates attributable to high BMI and high FPG rose considerably (15·7% [9·9–21·7] for high BMI and 7·9% [3·3–12·9] for high FPG) over this period, with exposure to these risks increasing annually at rates of 1·8% (1·6–1·9) for high BMI and 1·3% (1·1–1·5) for high FPG. By contrast, the global risk-attributable burden and exposure to many other risk factors declined, notably for risks such as child growth failure and unsafe water source, with age-standardised attributable DALYs decreasing by 71·5% (64·4–78·8) for child growth failure and 66·3% (60·2–72·0) for unsafe water source. We separated risk factors into three groups according to trajectory over time: those with a decreasing attributable burden, due largely to declining risk exposure (eg, diet high in trans-fat and household air pollution) but also to proportionally smaller child and youth populations (eg, child and maternal malnutrition); those for which the burden increased moderately in spite of declining risk exposure, due largely to population ageing (eg, smoking); and those for which the burden increased considerably due to both increasing risk exposure and population ageing (eg, ambient particulate matter air pollution, high BMI, high FPG, and high SBP). Interpretation: Substantial progress has been made in reducing the global disease burden attributable to a range of risk factors, particularly those related to maternal and child health, WaSH, and household air pollution. Maintaining efforts to minimise the impact of these risk factors, especially in low SDI locations, is necessary to sustain progress. Successes in moderating the smoking-related burden by reducing risk exposure highlight the need to advance policies that reduce exposure to other leading risk factors such as ambient particulate matter air pollution and high SBP. Troubling increases in high FPG, high BMI, and other risk factors related to obesity and metabolic syndrome indicate an urgent need to identify and implement interventions

Clinical profile of patients with acute coronary syndrome in Lumbini Medical College and Teaching Hospital: A prospective study

Background: The clinical profile among patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) is not well studied in this western part of Nepal where Lumbini Medical College and Teaching Hospital (LMCTH) is situated. Cardiovascular disease is now the most common non communicable disease killing thousands of people worldwide. The trend of incidence is increasing in the developing countries including Nepal. Objective: To obtain the clinical profile of patient presenting with ACS in LMCTH. Material and Method: This is a prospective study carried out in LMCTH in the department of Internal Medicine April 14, 2013 to October 14, 2013. Patients were diagnosed to have ACS based on their clinical findings, Electrocardiogram (ECG) and Troponin test. Those with non-cardiac chest pain were excluded. A detail history and all the data pertaining to the patient were noted analyzed in a systematic way. Results: A total of 40 patients with ACS presented during the study period in LMCTH. The mean age of presentation was 67±18 years. Thirty out of those constitute male (75%). Six patients (15%) died during the study period. Seventeen (42.5%) presented with central chest pain, 13(32.5%) presented with left sided chest pain, 4(10%) presented with acute shortness of breath. Four (10%) patient presented in the state of cardiogenic shock and 2 (5%) presented with the Ventricular tachycardia (VT) as their complication. 6 (15%) had unstable angina (UA), 14 (35%) had Non ST elevation Myocardial Infarction (NSTEMI) and 20 (50%) had ST elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI). Of the total 20 (50%) patient who had STEMI, only four of them underwent thrombolysis. Anterior wall MI was the most common wall involved. Circadian variation study showed peak incidence of acute coronary syndrome during the early morning hours.  Mean duration of symptoms before presentation to the hospital facility was 4 days. Mean hospital stay was 5±2 days. Conclusion: Cardiovascular disease is common in this Western part of Nepal. STEMI was the commonest presentation and the incidence was more among the male and the elderly patients

Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding in a Tertiary Care Centre of Nepal

Introduction: AUGIB is characterized by hematemesis or melena or both. Peptic ulcers and variceal bleed account for majority of cases. Use of proton pump inhibitors in current era is associated with a gradual reduction in burden of peptic ulcer disease. We conducted this study to look into the cause of AUGIB in our community. Methods: We studied 100 patients in one year period who presented to us with hematemesis or melena. The study was conducted in department of Gastroenterology, Bir hospital, Kathmandu. We identified the culprit lesions by upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. Results: The average age of patients with AUGIB was 51.6 years with 59 (59%) males. Duodenal ulcers are most common 29 (29%), followed by varices 23 (23%) and gastric ulcers 14 (14%). More than one lesion was identified in 38 (38%) patients. Patients with variceal bleed were more likely to present with hematemesis alone as compared to those with ulcer bleed (p=0.005). Variceal bleed patients presented earlier to the hospital (p=0.005), had lower MAP at presentation (p=0.0002), had lower hemoglobin level (p=0.0001) and higher serum creatinine level at presentation (p=0.001). Patients with variceal bleed were more likely to have consumed alcohol 20 (86.9%) and patients with ulcer bleed were more likely to be smokers 29 (67.4%) or consume tobacco 14 (32.5%) (p=0.006). Conclusions: Ulcer related bleeding is still the most common cause of AUGIB. Many patients with AUGIB have more than one lesions identified during upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. Keywords:  bleeding; endoscopy; peptic ulcer; upper gastrointestinal;varices. [PubMed

Efficacy of Prophylactic use of Ciprofloxacin and Metronidazole in Mild and Moderately Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Introduction: There are new concepts and developments in the diagnosis and management of acute pancreatitis. Current evidence suggests that there is no role of prophylactic antibiotics use in acute pancreatitis. However, it is still a common practice to administer prophylactic antibiotics in a country like Nepal. So, we have conducted a study in mild and moderately severe acute pancreatitis to study the efficacy of prophylactic antibiotics. Methods: A case control study was conducted among 76 patients comparing efficacy of prophylactic antibiotics versus no antibiotics in patients with mild and moderately severe acute pancreatitis. Results: The two most common etiology of acute pancreatitis in AG and NAG were alcohol 21 (55.2%) vs. 24 (63.1%) and biliary 10 (26.3%) vs. 4 (10.5%) respectively. Pancreatic necrosis was seen in five (13.1 %) in AG and four (10.5%) in NAG. Four (10.5%) developed extra pancreatic complications in AG and five (13.1%) in NAG. There was one (2.6%) death in AG and no death in NAG. Abdominal pain improvement seen in AG vs. NAG was 3.2 days vs. 2.4 days (p =0.002). The hospital stay was 7.7±2.23 days in AG and 7.5±1.85 days in NAG (p=0.65). Conclusions: The routine use of prophylactic antibiotics for mild and moderately severe acute pancreatitis is not associated with improvement in meaningful clinical outcomes. Keywords: Atlanta classification 2012; mild acute pancreatitis; moderately severe acute pancreatitis; prophylactic antibiotic. [PubMed

Factors Predicting Mortality of Variceal Bleeding in Liver Cirrhosis

Introduction: Acute variceal bleeding in liver cirrhosis is an immediate life-threatening condition and amajor complication of portal hypertension associated with higher morbidity, mortality and hospital costs than any other causes of UGI bleeding. Therefore, early stratification and initiation of therapy based on several factors can reduce mortality associated with it. We aimed to study the predictors of mortality in acute variceal bleeding in LC. Methods: An observational prospective study was conducted in Gastroenterology and Hepatology units of Bir Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal from April 1, 2016 to May 30, 2017. Patients were included if they had underlying liver cirrhosis and presented upper GI bleeding which were proven to be secondary to variceal bleeding. Results: Seventy-five patients with mean age of 52.5 years were available or the analysis. The M:F ratio was 2.1:1. There were 66 patients in mortality group and 9 in survivor group. The mean CTP and MELD score were 10.17±1.66 and 20.40±8.29 respectively. Among the predictors of the mortality studied, CTP score, MELD score, mean arterial pressure, Serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, need of FFP as well as PRP transfusion, presence of hepatorenal syndrome and hepatic encephalopathy were high in mortality group with statistical significance. On multivariate analysis, high CTP and high serum creatinine level were only significant predictors of mortality. Receiver operating curve for predicting accuracy of mortality was significant with higher MELD and higher CTP score. Conclusions: Strong predictors of mortality in patients with cirrhosis presenting with variceal bleeding are CTP score and high serum creatinine level

Prevalence of Organic Colonic Lesions by Colonoscopy in Patients Fulfilling ROME IV Criteria of Irritable Bowel Syndrome

Introduction: Irritable bowel syndrome occurs as recurrent abdominal pain that is related to defecation and associated with change in frequency and/or form of stool. Few Patients with IBS may have organic lesions detectable at colonoscopy. Methods: A cross sectional study was carried out in 140 consecutive patients of IBS fulfilling the ROME IV criteria. The study was conducted in Gastroenterology unit, Department of Medicine, Bir hospital, Kathmandu from July 2016 to September 2017. All patients underwent full colonoscopy along with biopsy from sigmoid colon and any visibly abnormal areas. Results: The average age of patients was 37.5 years with 76 (52.8%) males. Forty-two (30%) had IBS-D, 36 (26%) had IBS-C, 31 (22%) had IBS-M and 31 (22%) had IBS-U. Dyspepsia was seen in 16 (11.4%) and fear of TB/Malignancy/IBD was seen in 27 (19.2%). Organic lesions were seen in 39 (27.85%) patients. Nonspecific colitis was seen in 10 (7.1%) followed by ileal erosions in 7 (5%), polyps in 8 (5.7%), hemorrhoids in 6 (4.2%) and diverticula in 3 (2.1%). Only one (0.71%) patient had microscopic colitis and one (0.71%) had malignant lesion seen at histopathological examination. Females with IBS-D had more organic findings than males (P=0.03, RR=4.13, 95% CI=1.21-15.71). Conclusions: The prevalence of organic lesions in patients with IBS fulfilling ROME IV criteria is 27%. Dyspepsia is the most common comorbidity and fear of TB/malignancy/IBD is the most common reason for seeking health care. Females with IBS-D have a higher risk of detecting organic lesions by colonoscopy and histopathology examination