High concentration of childhood deaths in the low-lying areas of Chakaria HDSS, Bangladesh: findings from a spatial analysis

Background: Despite significant reduction of childhood mortality in Bangladesh, large spatial variations persist. Identification of lower level spatial units with higher concentrations of deaths can be useful for strengthening services in these areas. This paper reports findings from a spatial analysis of deaths in Chakaria, a rural subdistrict, where a Health and Demographic Surveillance System has been in place since 1999. Chakaria is an INDEPTH member site. Methods: An analysis was done of 339 deaths among nearly 24,500 children under the age of five during 2005–2008. One ward, the lowest level of administrative units, was the unit of spatial analysis. Data from 24 wards were analyzed. The Discrete Poisson Probability Model was used to identify the clustering of deaths. Results: Deaths were concentrated within 12 wards located in the low-lying deltaic flood plains of the Chakaria HDSS area. The risk of death in the low-lying areas was statistically, significantly higher, 1.5 times, than the non-low-lying areas (p<0.02). Conclusion: Spatial analysis can be a useful tool for identifying high-risk mortality areas. An understanding of the risk factors prevalent in the low-lying areas can help design effective interventions to reduce mortality in these areas

The risk of miscarriage is associated with ambient temperature: evidence from coastal Bangladesh

BackgroundExposure to high ambient temperature is reported to cause adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, considering myriad temperature and climatic conditions as well as different contextual factors, the paucity of studies from the developing regions impedes the development of a clear understanding of the heat-pregnancy outcome relationship.Materials and methodsThis study was conducted in Chakaria, a coastal region of Bangladesh, where International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b) administers a health and demographic surveillance system (HDSS). The surveillance workers visit the households every three months as a part of the routine surveillance activity. Between 2012 and 2020, the surveillance workers documented histories of 23,482 pregnancies among 13,376 women and the women were followed up for their pregnancy outcomes. The temperature records were obtained from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department’s weather station at Cox’s Bazar. The dates of pregnancy outcome were linked with the daily average temperature on the day of pregnancy outcome. A logistic regression model was employed to examine the relationship between temperature and the incidence of miscarriage.ResultsOut of 23,482 pregnancy outcomes, 3.7% were induced abortions. Among the remaining 22,624 pregnancy outcomes, 86.2% were live births, 10.7% were miscarriages and 3.1% were stillbirths. Miscarriages peaked between 8–14 weeks of gestation and varied according to temperature. For women exposed to temperatures between 28°C and 32°C, the risk of miscarriage was 25% greater (adjusted OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.07–1.47) compared to those exposed to temperatures from 16°C to 21°C.ConclusionThe study establishes a connection between miscarriage and high ambient temperatures in a coastal region of Bangladesh. Implementing timely and appropriate adaptation strategies to prevent miscarriages is of paramount importance for a densely populated country like Bangladesh