Stability analysis of pine wilt disease model by periodic use of insecticides

This work is related to qualitative behaviour of an epidemic model of pine wilt disease. More precisely, we proved that the reproductive number has sharp threshold properties. It has been shown that how vector population can be reduced by the periodic use of insecticides. Numerical simulations show that epidemic level of infected vectors becomes independent of saturation level by including the transmission through mating

Qualitative analysis and sensitivity based optimal control of pine wilt disease

Abstract We design a deterministic model of pine wilt affliction to analyze the transmission dynamics. We obtain the reproduction number in unequivocal form, and global dynamics of the ailment is totally controlled by this number. With a specific end goal to survey the adequacy of malady control measures, we give the affectability investigation of basic reproduction number R 0 $R_{0}$ and the endemic levels of diseased classes regarding epidemiological parameters. From the aftereffects of the sensitivity analysis, we adjust the model to evaluate the effect of three control measures: exploitation of the tainted pines, preventive control to limit vector host contacts, and bug spray control to the vectors. Optimal analysis and numerical simulations of the model show that limited and appropriate utilization of control measures may extensively diminish the number of infected pines in a viable way

Auricular leishmaniasis mimicking squamous cell carcinoma of the pinna

Cutaneous leishmaniasis can occur on any exposed area of the body; however, the pinna is an exceptionally rare site for the disease. Caused by the parasite Leishmania, cutaneous leishmaniasis has a wide range of presentations and thus is very easy to misdiagnose or mistake for a neoplastic lesion. Here, we report the case of a middle-aged male patient presenting with a painful, ulcerated lesion on the left auricle initially suspected to be a malignancy with histopathology eventually revealing a diagnosis of auricular leishmaniasis. The patient received appropriate therapy and was found to be disease free at follow-up. These isolated lesions of the pinna often resemble neoplastic lesions and thus may escape diagnosis for months at a time, increasing patient stress as well as expenditure. In addition, prompt recognition may also help mitigate recurrence of the disease, making it worthwhile to include cutaneous leishmaniasis as part of the differential, especially in endemic area

Body mass index and diabetes mellitus may predict poorer overall survival of oral squamous cell carcinoma patients: A retrospective cohort from a tertiary-care center of a resource-limited country

Introduction: Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is one of the highest-ranking cancers among both genders in Pakistan. Obesity is linked to a much higher risk for developing multiple cancer types. Individuals with Diabetes mellitus (DM) face an increased risk for developing oral cancer. Hence, the objective of this study was to identify the effect of obesity and DM on the prognosis of OSCC patients. Methods: This retrospective cohort analysis was conducted on 386 patients diagnosed and treated for OSCC at The Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan. Patient information was obtained from hospital medical records. Obesity was defined as having a body mass index (BMI) of ⩾25 kg/m2 according to the WHO Asian cut-offs for BMI. Patient BMI was correlated with diabetes status, clinicopathological features and overall survival. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed, along with univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis to test the effect of obesity and diabetes on overall survival. Results: In a set of 386 patients, there were 296 males (76.7%) and 90 females (23.3%). The mean BMI was 24.4 (SD ± 5.25) and 42.7% of patients were found to be obese (⩾25 BMI). 64 patients (16.6%) were diabetic. The risk of death was significantly higher in underweight patients (P = .035) compared with normal weight individuals. Diabetics had a higher mean BMI compared with non-diabetics. However, DM was not a statistically valid predictor of survival. Conclusion: Underweight OSCC patients were at a higher risk of death compared with normal weight OSCC patient

Thyroid hemiagenesis with compensatory hypertrophy of the remaining lobe: A case report

Thyroid hemiagenesis is defined as a failure of one thyroid lobe development. This condition predominantly manifests as an incidental finding during radiological investigation. This paper repor ts the case o f a 53-year-ol d female, a known case of hypertension, who visited the ENT clinic at AKU, a ter tiary ca re centre in Karachi, Pak istan and was hospi talized from 12 th to 1 5th Septembe r 202 1. The patient presented with hemiagenesis of the right thyroid lobe with enlargement of the contralateral lobe resulting in airway compression. She was subjected to excision of the thyroid gland without any intra-operative or postoperative com plicati ons. There were n o complaints o f dyspnoea, stridor or hoarseness during the hospital stay. The patient was discharged and was found to be well on subsequent follow-ups

Hormone receptors AR, ER, PR and growth factor receptor Her-2 expression in oral squamous cell carcinoma: Correlation with overall survival, disease-free survival and 10-year survival in a high-risk population

Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) comprises most of head and neck neoplasms and is one of the highest-ranking and lethal cancers in Pakistan due to prevailing mouth habits. Several types of receptors act as prognostic markers and targets for therapy in some cancers, but their application in OSCC is largely unexplored. This study aimed to evaluate the expression of hormonal receptors and Her-2 in OSCC patients and correlate it with 10-year, overall and disease-free survival. To achieve this objective, immunohistochemistry for Her-2, AR, ER and PR was performed on 100 formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary OSCC specimens. Receptor expression was correlated with mouth habits and clinicopathological features and patient survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression univariate analysis. We observed that in 100 patients, there were 57 males and 43 females. Immunopositive Her-2 expression was observed in 21% of patients, AR in 13%, ER in 3% and 0% for PR. Patients with betel quid/areca nut mouth habits had significantly absent Her-2 expression (P = 0.035). Also, Her-2 negative patients were also negative for AR expression (P = 0.002). Her-2 positive patients had poor 10-year survival (P = 0.041). A trend of low survival and high recurrence rate was observed in AR positive patients, but this was not significant (P = 0.072). No statistically relevant correlations were seen in the case of ER and PR. In conclusion, Her-2 may be a valuable marker for predicting long-term prognosis of OSCC patients

Change in mean postoperative pain in patients undergoing tonsillectomy with cold water versus usual practice: A pragmatic trial

Introduction: Tonsillectomy is one of the most common procedures performed in otolaryngology. There are various methods to perform tonsillectomies (cold and hot). Thermal damage and inflammation of the surrounding tissue using monopolar cautery is said to point to increased pain whereas immediate cooling of the burnt area is thought to reduce pain owing to heat dissipation. Our objective was to determine the difference in mean post-tonsillectomy pain scores among patients irrigated with cold water (4°C) and in patients not irrigated with cold water.Material and methods: A quasi-experimental trial was conducted from January 2016 to December 2017 at a tertiary care hospital. All tonsillectomies were carried out with monopolar cautery at a power of 20 W. Patients either received cold water irrigation post tonsillectomy of the tonsillar bed (intervention arm) or no irrigation (control arm). The pain score was measured on Days 0, 1, 3, 5, and 7. Pain scores were charted on a visual analog scale on the respective days.Results: Seventy-eight patients were included in the study. The mean age of our patients was 10.26 (4.24) years old in the intervention arm, and 11.95 (4.19) years old in the control arm. It was observed that the pain was significantly lower in patients with cold water irrigation of the tonsillar fossa on Days 1, 3, 5, and 7 (p = 0.001). There were no readmissions postprocedure and none of our patients developed any complications postsurgery.Conclusions: In this trial, we report a reduced pain score at all days of observation in the intervention group. Irrigation of the tonsillar fossa is a safe, cost-effective, and less technically demanding technique that could be employed to reduce postoperative pain. Further studies with randomization, blinding and a larger sample size could further improve on our results

Transmission and epidemiological trends of pine wilt disease: Findings from sensitivity to optimality

In this work, a deterministic model is dedicatedly studied for the infection mechanism of pine wilt disease subject to varying sensitivity and optimality. We include time dependent controls into the pine wilt disease model and then analysed optimal conditions for the control of infection. Explicit form for the reproduction number has been obtained. Ultimate constant levels of infectious vectors and hosts have been discussed by employing the threshold condition. Two most effective techniques namely Lyapunov functional and graph theoretic have been used to find the final endemic level of population. The concept of full eradication of disease and reduction of constant level has been investigated through the utilization of two effective techniques. Using the concept of sensitivity analysis, control policies have been designed to control the disease. Additionally, the robustness of control plans has been shown graphically on the basis of data collected from open literature

A Mathematical and Statistical Estimation of Potential Transmission and Severity of COVID-19: A Combined Study of Romania and Pakistan

During the outbreak of an epidemic, it is of immense interest to monitor the effects of containment measures and forecast of outbreak including epidemic peak. To confront the epidemic, a simple SIR model is used to simulate the number of affected patients of coronavirus disease in Romania and Pakistan. The model captures the growth in case onsets, and the estimated results are almost compatible with the actual reported cases. Through the calibration of parameters, forecast for the appearance of new cases in Romania and Pakistan is reported till the end of this year by analysing the current situation. The constant level of number of patients and time to reach this level is also reported through the simulations. The drastic condition is also discussed which may occur if all the preventive restraints are removed