Probabilistic models for the fatigue resistance of welded steel joints subjected to constant amplitude loading

S-N curves found in various rules and regulations are the basic tool for the practicing engineer when carrying out life predictions for welded details in dynamically loaded structures. The present work is investigating the expected fatigue life and associated scatter for welded steel joints subjected to Constant Amplitude (CA) loading. The objective is to obtain more reliable life predictions based on advancements in the probabilistic model fitted to collected life data. A Random Fatigue Limit Model (RFLM) is proposed to obtain fatigue resistance curves at given probability levels of survival. As a distinction to more conventional statistical methods, the model is treating both the fatigue life and the fatigue limit as random variables. The focus is on high cycle fatigue and long-life data and runouts are included in a rational and logical manner by using a maximum likelihood method. Life data for a transverse fillet welded attachment originally designated as a category 71 detail in Eurocode 3 Part 1-9 are collected and analysed. The plate thickness of the specimens ranges from 20 mm to 32 mm and the steel quality is mild and medium strength Carbon-Manganese steel. The results are compared with the results obtained by conventional S-N curves. The compatibility between the fitted probabilistic models and the underlying fatigue damage mechanisms is emphasized.publishedVersio