32 research outputs found

    International credit cycles: a regional perspective

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    I use credit/GDP ratio to construct stylized credit cycles at global and regional levels over 1980-2010. Their average duration is between 12 and 15 years and for all the regions there is “a ceiling” and “a floor” curbing the amplitude of credit cycles. They are also largely interconnected, with the US credit cycle being the most influential and autonomous at the same time. The relationship between credit cycles and intensity of banking crises is also discussed. It appears that the regions exerting predominant influence over their counterparts and having a higher number of total connections at the same time experience fewer banking crises

    Anatomy of international banking crises at the onset of the Great Recession

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    The paper examines a wide range of potential predictors of 25 international banking crises that broke out in 2007–2011 on the basis of cross–sectional logit models and the BCT (binary classification tree) algorithm, a novel technique in assessing the causes of banking crises. The major determinants of the crises arise from excessive credit depth (measured as private credit to GDP ratio) and illiquidity of the banking sector (credits to deposits ratio). The implementation of explicit deposit insurance schemes is also a pro–crisis factor due to the moral hazard effect they tend to cause. On the contrary, higher values of remittance inflows to GDP decrease the susceptibility to banking crises. These findings are robust under both methodologies. Lower bank concentration, bigger values of cost to income ratios as well as a higher level of economic liberalization make countries more vulnerable to banking crises, as derived from the logit analysis

    International credit cycles: a regional perspective

    Get PDF
    I use credit/GDP ratio to construct stylized credit cycles at global and regional levels over 1980-2010. Their average duration is between 12 and 15 years and for all the regions there is “a ceiling” and “a floor” curbing the amplitude of credit cycles. They are also largely interconnected, with the US credit cycle being the most influential and autonomous at the same time. The relationship between credit cycles and intensity of banking crises is also discussed. It appears that the regions exerting predominant influence over their counterparts and having a higher number of total connections at the same time experience fewer banking crises

    Anatomy of international banking crises at the onset of the Great Recession

    Get PDF
    The paper examines a wide range of potential predictors of 25 international banking crises that broke out in 2007–2011 on the basis of cross–sectional logit models and the BCT (binary classification tree) algorithm, a novel technique in assessing the causes of banking crises. The major determinants of the crises arise from excessive credit depth (measured as private credit to GDP ratio) and illiquidity of the banking sector (credits to deposits ratio). The implementation of explicit deposit insurance schemes is also a pro–crisis factor due to the moral hazard effect they tend to cause. On the contrary, higher values of remittance inflows to GDP decrease the susceptibility to banking crises. These findings are robust under both methodologies. Lower bank concentration, bigger values of cost to income ratios as well as a higher level of economic liberalization make countries more vulnerable to banking crises, as derived from the logit analysis

    The impact of financial sector on innovation activity: theoretical background and new evidence from russian banking sector

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    This paper is to summarize the literature on finance-innovation link and produce evidence that the development of banking sector in Russia is to foster innovation process. Financeinnovation link is a new and scarcely covered issue. Nevertheless it is conventional wisdom that stock market institutions are preferable for financing innovation. But researchers claim that in the developing countries banking institution together with thorough government policy can foster innovations. Also they claim that stock market institutions are more suitable for financing breakthrough innovations, while banks are more suitable for incremental innovations. The main contribution of this paper is that is was empirically shown using panel data models that banks can facilitate innovation in Russia

    Do financial systems converge? A Comprehensive panel data approach and new evidence from a dataset for 102 countries

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    This paper is to investigate the existence of β- convergence and σ- convergence for financial institutional characteristics for the dataset of 102 countries from 1980 to 2009. The research is based on panel data econometric models and 10 financial depth indicators. The partial effects of corruption and financial openness are also to be estimated. The main conclusion is that the world exhibits steady financial development as well as β-convergence of financial depth indicators, the middle income countries converging relatively faster. Nevertheless the speed of convergence is not sufficient for the developing world to catch up quickly

    Do financial systems converge? A Comprehensive panel data approach and new evidence from a dataset for 102 countries

    Get PDF
    This paper is to investigate the existence of β- convergence and σ- convergence for financial institutional characteristics for the dataset of 102 countries from 1980 to 2009. The research is based on panel data econometric models and 10 financial depth indicators. The partial effects of corruption and financial openness are also to be estimated. The main conclusion is that the world exhibits steady financial development as well as β-convergence of financial depth indicators, the middle income countries converging relatively faster. Nevertheless the speed of convergence is not sufficient for the developing world to catch up quickly

    The impact of financial sector on innovation activity: theoretical background and new evidence from russian banking sector

    Get PDF
    This paper is to summarize the literature on finance-innovation link and produce evidence that the development of banking sector in Russia is to foster innovation process. Financeinnovation link is a new and scarcely covered issue. Nevertheless it is conventional wisdom that stock market institutions are preferable for financing innovation. But researchers claim that in the developing countries banking institution together with thorough government policy can foster innovations. Also they claim that stock market institutions are more suitable for financing breakthrough innovations, while banks are more suitable for incremental innovations. The main contribution of this paper is that is was empirically shown using panel data models that banks can facilitate innovation in Russia

    EVALUATION OF UNIVERSITY GRADUATE COMPETENCES

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    The quality evaluation problem in training of students at competence-based approach is considered in the article. The technique of creation of a negentropic assessment of level of the competences formation of graduates students is offered. The article deals with the special learning curves, which provide the opportunity to be more precise in defi ning the dependence of the level of the students' competence formation of the on their scoring
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