942-42 Is Mitral Valve Prolapse with Significant Mitral Regurgitation a Different Condition from Uncomplicated Mitral Prolapse? Results of Family Studies

Mild instances of mitral valve prolapse (MVP) have been suggested to represent variants of normal, whereas individuals with complicated forms of MVP have a distinct medical condition. This hypothesis would predict different phenotypic features and patterns of inheritance in relatives of index cases with complicated or uncomplicated MVP. Accordingly, we performed clinical and echocardiographic assessment of 16 MVP patients with and 76 without moderate to severe mitral regurgitation (MR+and MR– probands) and 60 and 256, respectively, first-degree relatives (MR+ and MR– relatives). MR+ probands were older (p=0.01), more likely to be male (p=0.002), were more overweight (p=0.004) and had higher systolic blood pressures (p=0.05) and larger aortic roots (p=0.034) after the effects of age and body size were taken into account. MR+ and MR– relatives had similar prevalences (27 and 32%) and age distribution of MVP, but affected MR+ relatives were younger (expected because more children and fewer parents of MR+ probands could be evaluated). and more likely to be male. MR+ and MR- relatives were virtually identical in regard to body habitus, blood pressure, the prevalence of auscultatory findings, thoracic bony abnormalities and palpitations and all echo measurements including anterior mitral leaflet thickness. Four instances of significant MR and two MVP-related complications (infective endocarditis and transient ischemic attack) occurred in the 82 relatives of MR– probands as opposed to none among relatives of MR+ probands. In 20 families, one proband or relative with MVP had severe MR and at least one other with MVP (presumably due to the same gene) was free of MR or complications. Thus, MVP with severe MR does not represent a heritable phenotype and commonly coexists with mild forms of MVP in the same family, making their classification as separate conditions illogical and potentially misleading

Low accuracy of Bayesian latent class analysis for estimation of herd-level true prevalence under certain disease characteristics—An analysis using simulated data

Estimation of the true prevalence of infected individuals involves the application of a diagnostic test to a population and adjusting according to test performance, sensitivity and specificity. Bayesian latent class analysis for the estimation of herd and animal-level true prevalence, has become increasingly used in veterinary epidemiology and is particularly useful in incorporating uncertainty and variability into analyses in a flexible framework. However, the approach has not yet been evaluated using simulated data where the true prevalence is known. Furthermore, using this approach, the within-herd true prevalence is often assumed to follow a beta distribution, the parameters of which may be modelled using hyperpriors to incorporate both uncertainty and variability associated with this parameter. Recently however, the authors of the current study highlighted a potential issue with this approach, in particular, with fitting the distributions and a tendency for the resulting distribution to invert and become clustered at zero. Therefore, the objective of the present study was to evaluate commonly specified models using simulated datasets where the herd-level true prevalence was known. The specific purpose was to compare findings from models using hyperpriors to those using a simple beta distribution to model within-herd prevalence. A second objective was to investigate sources of error by varying characteristics of the simulated dataset. Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis infection was used as an example for the baseline dataset. Data were simulated for 1000 herds across a range of herd-level true prevalence scenarios, and models were fitted using priors from recently published studies. The results demonstrated poor performance of these latent class models for diseases characterised by poor diagnostic test sensitivity and low within-herd true prevalence. All variations of the model appeared to be sensitive to the prior and tended to overestimate herd-level true prevalence. Estimates were substantially improved in different infection scenarios by increasing test sensitivity and within-herd true prevalence. The results of this study raise questions about the accuracy of published estimates for the herd-level true prevalence of paratuberculosis based on serological testing, using latent class analysis. This study highlights the importance of conducting more rigorous sensitivity analyses than have been carried out in previous analyses published to date

A review of paratuberculosis in dairy herds — Part 2: On-farm control

Bovine paratuberculosis is a chronic infectious disease of cattle, caused by Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis (MAP). This is the second in a two-part review of the epidemiology and control of paratuberculosis in dairy herds. Several negative production effects associated with MAP infection have been described, but perhaps the most significant concern in relation to the importance of paratuberculosis as a disease of dairy cattle is the potential link with Crohn’s disease in humans. Milk is considered a potential transmission route to humans and it is recognised that pasteurisation does not necessarily eliminate the bacterium. Therefore, control must also include reduction of the levels of MAP in bulk milk supplied from dairy farms. There is little field evidence in support of specific control measures, although several studies seem to show a decreased prevalence associated with the implementation of a combined management and test-and-cull programme. Improvements in vaccination efficacy and reduced tuberculosis (TB) test interference may increase uptake of vaccination as a control option. Farmer adoption of best practice recommendations at farm level for the control of endemic diseases can be challenging. Improved understanding of farmer behaviour and decision making will help in developing improved communication strategies which may be more efficacious in affecting behavioural change on farm

A review of paratuberculosis in dairy herds — Part 1: Epidemiology

Bovine paratuberculosis is a chronic infectious disease of cattle caused by Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis (MAP). This is the first in a two-part review of the epidemiology and control of paratuberculosis in dairy herds. Paratuberculosis was originally described in 1895 and is now considered endemic among farmed cattle worldwide. MAP has been isolated from a wide range of non-ruminant wildlife as well as humans and non-human primates. In dairy herds, MAP is assumed to be introduced predominantly through the purchase of infected stock with additional factors modulating the risk of persistence or fade-out once an infected animal is introduced. Faecal shedding may vary widely between individuals and recent modelling work has shed some light on the role of super-shedding animals in the transmission of MAP within herds. Recent experimental work has revisited many of the assumptions around age susceptibility, faecal shedding in calves and calf-to-calf transmission. Further efforts to elucidate the relative contributions of different transmission routes to the dissemination of infection in endemic herds will aid in the prioritisation of efforts for control on farm

Citizen OBservatory WEB (COBWEB): A Generic Infrastructure Platform to Facilitate the Collection of Citizen Science Data for Environmental Monitoring

COBWEB has used the UNESCO World Network of Biosphere Reserves as a testbed for researching and developing a generic crowdsourcing infrastructure platform for environmental monitoring. A major challenge is dealing with what is necessarily a complex problem requiring sophisticated solutions balanced with the need to present sometimes unsophisticated users with comprehensible and useable software. The components of the COBWEB platform are at different Technology Readiness Levels. This short paper outlines the overall solution and points to quality assurance, standardisation and semantic interoperability as key areas requiring further attention

Longitudinal analysis of HIV-risk behaviors of participants in a randomized trial of prison-initiated buprenorphine

It has been estimated that approximately 15% of people who are incarcerated in the US have histories of opioid use disorder. Relapse to opioid use after release from prison poses a serious risk of HIV infection. Prison-initiated buprenorphine may help to reduce HIV infection given the association between opioid use and HIV-risk behaviors.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13722-019-0172-

Bayesian estimation of prevalence of paratuberculosis in dairy herds enrolled in a voluntary Johne’s Disease Control Programme in Ireland

Bovine paratuberculosis is a disease characterised by chronic granulomatous enteritis which manifests clinically as a protein-losing enteropathy causing diarrhoea, hypoproteinaemia, emaciation and, eventually death. Some evidence exists to suggest a possible zoonotic link and a national voluntary Johne’s Disease Control Programme was initiated by Animal Health Ireland in 2013. The objective of this study was to estimate herd-level true prevalence (HTP) and animal-level true prevalence (ATP) of paratuberculosis in Irish herds enrolled in the national voluntary JD control programme during 2013–14. Two datasets were used in this study. The first dataset had been collected in Ireland during 2005 (5822 animals from 119 herds), and was used to construct model priors. Model priors were updated with a primary (2013–14) dataset which included test records from 99,101 animals in 1039 dairy herds and was generated as part of the national voluntary JD control programme. The posterior estimate of HTP from the final Bayesian model was 0.23–0.34 with a 95% probability. Across all herds, the median ATP was found to be 0.032 (0.009, 0.145). This study represents the first use of Bayesian methodology to estimate the prevalence of paratuberculosis in Irish dairy herds. The HTP estimate was higher than previous Irish estimates but still lower than estimates from other major dairy producing countries

The flesh of painting: Caillebotte’s Modern Olympia

The language of putrefaction, often applied through a culinary analogy, appeared consistently in the critical reception of modern-life and Impressionist painting. For example, two critics used the term faisandé, referring to well-hung meat, to describe Manet’s nude figure of Olympia in 1865. The analogies that they posed between morgue bodies, female figures, meat, and fleshy paint material became central modes of denigrating Impressionist paintings of women in the ensuing decades. Gustave Caillebotte’s Veal in a Butcher’s Shop (c. 1882), depicting anthropomorphized, gendered, and sexualized animal flesh, can be considered in this context. In my reading, the painting enacts the critical responses to his colleagues’ figures, foregrounding the violent operations through which bodies might be reduced to meat, whether literal or metaphorical. In their comparisons to rotting flesh, nineteenth-century critics expressed a visceral reaction to works of art that Veal in a Butcher’s Shop demands

Defining the phylogenetics and resistome of the major clostridioides difficile ribotypes circulating in Australia

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) remains a significant public health threat globally. New interventions to treat CDI rely on an understanding of the evolution and epidemiology of circulating strains. Here we provide longitudinal genomic data on strain diversity, transmission dynamics and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) of C. difficile ribotypes (RTs) 014/020 (n=169), 002 (n=77) and 056 (n=36), the three most prominent C. difficile strains causing CDI in Australia. Genome scrutiny showed that AMR was uncommon in these lineages, with resistance-conferring alleles present in only 15/169 RT014/020 strains (8.9 %), 1/36 RT056 strains (2.78 %) and none of 77 RT002 strains. Notably, ~90 % of strains were resistant to MLSB agents in vitro, but only ~5.9 % harboured known resistance alleles, highlighting an incongruence between AMR genotype and phenotype. Core genome analyses revealed all three RTs contained genetically heterogeneous strain populations with limited evidence of clonal transmission between CDI cases. The average number of pairwise core genome SNP (cgSNP) differences within each RT group ranged from 23.3 (RT056, ST34, n=36) to 115.6 (RT002, ST8, n=77) and 315.9 (RT014/020, STs 2, 13, 14, 49, n=169). Just 19 clonal groups (encompassing 40 isolates), defined as isolates differing by ≤2 cgSNPs, were identified across all three RTs (RT014/020, n=14; RT002, n=3; RT056, n=2). Of these clonal groups, 63 % (12/19) comprised isolates from the same Australian State and 37 % (7/19) comprised isolates from different States. The low number of plausible transmission events found for these major RTs (and previously documented populations in animal and environmental sources/reservoirs) points to widespread and persistent community sources of diverse C. difficile strains as opposed to ongoing nationwide healthcare outbreaks dominated by a single clone. Together, these data provide new insights into the evolution of major lineages causing CDI in Australia and highlight the urgent need for enhanced surveillance, and for public health interventions to move beyond the healthcare setting and into a One Health paradigm to effectively combat this complex pathogen

Supporting General Practitioners and people withhypertension to maximise medication use to control bloodpressure: the contribution of Collective Intelligence to thedevelopment of the ‘Maximising Adherence, MinimisingInertia’ (MIAMI) intervention

Background: Hypertension remains one of the most important modifiable risk factors for stroke and heart disease. Anti-hypertensive medications are effective, but are often not used to maximum benefit. Sub-optimal dosing by prescribers and challenges with medication-taking for patients remain barriers to effective blood pressure control. Objectives: We aimed to systematically develop a theory-based complex intervention to support General Practitioners (GPs) and people with hypertension to maximise medication use to control blood pressure. Methods: We used the three-phase Behaviour Change Wheel (BCW) as the overarching intervention development framework. Collective Intelligence methodology was used to operationalise the stakeholder input to Phases 2 and 3 of the BCW. This took the form of a Collective Intelligence workshop with 19 stakeholders from diverse backgrounds including lived experience, general practice, nursing, pharmacy and health psychology. Techniques such as barrier identification, idea-writing and scenario-based design were used to generate possible intervention options. Intervention options were then selected and refined using the Acceptability, Practicability, Effectiveness, Affordability, Side-effects and Equity (APEASE) criteria and guidance from the MIAMI Public and Patient Involvement Panel. Results: The finalised MIAMI intervention consists of both GP and patient supports. GP supports include a 30-minute online training, information booklet and consultation guide (drop-down menu) embedded within the patient electronic health system. Patient supports include a pre-consultation plan, website, and a structured GP consultation with results from an Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitor and urine chemical adherence test. The intervention components have been mapped to the intervention functions of the BCW and Behaviour Change Technique Ontology. Conclusion: Collective Intelligence offered a novel method to operationalise stakeholder input to Phases 2 and 3 of the BCW. The MIAMI intervention is now at pilot evaluation stage.Additional author: Gerard J Mollo