Young-in Old-out: a new evaluation

exit age; youth employment; propensity score; match-

Young in-Old out: a new evaluation based on Generalized Propensity Score

This paper aims at evaluating the effect of the amount of older workers exits (aged 50 or more) on the entries of youngsters at a local labour market level, during years 1985 - 2002. If we can observe some effect of the exits on the entries, it will shed light on the substitution between older workers and youngsters. Moreover, since in our model the causal agent cannot be specified a – priori, we don’t know what causes what. Hence, we are actually looking for a correlation between these two quantities. Systematic differences in background characteristics, between local markets with different levels of the older workers exits, can bias the effect estimation on the entries of youngsters. In order to adjust for this, we apply propensity score methods as extended and generalized in a setting with a continuous treatment by Hirano and Imbens (2004). Our results show a positive and significant correlation between exits of older workers and entries of youngsters.Synthetic firms, Evaluation, Non-experimental methods, Continuous treatment, Matching, Generalized propensity score, Dose-response function.

Formation continue et parcours professionnels : entre aspirations des salariés et contexte de l’entreprise

« Levier déterminant de la compétitivité des entreprises », « élément structurant de la sécurisation des parcours des personnes », instrument de « liberté de choisir son avenir professionnel », la formation continue est érigée en solution privilégiée pour le marché du travail. Les enjeux de la crise ouverte par la pandémie du Covid 19 pourraient bien aussi se décliner en termes de formation continue, notamment autour des besoins de reconversion. Pourtant, concilier les besoins des entreprises avec les aspirations professionnelles des personnes ne va pas de soi. Les travaux présentés dans cet ouvrage collectif, réalisés dans le cadre du premier groupe d’exploitation du Dispositif d’enquêtes couplées sur les formations et les itinéraires des salariés (Defis), éclairent, chacun à sa façon et sous des angles variés, les multiples enjeux de la formation continue. Ils questionnent la formation des salariés en lien avec leurs aspirations et les parcours professionnels. Ils tentent également de mieux comprendre la manière dont les différentes configurations productives et le contexte des entreprises peuvent influencer leurs pratiques de formation, de recrutement et autres modes d’acquisition des compétences. Conçu comme un lieu d’échanges et de dialogue pluridisciplinaire autour des données Defis, le groupe d’exploitation a réuni des chercheurs issus du Céreq, des universités ou laboratoires CNRS et autres organismes publics. Leurs appartenances disciplinaires sont variées (économie, sociologie, gestion, sciences de l’éducation) et les méthodologies mobilisées associent parfois une approche qualitative à l’analyse des données quantitatives

Taxation of early retirement windows and delaying retirement: the French experience

This paper investigates the e ect of the 2003 French pension reform on hiring, ring and employment rates among older workers. This reform increased the mandatory retirement age and simultaneously it set a tax levied on early retirement windows payed by rms to their older workers, to encourage them to leave their job early. We use a matching model with endogenous job destruction extended to account for a mandatory retirement age and we calibrate the model with data drawn from the French Labor Force Surveys for the years 2001 and 2002. We show that in the case of a high tax rate, delaying retirement raises job separation rates, which partially o sets its positive e ect on job nding rates. Consequently, the combination of an increase in the retirement age and a taxation on early retirement windows may have perverse e ects on the employment rate among older workers

Taxation of early retirement windows and delaying retirement: the French experience

This paper investigates the e ect of the 2003 French pension reform on hiring, ring and employment rates among older workers. This reform increased the mandatory retirement age and simultaneously it set a tax levied on early retirement windows payed by rms to their older workers, to encourage them to leave their job early. We use a matching model with endogenous job destruction extended to account for a mandatory retirement age and we calibrate the model with data drawn from the French Labor Force Surveys for the years 2001 and 2002. We show that in the case of a high tax rate, delaying retirement raises job separation rates, which partially o sets its positive e ect on job nding rates. Consequently, the combination of an increase in the retirement age and a taxation on early retirement windows may have perverse e ects on the employment rate among older workers

Transmission des compétences professionnelles dans la seconde partie des carrières: l'effet des TIC et des changements gestionnaires

International audienceThis paper looks at the effect of technological and organisational changes on the probability for workers in the second part of their careers of transmitting their knowledge to other colleagues in their employing firm. We use matched employer-employee data to link changes occurred at the firm level with knowledge transmission behaviours measured at the individual-level. To control for selection bias based on differences in observable characteristics between workers employed in changing work environments and those employed in non-changing ones, we apply propensity score matching techniques. We find that ICT and management changes reduce significantly the probability for workers over 45 of transmitting their knowledge to their colleagues. Then, we analyse the role of training in mitigating this negative impact. To address issues of self-selection into training, we use propensity score matching methods and a proxy for unobservable productivity. We show that participation in a training program regarding ICT tools may help older workers restore their role of knowledge transmitters

Does gender equality bargaining reduce child penalty? Evidence from France

This paper investigates the effects of firm-level gender equality bargaining on the motherhood penalty using French administrative data. To tackle the endogeneity issue, we exploit the 2010 reform that introduced financial penalties for firms with 50 employees or more not complying with their obligation of negotiating on gender equality. This change led to a strong acceleration of gender equality bargaining after 2010 but only for firms with 50 employees or more. As a consequence, women who had their first child in concerned firms after 2010 are more likely to be employed in firms covered by a text related to gender equality. Controlling for firms' size effect and time trends as well as a set of other individuals' and firms' characteristics, we identify the causal effect of gender equality bargaining on earnings impact of motherhood. Our estimates show that forcing firms to promote measures related to gender equality has reinforced the motherhood penalty. While the causal effect of this reform is close to zero just after the first child birth, it turns out to be significantly negative 5 years after. Our results suggest that some measures mentioned in GE texts, especially those favouring work-life balance, may act as an indirect discrimination towards mothers

Does gender equality bargaining reduce child penalty? Evidence from France

This paper investigates the effects of firm-level gender equality bargaining on the motherhood penalty using French administrative data. To tackle the endogeneity issue, we exploit the 2010 reform that introduced financial penalties for firms with 50 employees or more not complying with their obligation of negotiating on gender equality. This change led to a strong acceleration of gender equality bargaining after 2010 but only for firms with 50 employees or more. As a consequence, women who had their first child in concerned firms after 2010 are more likely to be employed in firms covered by a text related to gender equality. Controlling for firms' size effect and time trends as well as a set of other individuals' and firms' characteristics, we identify the causal effect of gender equality bargaining on earnings impact of motherhood. Our estimates show that forcing firms to promote measures related to gender equality has reinforced the motherhood penalty. While the causal effect of this reform is close to zero just after the first child birth, it turns out to be significantly negative 5 years after. Our results suggest that some measures mentioned in GE texts, especially those favouring work-life balance, may act as an indirect discrimination towards mothers

Stricter employment protection and firms' incentives to train: The case of French older workers

From French data, this paper uses a difference-in-differences approach combined with propensity score matching to identify the effect of an exogenous change in employment protection among older workers on firm's incentives to provide training. Laying off workers aged 50 and above, French firms have to pay a tax to the unemployment insurance system, known as the Delalande tax. In 1999, the measure was subjected to a reform that increased due taxes but that did not concern equally all firms. We find that this exogenous shock to employment protection for older workers substantially rises firms' incentives to train the 45-49 age group of workers. This result confirms predictions of the simple labor market model we develop in a first stage