Glioblastoma radiomics: can genomic and molecular characteristics correlate with imaging response patterns?

PURPOSE: For glioblastoma (GBM), imaging response (IR) or pseudoprogression (PSP) is frequently observed after chemoradiation and may connote a favorable prognosis. With tumors categorized by the Cancer Genome Atlas Project (mesenchymal, classical, neural, and proneural) and by methylguanine-methyltransferase (MGMT) methylation status, we attempted to determine if certain genomic or molecular subtypes of GBM were specifically associated with IR or PSP. METHODS: Patients with GBM treated at two institutions were reviewed. Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Mantel-cox test determined effect of IR and PSP on OS and PFS. Fisher\u27s exact test was utilized to correlate IR and PSP with genomic subtypes and MGMT status. RESULTS: Eighty-two patients with GBM were reviewed. The median OS and PFS were 17.9 months and 8.9 months. IR was observed in 28 (40%) and was associated with improved OS (median 29.4 vs 14.5 months p \u3c 0.01) and PFS (median 17.7 vs 5.5 months, p \u3c 0.01). PSP was observed in 14 (19.2%) and trended towards improved PFS (15.0 vs 7.7 months p = 0.08). Tumors with a proneural component had a higher rate of IR compared to those without a proneural component (IR 60% vs 28%; p = 0.03). MGMT methylation was associated with IR (58% vs 24%, p = 0.032), but not PSP (34%, p = 0.10). CONCLUSION: IR is associated with improved OS and PFS. The proneural subtype and MGMT methylated tumors had higher rates of IR

Prediction of new brain metastases after radiosurgery: validation and analysis of performance of a multi-institutional nomogram

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) without whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) for brain metastases can avoid WBRT toxicities, but with risk of subsequent distant brain failure (DBF). Sole use of number of metastases to triage patients may be an unrefined method. Data on 1354 patients treated with SRS monotherapy from 2000 to 2013 for new brain metastases was collected across eight academic centers. The cohort was divided into training and validation datasets and a prognostic model was developed for time to DBF. We then evaluated the discrimination and calibration of the model within the validation dataset, and confirmed its performance with an independent contemporary cohort. Number of metastases (≥8, HR 3.53 p = 0.0001), minimum margin dose (HR 1.07 p = 0.0033), and melanoma histology (HR 1.45, p = 0.0187) were associated with DBF. A prognostic index derived from the training dataset exhibited ability to discriminate patients' DBF risk within the validation dataset (c-index = 0.631) and Heller's explained relative risk (HERR) = 0.173 (SE = 0.048). Absolute number of metastases was evaluated for its ability to predict DBF in the derivation and validation datasets, and was inferior to the nomogram. A nomogram high-risk threshold yielding a 2.1-fold increased need for early WBRT was identified. Nomogram values also correlated to number of brain metastases at time of failure (r = 0.38, p < 0.0001). We present a multi-institutionally validated prognostic model and nomogram to predict risk of DBF and guide risk-stratification of patients who are appropriate candidates for radiosurgery versus upfront WBRT