12 research outputs found

    Evaluation of radiation and temperature data generators in the Australian tropics and sub-tropics using crop simulation models

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    Long-term historical weather data are needed to conduct crop simulation analyses. However, the network of weather recording stations which collect all necessary daily weather data (commonly rainfall, solar radiation, maximum and minimum temperature) for such analyses is sparse. Frequently only rainfall is recorded. Thus, weather data generation techniques are required for three situations: (i) where only rainfall data are available, (ii) where both rainfall and temperature data are available, but radiation is missing, and (iii) where records are otherwise complete, but techniques are cequired to fill short periods of missing data. Three weather generation techniques are compared, termed here (i) Bristow and Campbell's method, (ii) TAMSIM and (iii) WGEN. Methods (ii) and (iii) were used to generate temperature and radiation data to accompany recorded rainfall records, and methods (i)–(iii) to generate a solar radiation record to accompany recorded temperature and rainfall records. Data from four stations in tropical and subtropical Australia with long-term complete weather records were used to compare actual with generated data sets. Results were evaluated firstly by comparing the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of generated and actual values, and secondly by comparing CDFs calculated from the output of three crop simulation models used with the generated and actual data sets. Generally the distributions of radiation and temperature differed significantly. However, when the weather data sets were used by simulation models to estimate biomass, only 10 of the 50 CDFs differed significantly. When both temperature and radiation were generated, 30% of CDFs from TAMSIM and 20% of WGEN differed significantly. When only radiation was generated, 40% of CDFs generated by the Bristow and Campbell's method, 10% of WGEN and none of TAMSIM differed significantly. All methods simulated the more temperate sites with higher precision than the wet, tropical site. Simulated yields showed a similar pattern. It was concluded that where both temperature and radiation data have to be generated, WGEN is appropriate because it contains a stochastic element and thus simulates catastrophic events such as frosts. Where only radiation generation is required, both WGEN and TAMSIM performed adequately. Where temperature or radiation data sets are complete except for occasional missing days, TAMSIM was considered to be the most appropriate. In cases were the objective is not to conduct long-term simulation analyses, Bristow and Campbell's method appeared more appropriate because of its ability to better simulate the day to day variation in solar radiation

    Climate change effects on pasture systems in south-eastern Australia.

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    Climate change projections for Australia predict increasing temperatures, changes to rainfall patterns, and elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. The aims of this study were to predict plant production responses to elevated CO2 concentrations using the SGS Pasture Model and DairyMod, and then to quantify the effects of climate change scenarios for 2030 and 2070 on predicted pasture growth, species composition, and soil moisture conditions of 5 existing pasture systems in climates ranging from cool temperate to subtropical, relative to a historical baseline. Three future climate scenarios were created for each site by adjusting historical climate data according to temperature and rainfall change projections for 2030, 2070 mid-and 2070 high-emission scenarios, using output from the CSIRO Mark 3 global climate model. In the absence of other climate changes, mean annual pasture production at an elevated CO2 concentration of 550 ppm was predicted to be 24-29% higher than at 380 ppm CO2 in temperate (C-3) species-dominant pastures in southern Australia, with lower mean responses in a mixed C-3/C-4 pasture at Barraba in northern New South Wales (17%) and in a C-4 pasture at Mutdapilly in south-eastern Queensland (9%). In the future climate scenarios at the Barraba and Mutdapilly sites in subtropical and subhumid climates, respectively, where climate projections indicated warming of up to 4.4 degrees C, with little change in annual rainfall, modelling predicted increased pasture production and a shift towards C-4 species dominance. In Mediterranean, temperate, and cool temperate climates, climate change projections indicated warming of up to 3.3 degrees C, with annual rainfall reduced by up to 28%. Under future climate scenarios at Wagga Wagga, NSW, and Ellinbank, Victoria, our study predicted increased winter and early spring pasture growth rates, but this was counteracted by a predicted shorter spring growing season, with annual pasture production higher than the baseline under the 2030 climate scenario, but reduced by up to 19% under the 2070 high scenario. In a cool temperate environment at Elliott, Tasmania, annual production was higher than the baseline in all 3 future climate scenarios, but highest in the 2070 mid scenario. At the Wagga Wagga, Ellinbank, and Elliott sites the effect of rainfall declines on pasture production was moderated by a predicted reduction in drainage below the root zone and, at Ellinbank, the use of deeper rooted plant systems was shown to be an effective adaptation to mitigate some of the effect of lower rainfall

    Soil phosphorus pools with addition of fertiliser phosphorus in a long-term grazing experiment

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    Published Online 8 November 2019Grasslands are a globally important use of land for food and fibre production, which often require the addition of phosphorus (P) fertiliser to maximise plant production. However, a large proportion of the added P can accumulate in pools of poorly available inorganic and organic P in the surface soil layer under grasslands. The aim of this study was to identify the chemical nature of the organic P in soils from a long-term fertiliser by grazing permanent pasture experiment that have received varying additions of phosphatic fertiliser (cumulative P input of 27, 169, 311, 513, 745 and 1035 kg P ha⁻¹) over a period of 37 years. The design of the experiment uniquely provides insight into the response of soil organic P to the addition of fertiliser P on the decadal scale. On average, 46% of the added fertiliser P was recovered as total P in the 0–100 mm soil layer after 37 years of phosphate addition. The content of both inorganic and organic forms of soil P increased with the addition of fertiliser P. The accumulation of organic P increased linearly up to a cumulative P input of 745 kg P ha⁻¹ and plateaued thereafter. The majority of organic P in all treatments was detected as a broad signal in the phosphomonoester region of solution ³¹P nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectra; this also accounted for 79% of the accumulated organic P in fertilised soil. Our results indicate that accumulation of P in the organic portion as complex forms eventually reaches a new equilibrium where no net accumulation would be expected with further addition of phosphate.Timothy I. McLaren, Ronald J. Smernik, Michael J. McLaughlin, Therese M. McBeath, Malcolm R. McCaskill, Fiona A. Robertson, Richard J. Simpso

    Effects of grazing method and fertiliser inputs on the productivity and sustainability of phalaris-based pastures in Western Victoria

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    The effects of combinations of different fertiliser rates and grazing methods applied to phalaris-based pastures on an acid, saline, yellow sodosol on the Dundas Tablelands of western Victoria (mean annual rainfall 623 mm) were measured from 1997 to 2000. The objective was to help identify management systems that improve phalaris growth and persistence, water use, and animal production, and thereby the productivity and sustainability of grazing systems. Pastures were either set stocked with low [mean 6.4 kg phosphorus (P)/ha.year] or high (mean 25 kg P/ha.year) fertiliser rates, or rotationally grazed with high fertiliser (mean 25 kg P/ha.year). Rotational grazing was implemented as either a simple '4-paddock' system (fixed rotation length), or a more intensive system where rotation length varied with pasture growth rate. Unreplicated paddocks of volunteer pasture (dominated by onion grass and annual grass weeds) receiving an average of 8 kg P/ha.year were also monitored. All treatments were stocked with spring-lambing Merino ewes. Stocking rate was an emergent property of each treatment, and was driven by pasture quality and availability. Total pasture herbage accumulation ranged from 7150 to 9750 kg DM/ha.year and was significantly lower on the set-stocked, low-fertility treatment than on all other treatments. A significant treatment.day effect in the spline analysis of herbage mass was explained by a trend toward higher pasture mass in the rotationally grazed treatments than set-stocked treatments from the break of season until mid-spring. Rotational grazing led to significantly higher phalaris herbage accumulation than set stocking (mean 3680 v. 2120 kg DM/ha.year), but significantly lower subterranean clover herbage accumulation (1440 v. 2490 kg DM/ha.year). Despite the stronger growth of deep-rooted phalaris in the rotationally grazed treatments, maximum soil water deficits at the end of summer differed only slightly between treatments, with the difference between driest and wettest treatments amounting to only 14 mm. Summer growth of phalaris was apparently insufficient to generate significant differences in soil water extraction at depth, even when phalaris content was increased by rotational grazing, and re-wetting of the soil profile occurred at a similar rate for all treatments. Rotationally grazed treatments supported higher stocking rates than set-stocked treatments at high fertiliser rates (mean 14.9 v. 13.7 ewes/ha), but apparent losses in pasture feeding value due to lower legume content under rotational grazing meant that there were few significant differences between treatments in lamb production per hectare. The experiment showed that grazing method can have a substantial and rapid effect on pasture botanical composition. There are clear opportunities for producers to use temporal and spatial combinations of set stocking and rotational grazing to manipulate herbage mass and pasture composition within broad target ranges for achieving both animal production (e.g. high per-head animal performance) and sustainability (e.g. persistence of perennial grasses) objectives. Rigid application of either set stocking or rotational grazing imposes limitations on both pasture and animal production, and neither grazing method will optimise system performance under all conditions. The experiment also demonstrated that management and land-use changes that have much greater potential to increase water use than those examined here will be needed to ensure the sustainability of pasture systems in the high rainfall zone of western Victoria

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    Phosphorus and Sulphur Cycling in Terrestrial Ecosystems

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