Non-Keynesian effects of Government Spending: Some implications for the Stability and Growth Pact

The paper focuses on the non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy, specifically government expenditure on output in Bulgaria. The main finding of the study is that the size of the fiscal impulse is the most important determinant of the non-Keynesian outcome. Also, the results imply that the “balanced-budget rule” does not automatically assure growth; the regulations regarding the budgetary categories themselves should also be considered.Fiscal policy; Non-Keynesian effects; balanced-budget rule; Stability and Growth Pact

The Stabilizing Role of Fiscal Policy: Theoretical Background and Empirical Evidence

Тhе study sheds light on the stabilizing role of government budget. It finds that in Bulgaria both taxes and government spending are negatively related to the real growth rate. This leads to the conclusion that budgetary expenditure influence output in a non-Keynesian fashion. The size of discretionary fiscal impulse is the main determinant of the non-Keynesian outcome. The results imply that although the balanced budget ensures the sustainability of public finances, it does not guarantee a growth-stimulating effect in case of a large government sector. Abstention from an active fiscal policy would allow the automatic stabilizers to operate freely and to counteract the negative shocks to the economy.government budget, stabilizing fiscal policy, Keynesian vs. non-Keynesian effects

Non-Keynesian effects of Government Spending: Some implications for the Stability and Growth Pact

The paper focuses on the non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy, specifically government expenditure on output in Bulgaria. The main finding of the study is that the size of the fiscal impulse is the most important determinant of the non-Keynesian outcome. Also, the results imply that the “balanced-budget rule” does not automatically assure growth; the regulations regarding the budgetary categories themselves should also be considered

Non-Keynesian effects of Government Spending: Some implications for the Stability and Growth Pact

The paper focuses on the non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy, specifically government expenditure on output in Bulgaria. The main finding of the study is that the size of the fiscal impulse is the most important determinant of the non-Keynesian outcome. Also, the results imply that the “balanced-budget rule” does not automatically assure growth; the regulations regarding the budgetary categories themselves should also be considered

Non-Keynesian Effects of Government Expenditure on Output in Bulgaria: An HP Filter Approach

A large body of recent studies has explored the presence of non-Keynesian fiscal policy effects in advanced European economies, while relevant empirical sources on post-communist economies are scarce. In the context of the constraints imposed by the SGP, it is crucial for EU New Member States and acceding countries to estimate the macroeconomic impact of discretionary fiscal intervention. This article focuses on the effects of government expenditure on short-term output in the Bulgarian economy a few years prior to EU accession. It finds that government investment affects real growth in a Keynesian fashion while transfers and public consumption exhibit non-Keynesian behaviour. The cyclically adjusted components of the general government budget, computed by HP filter, form the basis of the analysis. The results support the conclusions of relevant studies about advanced European economies.