Cut-off values of immunological tests to identify patients at high risk of severe lupus nephritis

Cut-off values for anti-dsDNA, anti-nucleosome and anti-C1q antibodies tests and for complementmediated hemolytic activity (CH50) were explored to identify patients with high risk of developing severe lupus nephritis (LN). Forty-one patients with confirmed systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) were identified; their levels for the three antibodies and complement had been measured on a same serum sample. These patients were classified based on the presence of renal involvem ent; sixteen had active proliferative LN. With the cut-off values accepted in the laboratory for SLE diagnosis (anti-dsDNA > 100 UI/ml, anti-nucleosome > 50 U/ml or CH50 40 U/ml showed a statistically significant association with LN and had 80% of specificity. Cut-off values for LN identified by Receiver Operating Characteristic curves (ROC) were higher for anti-dsDNA (> 455 IU/ml) and antinucleosome (>107 U/ml), lower for CH50 ( 41 U/ml) coincided with the cut-off values accepted for SLE. Anti-C1q > 134 U/ml had a 92% of specificity, 56% of sensibility and was associated with a fifteen-fold increased risk of LN. The simultaneous presence of anti-nucleosome > 107 U/ml and anti-C1q > 134 U/ml was associated with a 27-fold higher probability for LN. According to these results, the cut-off values used to detect SLE activity could be inadequate to identify patients at high risk of severe L