Are moderate parties rewarded in multiparty systems?

We present cross-national analyses - both cross-sectional and longitudinal - estimating the vote shares for approximately 80 parties across Western Europe from 1984 to 1998. The results indicate that parties' vote shares increase with their proximity to the centre of the voter distribution, although the effects are relatively small. These findings corroborate the theoretical results reported by Lin et al. in their article 'Equilibrium in Multican-didate Probabilistic Spatial Voting' (Public Choice, Vol. 98, pp. 59-82), and provide support for conclusions reported by other authors who rely on simulations of individual-level data from national election surveys. © European Consortium for Political Research 2005

Research Note: On the inverse relationship between votes and proximity for niche parties

Do niche parties occupying left-right policy positions that diverge sharply from the centre of the voter distribution gain more popular support than those moderately positioned along the left-right continuum? Cross-sectional analyses, based on observations from twelve Western European countries from 1984-1998, are presented that suggest the answer is 'yes'. By contrast, these analyses strongly suggest that for mainstream parties, policy radicalism depresses popular support. The implication of these findings is that for niche parties, it is the distinctiveness of their left-right positions that enhances their competitiveness in democratic elections. While this finding runs counter to the intuition of standard spatial theory, it is consistent with recent dynamic accounts of niche party responsiveness to shifts in public opinion and electoral support for niche parties. These findings have implications for party strategies, spatial theories and the understanding of political representation. © 2007 (European Consortium for Political Research)

Electoral change in Western countries Consequences of post-industrial social change

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Do parties persist or disappear The big tradeoff facing organizations

Available from British Library Lending Division - LD:8491.303(CSPP--134) / BLDSC - British Library Document Supply CentreSIGLEGBUnited Kingdo