2 research outputs found
A model of COVID-19 pandemic evolution in African countries
We studied the COVID-19 pandemic evolution in selected African countries. For
each country considered, we modeled simultaneously the data of the active,
recovered and death cases. In this study, we used a year of data since the
first cases were reported. We estimated the time-dependent basic reproduction
numbers, , and the fractions of infected but unaffected populations, to
offer insights into containment and vaccine strategies in African countries. We
found that at the start of the pandemic but has since fallen to
. The unaffected fractions of the populations studied vary between
\% of the recovered cases.Comment: 27 pages, 9 figures and 1 tabl