GROUNDWATER LEVEL PREDICTION USING DEEP RECURRENT NEURAL NETWORKS AND UNCERTAINTY ASSESSMENT

Groundwater is one of the most important sources of regional water supply for humans. In recent years, several factors have contributed to a significant decline in groundwater levels (GWL) in certain regions. As a result of climate change, such as temperature increase, rainfall decrease, and changes in relative humidity, it is necessary to investigate and model the effects of these factors on GWL. Although a number of researches have been conducted on GWL modeling with machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms, only a limited number of studies have reported model uncertainty. In this paper, GWL modeling of some piezometric wells has been conducted by considering the effects of the meteorological parameters with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithms. The models were trained on one piezometric well data and predictions were executed on six other wells. To perform an uncertainty assessment, the models were run 10 times and their means were calculated. Subsequently, their standard deviations were considered to evaluate the outcomes. In addition, the prediction power of the models was validated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Normalized Root Mean Square Error (NRMSE), and R-Squared (R2). Finally, for all the six wells that did not participate in the training phase, the prediction functions of the trained models were run 10 times and their accuracy was assessed. The results indicate that LSTM (R2=95.6895, RMSE=0.4744 m, NRMSE=0.0558, MAE=0.3383 m) had a better performance compared to that of GRU (R2=95.2433, RMSE=0.4984 m, NRMSE=0.0586, MAE=0.3658 m) on the GWL modeling

Low knowledge of newborn danger signs among pregnant women in Papua New Guinea and implications for health seeking behaviour in early infancy – findings from a longitudinal study

Background: Globally, 2.5 million babies die in the first 28 days of life each year with most of these deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries. Early recognition of newborn danger signs is important in prompting timely care seeking behaviour. Little is known about women’s knowledge of newborn danger signs in Papua New Guinea. This study aims to assess this knowledge gap among a cohort of women in East New Britain Province. Methods: This study assessed knowledge of newborn danger signs (as defined by the World Health Organization) at three time points from a prospective cohort study of women in East New Britain Province, factors associated with knowledge of danger signs after childbirth were assessed using logistic regression. This study includes quantitative and qualitative interview data from 699 pregnant women enrolled at their first antenatal clinic visit, followed up after childbirth (n = 638) and again at one-month post-partum (n = 599). Results: Knowledge of newborn danger signs was very low. Among the 638 women, only 9.4% knew three newborn danger signs after childbirth and only one knew all four essential danger signs defined by Johns Hopkins University ‘Birth Preparedness and Complication Readiness’ Index. Higher knowledge scores were associated with higher gravidity, income level, partner involvement in antenatal care, and education. Conclusion: Low levels of knowledge of newborn danger signs among pregnant women are a potential obstacle to timely care-seeking in rural Papua New Guinea. Antenatal and postnatal education, and policies that support enhanced education and decision-making powers for women and their families, are urgently needed

Replication of TCF4 through Association and Linkage Studies in Late-Onset Fuchs Endothelial Corneal Dystrophy

Fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy (FECD) is a common, late-onset disorder of the corneal endothelium. Although progress has been made in understanding the genetic basis of FECD by studying large families in which the phenotype is transmitted in an autosomal dominant fashion, a recently reported genome-wide association study identified common alleles at a locus on chromosome 18 near TCF4 which confer susceptibility to FECD. Here, we report the findings of our independent validation study for TCF4 using the largest FECD dataset to date (450 FECD cases and 340 normal controls). Logistic regression with sex as a covariate was performed for three genetic models: dominant (DOM), additive (ADD), and recessive (REC). We found significant association with rs613872, the target marker reported by Baratz et al.(2010), for all three genetic models (DOM: P = 9.33×10−35; ADD: P = 7.48×10−30; REC: P = 5.27×10−6). To strengthen the association study, we also conducted a genome-wide linkage scan on 64 multiplex families, composed primarily of affected sibling pairs (ASPs), using both parametric and non-parametric two-point and multipoint analyses. The most significant linkage region localizes to chromosome 18 from 69.94cM to 85.29cM, with a peak multipoint HLOD = 2.5 at rs1145315 (75.58cM) under the DOM model, mapping 1.5 Mb proximal to rs613872. In summary, our study presents evidence to support the role of the intronic TCF4 single nucleotide polymorphism rs613872 in late-onset FECD through both association and linkage studies

RADIOLOGICAL FINDINGS IN PROGRESSIVE SYSTEMIC SCLEROSIS (P.S.S.)

Radiological findings of 20 patients with scleroderma have been described. We had cornmon and uncommon roentgen signs of scleroderma similar to other series and one case with mid esophagus narrowing which we think have not been reported previously

Outcomes of Femtosecond Laser-Assisted Cataract Surgery Compared to Conventional Phacoemulsification in Eyes with Pseudoexfoliation Syndrome

To compare the outcomes including complications, in a large cohort of eyes with pseudoexfoliation syndrome that underwent Femtosecond Laser-Assisted Cataract Surgery (FLACS) versus conventional phacoemulsification. Retrospective cohort study. A total of 513 eyes from 366 patients with pseudoexfoliation syndrome that underwent cataract surgery between April 1, 2014, and December 31, 2018. Charts were reviewed for preoperative examination findings, intraoperative complications, and post-operative outcomes. Best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) was measured by logMAR and compared between groups at one month and the final follow-up visit. Of 513 eyes, 71 (13.8%) underwent FLACS, and 442 (86.2%) eyes underwent conventional cataract surgery. Between the two groups, there was no difference in the incidence of vitreous prolapse, capsular tear, pupillary expansion device usage, capsular tension support device usage, or postoperative cystoid macular edema (p > .05 for all). At the final visit, there was no significant difference in BCVA between FLACS and conventional phacoemulsification groups (mean logMAR 0.26 vs. 0.25, p = .87). When comparing FLACS and conventional phacoemulsification in eyes with pseudoexfoliation syndrome, no difference was seen in the incidence of complications. BCVA was comparable between the two groups. Zonular weakness significantly increased the risk of complications in both groups

Clinical trial data sharing: a cross-sectional study of outcomes associated with two U.S. National Institutes of Health models

Abstract The impact and effectiveness of clinical trial data sharing initiatives may differ depending on the data sharing model used. We characterized outcomes associated with models previously used by the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH): National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute’s (NHLBI) centralized model and National Cancer Institute’s (NCI) decentralized model. We identified trials completed in 2010–2013 that met NIH data sharing criteria and matched studies based on cost and/or size, determining whether trial data were shared, and for those that were, the frequency of secondary internal publications (authored by at least one author from the original research team) and shared data publications (authored by a team external to the original research team). We matched 77 NHLBI-funded trials to 77 NCI-funded trials; among these, 20 NHLBI-sponsored trials (26%) and 4 NCI-sponsored trials (5%) shared data (OR 6.4, 95% CI: 2.1, 19.8). From the 4 NCI-sponsored trials sharing data, we identified 65 secondary internal and 2 shared data publications. From the 20 NHLBI-sponsored trials sharing data, we identified 188 secondary internal and 53 shared data publications. The NHLBI’s centralized data sharing model was associated with more trials sharing data and more shared data publications when compared with the NCI’s decentralized model

Intraocular Lens Unfurling Time Exponentially Decays with Increased Solution Temperature

Erick E Rocher,1 Rishima Mukherjee,1 James Pitingolo,1 Eli Levenshus,1 Gwyneth Alexander,1 Minyoung Park,1 Rupsa Acharya,1 Sarah Khan,1 Jordan Shuff,1 Andres Aguirre,1 Shababa Matin,2 Keith Walter,3 Allen O Eghrari4 1Center for Bioengineering Innovation and Design, Department of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA; 2Rice 360 Institute for Global Health Technologies, Rice University, Houston, TX, USA; 3Department of Ophthalmology, Wake Forest Baptist Health, Winston-Salem, NC, USA; 4Department of Ophthalmology, Wilmer Eye Institute, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USACorrespondence: Allen O Eghrari, Department of Ophthalmology, Wilmer Eye Institute, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, 400 N Broadway, Smith 5013, Baltimore, MD, 21231, USA, Email [email protected]: Intraocular lens (IOL) unfurling can be a rate-limiting step in cataract surgery, limiting operative efficiency. Furthermore, inefficient unfurling has important implications for clinical outcomes. We examine the effects of solution temperature on IOL unfurling time using three in vitro models of the ocular environment.Methods: IOLs were injected into a 6-well plate filled with balanced salt solution (BSS), dispersive ophthalmic viscoelastic device (OVD), or cohesive OVD. Experiments were also performed in a plastic eye filled with dispersive or cohesive OVD. IOL unfurling time was recorded against the temperature of the respective solution.Results: IOL unfurling time decayed exponentially as solution temperature increased in all experiments, including the BSS-filled 6-well plate, the OVD-filled 6-well plate, and the OVD-filled plastic eye. IOLs failed to unfurl within 10 min at 10°C, below the glass transition temperature of the tested IOLs. Increasing solution temperature from 20°C to 30°C decreases IOL unfurling by greater than 2 min. Further heating to 40°C did not significantly decrease IOL unfurling time.Conclusion: Increased solution temperature rapidly decreases IOL unfurling time in vitro. IOLs do not unfurl within a clinically acceptable timeframe at or below their glass transition temperature. Increased BSS and/or OVD temperature may be a potential method to decrease IOL unfurling time in cataract surgery. However, future research is needed to elucidate potential consequences of warmed BSS and/or OVD on post-operative outcomes. This study demonstrates the potential for temperature regulation to decrease cataract surgery operative time and provides preliminary evidence to justify future clinical validation of this relationship.Plain Language Summary: During cataract surgery, a prosthetic intraocular lens (IOL) is inserted into the eye once the clouded lens is removed. The IOL must then unfurl before the procedure can proceed. When IOLs fail to unfurl or unfurl slowly, this can delay the operation and may even cause post-operative complications. Thus, we studied the effect temperature may have on IOL unfurling time to optimize this segment of the operation.We injected IOLs into solutions of saline (balanced salt solution) or ophthalmic viscoelastic device (OVD), two fluids injected into the eye during surgery. In both a well plate and a plastic eye, we found that increasing the temperature of the solution significantly affected IOL unfurling time. Specifically, heating the solution from refrigeration to room temperature decreased unfurling time from over 10 min to less than four. Heating to physiological temperature further decreased unfurling time to less than a minute.Our results show promise for potentially utilizing heated BSS and/or OVD to accelerate IOL unfurling and decrease cataract surgery operative time.Keywords: cataract surgery, balanced salt solution, ophthalmic viscoelastic devic

Quality and Agreement With Scientific Consensus of ChatGPT Information Regarding Corneal Transplantation and Fuchs Dystrophy

PURPOSEChatGPT is a commonly used source of information by patients and clinicians. However, it can be prone to error and requires validation. We sought to assess the quality and accuracy of information regarding corneal transplantation and Fuchs dystrophy from 2 iterations of ChatGPT, and whether its answers improve over time.METHODSA total of 10 corneal specialists collaborated to assess responses of the algorithm to 10 commonly asked questions related to endothelial keratoplasty and Fuchs dystrophy. These questions were asked from both ChatGPT-3.5 and its newer generation, GPT-4. Assessments tested quality, safety, accuracy, and bias of information. Chi-squared, Fisher exact tests, and regression analyses were conducted.RESULTSWe analyzed 180 valid responses. On a 1 (A+) to 5 (F) scale, the average score given by all specialists across questions was 2.5 for ChatGPT-3.5 and 1.4 for GPT-4, a significant improvement (P < 0.0001). Most responses by both ChatGPT-3.5 (61%) and GPT-4 (89%) used correct facts, a proportion that significantly improved across iterations (P < 0.00001). Approximately a third (35%) of responses from ChatGPT-3.5 were considered against the scientific consensus, a notable rate of error that decreased to only 5% of answers from GPT-4 (P < 0.00001).CONCLUSIONSThe quality of responses in ChatGPT significantly improved between versions 3.5 and 4, and the odds of providing information against the scientific consensus decreased. However, the technology is still capable of producing inaccurate statements. Corneal specialists are uniquely positioned to assist users to discern the veracity and application of such information