Welfare Reform and the Labor Market: Earnings Potential and Welfare Benefits in California, 1972–1994

Promotion of work is prominent in the rhetoric of current welfare reform efforts. The success of welfare-to-work policies is in part dependent on earnings available in employment. In this paper we use Current Population Survey data for the years 1972–1994 to develop measures of potential earnings from full-time work for low-skilled men and women in California and to compare the trend in earnings capacity for such people to welfare benefits. We find that while benefits have declined, earnings capacity has fallen faster, and the downward trend is particularly pronounced for men. Both the downward trends in benefits and potential earnings appear to have accelerated in recent years. State attempts to address the problem of low wages by expanding the opportunity for combining welfare with work may conflict with federal efforts to require that assistance be transitory.

The Loudest Event Statistic: General Formulation, Properties and Applications

The use of the loudest observed event to generate statistical statements about rate and strength has become standard in searches for gravitational waves from compact binaries and pulsars. The Bayesian formulation of the method is generalized in this paper to allow for uncertainties both in the background estimate and in the properties of the population being constrained. The method is also extended to allow rate interval construction. Finally, it is shown how to combine the results from multiple experiments and a comparison is drawn between the upper limit obtained in a single search and the upper limit obtained by combining the results of two experiments each of half the original duration. To illustrate this, we look at an example case, motivated by the search for gravitational waves from binary inspiral.Comment: 11 pages, 8 figure

Breast Cancer: Modelling and Detection

This paper reviews a number of the mathematical models used in cancer modelling and then chooses a specific cancer, breast carcinoma, to illustrate how the modelling can be used in aiding detection. We then discuss mathematical models that underpin mammographic image analysis, which complements models of tumour growth and facilitates diagnosis and treatment of cancer. Mammographic images are notoriously difficult to interpret, and we give an overview of the primary image enhancement technologies that have been introduced, before focusing on a more detailed description of some of our own recent work on the use of physics-based modelling in mammography. This theoretical approach to image analysis yields a wealth of information that could be incorporated into the mathematical models, and we conclude by describing how current mathematical models might be enhanced by use of this information, and how these models in turn will help to meet some of the major challenges in cancer detection

The Effect of the Housing Boom on Farm Land Values via Tax-Deferred Exchanges

This project examines Section 1031 of the Internal Revenue Code and agriculture land exchanges. Stakeholders in rural communities and agriculture are particularly interested in Section 1031 because the recent growth in transaction values of farmland may have, in part, been stimulated by Section 1031 land exchanges. Further, although many have speculated that such exchanges are widely used, little empirical research exists about the provision. We examine the theory of exchanges and develop a theoretical premium value for exchanges. We also present the first evidence of like-kind exchanges involving farmland using Federal tax data.Like-Kind Exchange, Capital Gains Tax, Agricultural Land, Land Economics/Use, Public Economics, Q15, H24,

A nonlinear detection algorithm for periodic signals in gravitational wave detectors

We present an algorithm for the detection of periodic sources of gravitational waves with interferometric detectors that is based on a special symmetry of the problem: the contributions to the phase modulation of the signal from the earth rotation are exactly equal and opposite at any two instants of time separated by half a sidereal day; the corresponding is true for the contributions from the earth orbital motion for half a sidereal year, assuming a circular orbit. The addition of phases through multiplications of the shifted time series gives a demodulated signal; specific attention is given to the reduction of noise mixing resulting from these multiplications. We discuss the statistics of this algorithm for all-sky searches (which include a parameterization of the source spin-down), in particular its optimal sensitivity as a function of required computational power. Two specific examples of all-sky searches (broad-band and narrow-band) are explored numerically, and their performances are compared with the stack-slide technique (P. R. Brady, T. Creighton, Phys. Rev. D, 61, 082001).Comment: 9 pages, 3 figures, to appear in Phys. Rev.

Cosmic Censorship: As Strong As Ever

Spacetimes which have been considered counter-examples to strong cosmic censorship are revisited. We demonstrate the classical instability of the Cauchy horizon inside charged black holes embedded in de Sitter spacetime for all values of the physical parameters. The relevant modes which maintain the instability, in the regime which was previously considered stable, originate as outgoing modes near to the black hole event horizon. This same mechanism is also relevant for the instability of Cauchy horizons in other proposed counter-examples of strong cosmic censorship.Comment: 4 pages RevTeX style, 1 figure included using epsfi

Anisotropic Diffusion Limited Aggregation

Using stochastic conformal mappings we study the effects of anisotropic perturbations on diffusion limited aggregation (DLA) in two dimensions. The harmonic measure of the growth probability for DLA can be conformally mapped onto a constant measure on a unit circle. Here we map $m$ preferred directions for growth of angular width $\sigma$ to a distribution on the unit circle which is a periodic function with $m$ peaks in $[-\pi, \pi)$ such that the width $\sigma$ of each peak scales as $\sigma \sim 1/\sqrt{k}$, where $k$ defines the ``strength'' of anisotropy along any of the $m$ chosen directions. The two parameters $(m,k)$ map out a parameter space of perturbations that allows a continuous transition from DLA (for $m=0$ or $k=0$) to $m$ needle-like fingers as $k \to \infty$. We show that at fixed $m$ the effective fractal dimension of the clusters $D(m,k)$ obtained from mass-radius scaling decreases with increasing $k$ from $D_{DLA} \simeq 1.71$ to a value bounded from below by $D_{min} = 3/2$. Scaling arguments suggest a specific form for the dependence of the fractal dimension $D(m,k)$ on $k$ for large $k$, form which compares favorably with numerical results.Comment: 6 pages, 4 figures, submitted to Phys. Rev.

Integrability of the Minimal Strain Equations for the Lapse and Shift in 3+1 Numerical Relativity

Brady, Creighton and Thorne have argued that, in numerical relativity simulations of the inspiral of binary black holes, if one uses lapse and shift functions satisfying the ``minimal strain equations'' (MSE), then the coordinates might be kept co-rotating, the metric components would then evolve on the very slow inspiral timescale, and the computational demands would thus be far smaller than for more conventional slicing choices. In this paper, we derive simple, testable criteria for the MSE to be strongly elliptic, thereby guaranteeing the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the Dirichlet boundary value problem. We show that these criteria are satisfied in a test-bed metric for inspiraling binaries, and we argue that they should be satisfied quite generally for inspiraling binaries. If the local existence and uniqueness that we have proved holds globally, then, for appropriate boundary values, the solution of the MSE exhibited by Brady et. al. (which tracks the inspiral and keeps the metric evolving slowly) will be the unique solution and thus should be reproduced by (sufficiently accurate and stable) numerical integrations.Comment: 6 pages; RevTeX; submitted to Phys. Rev. D15. Technical issue of the uniqueness of the solution to the Dirichlet problem clarified. New subsection on the nature of the boundary dat