Observations of Extrasolar Planets During the non-Cryogenic Spitzer Space Telescope Mission

Precision infrared photometry from Spitzer has enabled the first direct studies of light from extrasolar planets, via observations at secondary eclipse in transiting systems. Current Spitzer results include the first longitudinal temperature map of an extrasolar planet, and the first spectra of their atmospheres. Spitzer has also measured a temperature and precise radius for the first transiting Neptune-sized exoplanet, and is beginning to make precise transit timing measurements to infer the existence of unseen low mass planets. The lack of stellar limb darkening in the infrared facilitates precise radius and transit timing measurements of transiting planets. Warm Spitzer will be capable of a precise radius measurement for Earth-sized planets transiting nearby M-dwarfs, thereby constraining their bulk composition. It will continue to measure thermal emission at secondary eclipse for transiting hot Jupiters, and be able to distinguish between planets having broad band emission versus absorption spectra. It will also be able to measure the orbital phase variation of thermal emission for close-in planets, even non-transiting planets, and these measurements will be of special interest for planets in eccentric orbits. Warm Spitzer will be a significant complement to Kepler, particularly as regards transit timing in the Kepler field. In addition to studying close-in planets, Warm Spitzer will have significant application in sensitive imaging searches for young planets at relatively large angular separations from their parent stars.Comment: 12 pages, 7 figures, to appear in "Science Opportunities for the Warm Spitzer Mission

A Preliminary Examination of Age-Related Differences in Perceived Complexity at Fatal-Crash Intersections

Younger and older drivers are both overrepresented in fatal crashes that occur at intersections, however, after adjusting for other significant factors (i.e., being at fault type of road, weather, lighting) the increased risk cannot be fully accounted for older drivers, nor does frailty. Thus, increased risk for older drivers could be due to their agerelated cognitive declines and possible differences in perceptions of intersections. The current study examines whether older drivers’ perceived complexity of intersections differed quantitatively and qualitatively from younger drivers’ perceived complexity of the same intersections. Coordinates of a random sample of intersections where at least one fatality occurred over a three-year period from the US Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) were identified and Google Earth was used to extract still images of each intersection. The complexity of these intersection images were rated by a sample (N =38) of younger (age 18-35) and older drivers (age 65+). Inter-rater reliability for each group was calculated. In addition, individual intersection images with the largest and smallest age differences were qualitatively examined. Results suggest that older drivers view the complexity of intersections differently than younger drivers. Overall, older drivers were less reliable and scored nominally higher on average in their complexity ratings than younger drivers. Moreover, older drivers tended to rate rural or residential intersections as being more complex than younger drivers; whereas younger drivers tended to rate urban intersections as being more complex. Future work should account for these age differences in perceived intersection complexity

Simulations of Damped Lyman-Alpha and Lyman Limit Absorbers in Different Cosmologies: Implications for Structure Formation at High Redshift

We use hydrodynamic cosmological simulations to study damped Lyman-alpha (DLA) and Lyman limit (LL) absorption at redshifts z=2-4 in five variants of the cold dark matter scenario. Our standard simulations resolve the formation of dense concentrations of neutral gas in halos with circular velocity v_c roughly 140 km/s for Omega_m=1 and 90 km/s for Omega_m=0.4, at z=2; an additional LCDM simulation resolves halos down to v_c approximately 50 km/s at z=3. We find a clear relation between HI column density and projected distance to the center of the nearest galaxy, with DLA absorption usually confined to galactocentric radii less than 10-15 kpc and LL absorption arising out to projected separations of 30 kpc or more. Detailed examination provides evidence of non-equilibrium effects on absorption cross-section. If we consider only absorption in the halos resolved by our standard simulations, then all five models fall short of reproducing the observed abundance of DLA and LL systems at these redshifts. If we extrapolate to lower halo masses, we find all four models are consistent with the observed abundance of DLA systems if the the extrapolated behavior extends to circular velocities roughly 50-80 km/s, and they may produce too much absorption if the relation continues to 40 km/s. Our results suggest that LL absorption is closely akin to DLA absorption, arising in less massive halos or at larger galactocentric radii but not caused by processes acting on a radically different mass scale.Comment: 33 pages with 10 embedded EPS figures. Substantially revised and updated from original version. Includes new high-resolution simulations. Accepted for publication in the Ap

Reliability of job-title based physical work exposures for the upper extremity: comparison to self-reported and observed exposure estimates

OBJECTIVES. To evaluate the agreement between job-title based estimates for upper extremity physical work exposures, compared to exposure estimates from work observation and worker self-report. METHODS. Self-reported exposure questionnaires were completed by 972 workers, and exposure estimates based on worksite observation were completed for a subset of 396 workers. Job-title based estimates were obtained from O*NET, an American database of job demands. Agreement between self-reported, observed, and job-title based physical work exposures were assessed using Spearman correlations and intraclass correlation coefficients. RESULTS. Job-title based exposure estimates from O*NET, self-reported, and observer-rated exposures showed moderate to good levels of agreement for some upper extremity exposures, including lifting, forceful grip, use of vibrating tools, and wrist bending. CONCLUSIONS. Job-title based physical work exposure variables may provide useful surrogate measures of upper extremity exposure data in the absence of other individual level data such as observed or self-reported exposure. Further validation of these data is necessary to determine the utility of the O*NET databases in future epidemiological studies

Robust Machine Learning Applied to Astronomical Datasets I: Star-Galaxy Classification of the SDSS DR3 Using Decision Trees

We provide classifications for all 143 million non-repeat photometric objects in the Third Data Release of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) using decision trees trained on 477,068 objects with SDSS spectroscopic data. We demonstrate that these star/galaxy classifications are expected to be reliable for approximately 22 million objects with r < ~20. The general machine learning environment Data-to-Knowledge and supercomputing resources enabled extensive investigation of the decision tree parameter space. This work presents the first public release of objects classified in this way for an entire SDSS data release. The objects are classified as either galaxy, star or nsng (neither star nor galaxy), with an associated probability for each class. To demonstrate how to effectively make use of these classifications, we perform several important tests. First, we detail selection criteria within the probability space defined by the three classes to extract samples of stars and galaxies to a given completeness and efficiency. Second, we investigate the efficacy of the classifications and the effect of extrapolating from the spectroscopic regime by performing blind tests on objects in the SDSS, 2dF Galaxy Redshift and 2dF QSO Redshift (2QZ) surveys. Given the photometric limits of our spectroscopic training data, we effectively begin to extrapolate past our star-galaxy training set at r ~ 18. By comparing the number counts of our training sample with the classified sources, however, we find that our efficiencies appear to remain robust to r ~ 20. As a result, we expect our classifications to be accurate for 900,000 galaxies and 6.7 million stars, and remain robust via extrapolation for a total of 8.0 million galaxies and 13.9 million stars. [Abridged]Comment: 27 pages, 12 figures, to be published in ApJ, uses emulateapj.cl

The Population of Damped Lyman-alpha and Lyman Limit Systems in the Cold Dark Matter Model

Lyman limit and damped Lyman-alpha absorption systems probe the distribution of collapsed, cold gas at high redshift. Numerical simulations that incorporate gravity and gas dynamics can predict the abundance of such absorbers in cosmological models. We develop a semi-analytical method to correct the numerical predictions for the contribution of unresolved low mass halos, and we apply this method to the Katz et al. (1996) simulation of the standard cold dark matter model ($\Omega=1$, $h=0.5$, $\Omega_b=0.05$, $\sigma_8=0.7$). Using this simulation and higher resolution simulations of individual low mass systems, we determine the relation between a halo's circular velocity $v_c$ and its cross section for producing Lyman limit or damped absorption. We combine this relation with the Press-Schechter formula for the abundance of halos to compute the number of absorbers per unit redshift. The resolution correction increases the predicted abundances by about a factor of two at z=2, 3, and 4, bringing the predicted number of damped absorbers into quite good agreement with observations. Roughly half of the systems reside in halos with circular velocities v_c>100\kms and half in halos with 35\kms. Halos with v_c>150\kms typically harbor two or more systems capable of producing damped absorption. Even with the resolution correction, the predicted abundance of Lyman limit systems is a factor of three below observational estimates, signifying either a failure of standard CDM or a failure of these simulations to resolve the systems responsible for most Lyman limit absorption. By comparing simulations with and without star formation, we find that depletion of the gas supply by star formation affects absorption line statistics at $z>=2$ only for column densities exceeding $N_{HI}=10^{22} cm^{-2}$.Comment: AASlatex, 17 pages w/ 3 embedded ps figures. Submitted to Ap

Testing Cosmological Models Against the Abundance of Damped Lyman-Alpha Absorbers

We calculate the number of damped Lyman-alpha absorbers expected in various popular cosmological models as a function of redshift and compare our predictions with observed abundances. The Press-Schechter formalism is used to obtain the distribution of halos with circular velocity in different cosmologies, and we calibrate the relation between circular velocity and absorption cross-section using detailed gas dynamical simulations of a ``standard'' cold dark matter (CDM) model. Because of this calibration, our approach makes more realistic assumptions about the absorption properties of collapsed objects than previous, analytic calculations of the damped Lyman-alpha abundance. CDM models with Omega_0=1, H_0=50, baryon density Omega_b=0.05, and scale-invariant primeval fluctuations reproduce the observed incidence and redshift evolution of damped Lyman-alpha absorption to within observational uncertainty, for both COBE normalization (sigma_8=1.2) and a lower normalization (sigma_8=0.7) that better matches the observed cluster abundance at z=0. A tilted (n=0.8, sigma_8=0.7) CDM model tends to underproduce absorption, especially at z=4. With COBE normalization, a CDM model with Omega_0=0.4, Omega_{Lambda}=0.6 gives an acceptable fit to the observed absorption; an open CDM model is marginally acceptable if Omega_0 is at least 0.4 and strongly inconsistent with the z=4 data if Omega_0=0.3. Mixed dark matter models tend not to produce sufficient absorption, being roughly comparable to tilted CDM models if Omega_{nu} = 0.2 and failing drastically if Omega_{nu} = 0.3.Comment: AASlatex, 13 pages w/ 2 embedded ps figures. To be published in ApJ, Sept. 1, 199

The Spitzer Warm Mission Science Prospects

After exhaustion of its cryogen, the Spitzer Space telescope will still have a fully functioning two-channel mid-IR camera that will have sensitivities better than any other ground or space-based telescopes until the launch of JWST. This document provides a description of the expected capabilities of Spitzer during its warm mission phase, and provides brief descriptions of several possible very large science programs that could be conducted. This information is intended to serve as input to a wide ranging discussion of the warm mission science, leading up to the Warm Mission Workshop in June 2007

Discovery of Damped Lyman-Alpha Systems at Redshifts Less Than 1.65 and Results on their Incidence and Cosmological Mass Density

We report results on the incidence and cosmological mass density of damped Lyman-alpha (DLA) systems at redshifts less that 1.65. We used HST and an efficient non-traditional (but unbiased) survey technique to discover DLA systems at redshifts z<1.65, where we observe the Lyman-alpha line in known MgII absorption-line systems. We uncovered 14 DLA lines including 2 serendipitously. We find that (1) The DLA absorbers are drawn almost exclusively from the population of MgII absorbers which have rest equivalent widths W(2796)>0.6A. (2) The incidence of DLA systems per unit redshift, n(DLA), is observed to decrease with decreasing redshift. (3) On the other hand, the cosmological mass density of neutral gas in low-redshift DLA absorbers, Omega(DLA), is observed to be comparable to that observed at high redshift. (4) The low-redshift DLA absorbers exhibit a significantly larger fraction of very high column density systems in comparison to determinations at both high redshift and locally.Comment: 47 pages in LaTeX - emulateapj style with included tables and encapsulated postscript figures. Accepted for Publication in Astrophysical Journal Supplements. Results unchanged, text revise