Prognostic value of coronary artery calcium score in symptomatic individuals: A meta-analysis of 34,000 subjects

Background: Coronary artery calcium (CAC) scanning has evolved into an important subclinical prediction method for cardiovascular diseases in asymptomatic subjects. However, the prognostic implication of CAC scanning in symptomatic individuals is less clear. Objectives: To assess the prognostic utility of CAC in predicting risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in stable patients with suspected CAD. Methods: We did a systematic electronic literature search for studies presenting original data in CAC score, and reporting cardiovascular events in stable, symptomatic patients as primary outcome. Primary outcome of the meta-analysis was the occurrence of MACE, a composite of late coronary revascularization, hospitalization for unstable angina or heart failure, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and cardiac death or all-cause mortality. Using random effects models, we pooled relative risk ratios of CAC for MACE, and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of the associations between different CAC strata (CAC 0–100,100–400, and ≥ 400, versus CAC = 0) and incident MACE. Results: We included 19 observational studies (n = 34,041). In total, 1601 events were analyzed, of which 158 in patients with CAC = 0. The pooled relative risk ratio was 5.71 (95%-CI: 3.98;8.19) for subjects with CAC > 0. The pooled estimate of adjusted HRs demonstrated increasing, positive associations, with the strongest association for CAC > 400 (HR: 4.88; 95%-CI: 2.44;9.27). Conclusions: This meta-analysis demonstrated that increased levels of CAC are strongly and independently associated with increased risk for MACE in stable, symptomatic patients with suspected CAD, showing increasing risk with greater CAC scores. Application of CAC scanning as a prediction method could be useful for a considerable number of such patients

Prognostic value of the coronary artery calcium score in suspected coronary artery disease: a study of 644 symptomatic patients

Aim: The long-term value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) scanning has not been studied extensively in symptomatic patients, but was evaluated by us in 644 consecutive patients referred for stable chest pain. Methods: We excluded patients with a history of cardiovascular disease and with a CAC score of zero. CAC scanning was done with a 16-row MDCT scanner. Endpoints were: (a) overall mortality, (b) mortality or non-fatal myocardial infarction and (c) the composite of mortality, myocardial infarction or coronary revascularisation. Revascularisations within 1 year following CAC scanning were not considered. Results: The mean age of the 320 women and 324 men was 63 years. Follow-up was over 8 years. There were 58 mortalities, while 22 patients suffered non-fatal myocardial infarction and 24 underwent coronary revascularisation, providing 104 combined endpoints. Cumulative 8‑year survival was 95% with CAC score 100 and 100 and ≥400 units was 2.6 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23–5.54], and 4.6 (95% CI 2.1–9.47) respectively. After correction for clinical risk factors, CAC score remained independently associated with increased risk of cardiac events. Conclusions: Risk increased with increasing CAC score. Patients with CAC >100 or ≥400 Agatston units were at increased risk of major adverse cardiac events and are eligible for preventive measures. CAC scanning provided incremental prognostic information to guide the choice of diagnostic and therapeutic options in many subjects evaluated for chest pain