The impact of indoor residual spraying (IRS) on malaria prevalence between 2001 and 2009 in Mpumalanga province, South Africa

Background Malaria remains a serious epidemic threat in the Lowveld region of Mpumalanga Province. In order to appropriately target interventions to achieve substantial reductions in malaria morbidity and mortality, there is a need to assess the impact of current control interventions such as indoor residual spraying (IRS) for vector control. This study aimed to assess long-term changes in the burden of malaria in Mpumalanga Province during the past eight years (2001-2009) and whether IRS and climate variability had an effect on these changes. Methods All malaria cases and deaths notified to the Malaria Control Programme, Department of Health was reviewed for the period 2001 to 2009. Data were retrieved from the provincial Integrated Malaria Information System (IMIS) database. Climate and population data were obtained from the South Africa Weather Service and Statistics South Africa, respectively. Descriptive statistics were computed to determine any temporal changes in malaria morbidity and mortality. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were developed to assess the effect of climatic factors on malaria. Results Within the eight-year period of the study, a total of 35,191 cases and 164 deaths-attributed to malaria were notified in Mpumalanga Province. There was a significant decrease in the incidence of malaria in Mpumalanga Province from 385 in 2001/02 to 50 cases per 100,000 population in 2008/09 (P 65 years). Mortality due to malaria was higher in those >65 years, the mean CFR reaching a 2.1% peak. Almost half (47.8%) of the notified cases originated from Mozambique and Mpumalanga Province itself constituted 50.1%. The distribution of malaria varied across the districts, highest in Ehlanzeni district (96.5%), lowest in Nkangala (<1%) and Gert Sibande (<1%). A notable decline in malaria case notification was observed following the increased IRS coverage from 2006/07 to 2008/09 malaria seasons. A distinct seasonal transmission pattern was found to be significantly related to changes in rainfall patterns (P = 0.007). Conclusion Decades of continuous IRS with insecticides have proved to be successful in reducing the burden of malaria morbidity and mortality in Mpumalanga Province between 2001 and 2009. A decline of above 50% in malaria morbidity and mortality was observed following expanded IRS coverage. These results highlight the need to continue with IRS together with other control strategies until interruption in local malaria transmission is completely achieved and alternative vector control strategies implemented. Efforts need to be directed towards the control of imported cases, interruption of local transmission and focus on research into sustainable and cost-effective combination of control interventions.Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2012.School of Health Systems and Public Health (SHSPH)Unrestricte

Changes in malaria morbidity and mortality in Mpumalanga Province, South Africa (2001- 2009): a retrospective study

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Malaria remains a serious epidemic threat in Mpumalanga Province. In order to appropriately target interventions to achieve substantial reduction in the burden of malaria and ultimately eliminate the disease, there is a need to track progress of malaria control efforts by assessing the time trends and evaluating the impact of current control interventions. This study aimed to assess the changes in the burden of malaria in Mpumalanga Province during the past eight malaria seasons (2001/02 to 2008/09) and whether indoor residual spraying (IRS) and climate variability had an effect on these changes.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>This is a descriptive retrospective study based on the analysis of secondary malaria surveillance data (cases and deaths) in Mpumalanga Province. Data were extracted from the Integrated Malaria Information System. Time series model (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) was used to assess the association between climate and malaria.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Within the study period, a total of 35,191 cases and 164 deaths due to malaria were notified in Mpumalanga Province. There was a significant decrease in the incidence of malaria from 385 in 2001/02 to 50 cases per 100,000 population in 2008/09 (<it>P </it>< 0.005). The incidence and case fatality (CFR) rates for the study period were 134 cases per 100,000 and 0.54%, respectively. Mortality due to malaria was lower in infants and children (CFR < 0.5%) and higher in those >65 years, with the mean CFR of 2.1% as compared to the national target of 0.5%. A distinct seasonal transmission pattern was found to be significantly related to changes in rainfall patterns (<it>P </it>= 0.007). A notable decline in malaria case notification was observed following apparent scale-up of IRS coverage from 2006/07 to 2008/09 malaria seasons.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Mpumalanga Province has achieved the goal of reducing malaria morbidity and mortality by over 70%, partly as a result of scale-up of IRS intervention in combination with other control strategies. These results highlight the need to continue with IRS together with other control strategies until interruption in local malaria transmission is completely achieved. However, the goal to eliminate malaria as a public health problem requires efforts to be directed towards the control of imported malaria cases; development of strategies to interrupt local transmission; and maintaining high quality surveillance and reporting system.</p