Assessment of the main features of the model of dissemination of information in social networks

Social networks provide a fairly wide range of data that allows one way or another to evaluate the effect of the dissemination of information. This article presents the results of a study that describes methods for determining the key parameters of the model needed to analyze and predict the dissemination of information in social networks. An approach based on the analysis of statistical data on user behavior in social networks is proposed. The process of evaluating the main features of the model is described, including the mathematical methods used for data analysis and information dissemination modeling. The study aims to understand the processes of information dissemination in social networks and develop recommendations for the effective use of social networks as a communication and brand promotion tool, as well as to consider the analytical properties of the classical susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model and evaluate its applicability to the problem of information dissemination. The results of the study can be used to create algorithms and techniques that will effectively manage the process of information dissemination in social networks

Enhancing LAN Failure Predictions with Decision Trees and SVMs: Methodology and Implementation

Predicting Local Area Network (LAN) equipment failure is of utmost importance to ensure the uninterrupted operation of modern communication networks. This study explores the use of machine learning algorithms to enhance the accuracy of equipment failure prediction in LAN environments. Using these algorithms to enhance LAN failure predictions involves collecting and analyzing network data, such as packet loss rates and latency, to identify patterns and anomalies. These algorithms can then predict potential LAN failures by recognizing early warning signs and deviations from normal network behavior. By leveraging machine learning, network administrators can proactively address issues, reduce downtime, and improve overall network reliability. In our study, two powerful machine learning algorithms—decision tree and support vector machine (SVM)—are used. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed models, a comprehensive dataset comprising various LAN equipment parameters and corresponding failure instances is utilized. The dataset is pre-processed to handle missing values and normalize features, ensuring the algorithms’ optimal performance. Performance metrics, such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, are employed to assess the predictive capabilities of the models. The excremental results of our study lead to more reliable and stable network operations by allowing early detection of potential issues and preventive maintenance. This leads to reduced downtime, improved network performance, and enhanced overall user satisfaction. They demonstrate the efficacy of both decision tree and SVM algorithms in accurately predicting LAN equipment failure

Study of the Process of Packet Arrival at a Multiservice Node

The paper considers the main ways of describing the process that characterizes the arrival of packets to a multiservice node of a telecommunications network. The features of the process under consideration are best represented by the cumulative distribution function A(t). It determines the distribution of the interval size between the moments of arrival of neighboring packets to the multiservice node. These intervals are random values. If it is not possible to perform measurements that allow the choosing of the A(t) function, then the distribution law of random variables is selected based on reasonable assumptions. For telephone switching nodes, the Poisson flow hypothesis was used, which is often similar to the symmetric distribution of the number of calls at time interval t. The results of traffic measurements for multiservice switching nodes showed that the studied distribution is inherently asymmetric. This paper mainly considers the possibility of choosing the A(t) function based on the measurement results presented in a form of the histogram a(t), which contains a series of values. This histogram allows us to obtain the desired distribution as a stepwise function by integration of the a(t). Practical interest is associated with the possibility of reducing the number of readings used to assess the A(t) function. The methods used by some authors are based on the application of arbitrarily chosen functions A(t) with so-called heavy tails. The proposed approach is based on real distributions defined at a finite time interval. As a result of this research, a methodology has been developed to accurately describe the process of packet arrival at the input of the multiservice node. The proposed methodology is based on analytical methods. It guarantees error minimization when investigating the probabilistic characteristics of a switching node in a multiservice network

Study of the Process of Packet Arrival at a Multiservice Node

The paper considers the main ways of describing the process that characterizes the arrival of packets to a multiservice node of a telecommunications network. The features of the process under consideration are best represented by the cumulative distribution function A(t). It determines the distribution of the interval size between the moments of arrival of neighboring packets to the multiservice node. These intervals are random values. If it is not possible to perform measurements that allow the choosing of the A(t) function, then the distribution law of random variables is selected based on reasonable assumptions. For telephone switching nodes, the Poisson flow hypothesis was used, which is often similar to the symmetric distribution of the number of calls at time interval t. The results of traffic measurements for multiservice switching nodes showed that the studied distribution is inherently asymmetric. This paper mainly considers the possibility of choosing the A(t) function based on the measurement results presented in a form of the histogram a(t), which contains a series of values. This histogram allows us to obtain the desired distribution as a stepwise function by integration of the a(t). Practical interest is associated with the possibility of reducing the number of readings used to assess the A(t) function. The methods used by some authors are based on the application of arbitrarily chosen functions A(t) with so-called heavy tails. The proposed approach is based on real distributions defined at a finite time interval. As a result of this research, a methodology has been developed to accurately describe the process of packet arrival at the input of the multiservice node. The proposed methodology is based on analytical methods. It guarantees error minimization when investigating the probabilistic characteristics of a switching node in a multiservice network

System of models for simulation and optimization of operating modes of a delayed coking unit in a fuzzy environment

Abstract The purpose of this study is to develop a method for synthesizing mathematical models of interconnected units of fuzzy chemical-technological systems (CTS) used for system modeling and optimization of their operating modes in a fuzzy environment. Since many CTSs in practice consist of many interconnected units, the development of their mathematical models combined into a single system of models, which allows systematic modeling and optimization of CTS parameters, is an urgent scientific and practical task. To develop a system of models of fuzzy described CTS, consisting of interconnected units, a system of methods is used that combines formal (experimental-statistical) and informal methods (methods of peer review, fuzzy set theory). A method for developing a system of mathematical models of CTS units under conditions of uncertainty due to the random and fuzzy nature of the available information is proposed. In the proposed method, mathematical models of various CTS units, depending on the nature of the initial and available information, are developed by various methods. Accordingly, various types of models are obtained, which are then combined into a single system of models, taking into account the interconnections of the system’s units. These results make it possible to develop more adequate models and determine the optimal CTS operating modes in a fuzzy environment by using the experience, knowledge and intuition of the decision maker, subject matter experts. Based on the proposed method, models of coke chambers and the main rectification column are developed in the form of combined models, including statistical and fuzzy models. The results obtained on the example of delayed coking units can be exported to similar CTS in oil refining, petrochemicals and other industries