232,945 research outputs found
On the three-person game baccara banque
Baccara banque is a three-person zero-sum game parameterized by
. A study of the game by Downton and Lockwood claimed that the
Nash equilibrium is of only academic interest. Their preferred alternative is
what we call the independent cooperative equilibrium. But this solution exists
only for certain . A third solution, which we call the correlated
cooperative equilibrium, always exists. Under a "with replacement" assumption
as well as a simplifying assumption concerning the information available to one
of the players, we derive each of the three solutions for all .Comment: 22 pages, 4 figures, and a 54-page appendix; new figure and minor
corrections in v
A Markovian slot machine and Parrondo's paradox
The antique Mills Futurity slot machine has two unusual features. First, if a
player loses 10 times in a row, the 10 lost coins are returned. Second, the
payout distribution varies from coup to coup in a manner that is nonrandom and
periodic with period 10. It follows that the machine is driven by a 100-state
irreducible period-10 Markov chain. Here, we evaluate the stationary
distribution of the Markov chain, and this leads to a strong law of large
numbers and a central limit theorem for the sequence of payouts. Following a
suggestion of Pyke [In Mathematical Statistics and Applications: Festschrift
for Constance van Eeden (2003) 185--216 Institute of Mathematical Statistics],
we address the question of whether there exists a two-armed version of this
``one-armed bandit'' that obeys Parrondo's paradox. More precisely, is there
such a machine with the property that the casino can honestly advertise that
both arms are fair, yet when players alternate arms in certain random or
nonrandom ways, the casino makes money in the long run? The answer is a
qualified yes. Although this ``history-dependent'' game is conceptually simpler
than the original such games of Parrondo, Harmer and Abbott [Phys. Rev. Lett.
(2000) 85 5226--5229], it is nearly as complicated analytically, and open
problems remain.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/09-AAP653 the Annals of
Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
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