Levelling the Playing Field: The Effects of Slovenia's 2013 Labour Market Reform

We examine the effects of a 2013 labour market reform in Slovenia which made permanent contracts less restrictive and fixed-term contracts more restrictive. Using matched employer-employee database covering the entirety of Slovenia's labour market participants, we compare the difference in outcomes for workers employed under permanent vs. fixed-term contracts before and after the legislative change. We find that the reform achieved both its stated goals of reducing labour market segmentation and improving access to jobs for vulnerable groups: (i) it increased the probability of accessing permanent jobs via transitions from both fixed-term jobs and unemployment, and (ii) it improved the accessibility of permanent jobs for both young and old workers

The Effect of Unemployment Benefit Generosity on Unemployment Duration: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Slovenia

The paper analyses the effects of a 2011 increase in the unemployment benefit replacement rate on the job-finding rate of Slovenian benefit recipients. Using registry data on the universe of Slovenian unemployment benefit recipients, we exploit legislative changes that selectively increased the replacement rates for certain groups of workers while leaving them unchanged for others. Applying this quasi-experimental approach, we find that increasing the replacement rate significantly decreased the hazard rate of the transition from unemployment to employment, with an implied elasticity of the hazard rate with respect to benefit replacement rate being 0.7 to 0.9. The results also show that the increase of the unemployment benefit replacement rate does not affect the job-finding probability of jobseekers whose reason for unemployment is employer exit, and that the effects of the increase of replacement rate are present only upon exit to employment and not to inactivity

The Effects of Unemployment on Health, Hospitalizations, and Mortality - Evidence from Administrative Data

Linking health to the employment history of the whole Slovenia's workforce, this paper employs three innovative features. First, it utilizes a novel "double proof" approach of addressing the reverse causality that tracks only healthy individuals, making sure that any unemployment spell that individual may undergo precedes the occurrence of a disease, and relies on mass-layoffs to provide an additional layer of exogeneity to unemployment. Second, it is one of the first papers using data on drug prescriptions to infer information about the health status of individuals and link it labor market outcomes. And third, it treats the health effects of unemployment as part of a dose-response relationship, with the share of time spent in unemployment (as opposed to other labor market states) reflecting the "unemployment dose". The paper finds that, in comparison to employed persons with permanent contracts, persons experiencing unemployment face increased hazard of all three studied groups of diseases - cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and mental disorders - as well as of hospitalizations caused by these diseases, with the effects stretching over a 15-year horizon. Moreover, the results also show that unemployment significantly increases the probability of death due to cardiovascular diseases and mental disorders, as well as death of any cause

Long-Term Responses to Large Minimum Wage Shocks: Sub-Minimum and Super-Minimum Workers in Slovenia

This study examines long-term effects of a minimum wage increase using an innovative identification strategy based on categorising workers according to their predicted marginal revenue products. It finds that the increase had a large and persistent disemployment effects on low-paid workers and that it triggered substitution toward more productive workers. As a consequence, the sub-minimum workers as a group lost average earnings, hours and employment compared to other workers. The adverse employment effect occurred both through a higher probability of transition from employment to non-employment and through a decreased probability of transition from non-employment to employment