Can Genetic Estimators Provide Robust Estimates of the Effective Number of Breeders in Small Populations?

The effective population size (N(e)) is proportional to the loss of genetic diversity and the rate of inbreeding, and its accurate estimation is crucial for the monitoring of small populations. Here, we integrate temporal studies of the gecko Oedura reticulata, to compare genetic and demographic estimators of N(e). Because geckos have overlapping generations, our goal was to demographically estimate N(bI), the inbreeding effective number of breeders and to calculate the N(bI)/N(a) ratio (N(a) =number of adults) for four populations. Demographically estimated N(bI) ranged from 1 to 65 individuals. The mean reduction in the effective number of breeders relative to census size (N(bI)/N(a)) was 0.1 to 1.1. We identified the variance in reproductive success as the most important variable contributing to reduction of this ratio. We used four methods to estimate the genetic based inbreeding effective number of breeders N(bI(gen)) and the variance effective populations size N(eV(gen)) estimates from the genotype data. Two of these methods - a temporal moment-based (MBT) and a likelihood-based approach (TM3) require at least two samples in time, while the other two were single-sample estimators - the linkage disequilibrium method with bias correction LDNe and the program ONeSAMP. The genetic based estimates were fairly similar across methods and also similar to the demographic estimates excluding those estimates, in which upper confidence interval boundaries were uninformative. For example, LDNe and ONeSAMP estimates ranged from 14-55 and 24-48 individuals, respectively. However, temporal methods suffered from a large variation in confidence intervals and concerns about the prior information. We conclude that the single-sample estimators are an acceptable short-cut to estimate N(bI) for species such as geckos and will be of great importance for the monitoring of species in fragmented landscapes

The dot-depth and the polynomial hierarchy correspond on the delta levels

It is well-known that the Sigma_k- and Pi_k-levels of the dot-depth hierarchy and the polynomial hierarchy correspond via leaf languages. In this paper this correspondence will be extended to the Delta_k-levels of these hierarchies: Leaf^P(Delta_k^L) = Delta_k^p

Die Transformation der kommunalen politischen Elite in den neuen Bundesländern am Beispiel der Gemeindevertretung der Stadt Jena

Regimewechsel sind immer mit einer erhöhten Elitenzirkulation verbunden, wobei vor allem das Ausmaß der Transformation der politischen Elite im engeren Sinne ein zentraler Indikator dafür ist, wie tiefgreifend der Regimewechsel tatsächlich war (vgl. Derlien 1991: 8). Hieraus ergibt sich für die neuen Bundesländer die Frage, wie groß das Ausmaß des Elitenaustauschs in der politischen Elite seit 1989 war, und wer die Personen sind, die den Repräsentanten des alten Regimes nachfolgten. Dies hängt natürlich nicht zuletzt von der Verfügbarkeit eines Reservoirs neuer Kandidaten für Führungspositionen ab, die in Opposition zum alten Regime standen. Ein Blick auf die alte Bundesrepublik nach 1945 zeigt in dieser Hinsicht, daß der Elitenaustausch im Sektor Politik zwar am umfassendsten war, daß jedoch von der Existenz einer zur Übernahme aller relevanten Führungspositionen fähigen Gegenelite nur bedingt die Rede sein konnte. Edinger (1960) schloß aus den Ergebnissen seiner Untersuchung über die frühen Eliten in der alten Bundesrepublik, daß die Annahme wohl unrealistisch ist, eine solche Gegenelite könne sich unter den Bedingungen eines autoritären Regimes mit umfassendem Machtanspruch entfalten

Detection and Typing of Highly Pathogenic Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Virus by Multiplex Real-Time RT-PCR

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) causes economic losses in the pig industry worldwide, and PRRS viruses (PRRSV) are classified into the two distinct genotypes “North American (NA, type 2)” and “European (EU, type 1)”. In 2006, a highly pathogenic NA strain of PRRSV (HP-PRRSV), characterized by high fever as well as high morbidity and mortality, emerged in swine farms in China. Therefore, a real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) assay specific for HP-PRRSV was developed and combined with type 1- and type 2-specific RT-qPCR systems. Furthermore, an internal control, based on a heterologous RNA, was successfully introduced. This final multiplex PRRSV RT-qPCR, detecting and typing PRRSV, had an analytical sensitivity of less than 200 copies per µl for the type 1-assay and 20 copies per µl for the type 2- and HP assays and a high diagnostic sensitivity. A panel of reference strains and field isolates was reliably detected and samples from an animal trial with a Chinese HP-PRRS strain were used for test validation. The new multiplex PRRSV RT-qPCR system allows for the first time the highly sensitive detection and rapid differentiation of PRRSV of both genotypes as well as the direct detection of HP-PRRSV

Soil to Sail - Asteroid Landers on Near-Term Sailcraft as an Evolution of the GOSSAMER Small Spacecraft Solar Sail Concept for In-Situ Characterization

Any effort which intends to physically interact with specific asteroids requires understanding at least of the composition and multi-scale structure of the surface layers, sometimes also of the interior. Therefore, it is necessary first to characterize each target object sufficiently by a precursor mission to design the mission which then interacts with the object. In small solar system body (SSSB) science missions, this trend towards landing and sample-return missions is most apparent. It also has led to much interest in MASCOT-like landing modules and instrument carriers. They integrate at the instrument level to their mothership and by their size are compatible even with small interplanetary missions. The DLR-ESTEC GOSSAMER Roadmap NEA Science Working Groups‘ studies identified Multiple NEA Rendezvous (MNR) as one of the space science missions only feasible with solar sail propulsion. The parallel Solar Polar Orbiter (SPO) study showed the ability to access any inclination and a wide range of heliocentric distances. It used a separable payload module conducting the SPO mission after delivery by sail to the proper orbit. The Displaced L1 (DL1), spaceweather early warning mission study, outlined a very lightweight sailcraft operating close to Earth, where all objects of interest to planetary defence must pass. These and many other studies outline the unique capability of solar sails to provide access to all SSSB, at least within the orbit of Jupiter. Since the original MNR study, significant progress has been made to explore the performance envelope of near-term solar sails for multiple NEA rendezvous. However, although it is comparatively easy for solar sails to reach and rendezvous with objects in any inclination and in the complete range of semi-major axis and eccentricity relevant to NEOs and PHOs, it remains notoriously difficult for sailcraft to interact physically with a SSSB target object as e.g. the HAYABUSA missions do. The German Aerospace Center, DLR, recently brought the GOSSAMER solar sail deployment technology to qualification status in the GOSSAMER-1 project and continues the development of closely related technologies for very large deployable membrane-based photovoltaic arrays in the GOSOLAR project, on which we report separately. We expand the philosophy of the GOSSAMER solar sail concept of efficient multiple sub-spacecraft integration to also include landers for one-way in-situ investigations and sample-return missions. These are equally useful for planetary defence scenarios, SSSB science and NEO utilization. We outline the technological concept used to complete such missions and the synergetic integration and operation of sail and lander. We similarly extend the philosophy of MASCOT and use its characteristic features as well as the concept of Constraints-Driven Engineering for a wider range of operations. For example, the MASCOT Mobility hopping mechanism has already been adapted to the specific needs of MASCOT2. Utilizing sensors as well as predictions, those actuators could in a further development be used to implement anti-bouncing control schemes, by counteracting with the lander‘s rotation. Furthermore by introducing sudden jerk into the lander by utilization of the mobility, layers of loose regolith can be swirled up for sampling

Einige Probleme bei der Anwendung der I-E-Skala (interne/externe Kontrollerwartung)

Ziel des Aufsatzes ist es, anhand eines konkreten Beispiels die Probleme aufzuzeigen, die mit der Beurteilung und Anwendung von bereits existierenden Einstellungsskalen in der Feldforschung verbunden sind. Als Beispiel fungiert die I-E-Skala (interne/externe Kontrollerwartung). Die Arbeit steht im Zusammenhang mit dem geplanten Skalenhandbuch von ZUMA und soll deshalb auch einen Einblick in die Problematik der Dokumentation von Skalen geben. (AR