123 research outputs found

    How Volatile is ENSO?

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    The El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO) is a periodical phenomenon of climatic interannual variability, which could be measured through either the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) or the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Index. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in ENSO. The empirical results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately. The empirical results show that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has increased since 1998. Moreover, the increasing ENSO strength is due to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions. The ENSO strengths for SST are predicted for the year 2030 to increase from 29.62% to 81.5% if global CO2 emissions increase by 40% to 110%, respectively. This indicates that we will be faced with an even stronger El Nino or La Nina in the future if global greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase unabated.ENSO; SOI; SOT; Greenhouse Gas Emissions; Volatility; GARCH; GJR; EGARCH

    How Volatile is ENSO?

    Get PDF
    The El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO) is a periodical phenomenon of climatic interannual variability, which could be measured through either the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) or the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Index. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in ENSO. The empirical results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately. The empirical results show that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has increased since 1998. Moreover, the increasing ENSO strength is due to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions. The ENSO strengths for SST are predicted for the year 2030 to increase from 29.62% to 81.5% if global CO2 emissions increase by 40% to 110%, respectively. This indicates that we will be faced with an even stronger El Nino or La Nina in the future if global greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase unabated.ENSO, SOI, SOT, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Volatility, GARCH, GJR, EGARCH.

    Identification of Two Thermotolerance-Related Genes in Agaricus bisporus

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    To characterize thermotolerance-related genes in Agaricus bisporus strain 02, we employed differential display PCR (DD-PCR) to analyze total RNA samples extracted from the mycelia grown at different temperatures. Two partial DNA fragments (023-11A and 023-11B) were cloned thus far, the expression of which was correlated with the culturing temperature. The sequences of the two DNA fragments were determined and the results showed that the nucleotide sequence of 023-11A was unknown, and 023-11B was highly similar in nucleotide sequence (identities 24 %, positives 45 %) to a gene coding for the karyopherin docking complex of the nuclear pore complex of Saccharomyces cerevisiae. It is possible to use the two fragments for further characterization of full-length coding sequences, which can potentially be used for generating new thermotolerant mushroom strains by transgenic technique

    How Volatile is ENSO?

    Get PDF
    The El Niños Southern Oscillations (ENSO) is a periodical phenomenon of climatic interannual variability, which could be measured through either the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) or the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Index. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in ENSO. The empirical results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility accurately. The empirical results show that 1998 is a turning point, which indicates that the ENSO strength has increased since 1998. Moreover, the increasing ENSO strength is due to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions. The ENSO strengths for SST are predicted for the year 2030 to increase from 29.62% to 81.5% if global CO2 emissions increase by 40% to 110%, respectively. This indicates that we will be faced with an even stronger El Nino or La Nina in the future if global greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase unabated.ENSO, SOI, SOT, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Volatility, GARCH, GJR, EGARCH.

    Domain-Specific Bias Filtering for Single Labeled Domain Generalization

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    Conventional Domain Generalization (CDG) utilizes multiple labeled source datasets to train a generalizable model for unseen target domains. However, due to expensive annotation costs, the requirements of labeling all the source data are hard to be met in real-world applications. In this paper, we investigate a Single Labeled Domain Generalization (SLDG) task with only one source domain being labeled, which is more practical and challenging than the CDG task. A major obstacle in the SLDG task is the discriminability-generalization bias: the discriminative information in the labeled source dataset may contain domain-specific bias, constraining the generalization of the trained model. To tackle this challenging task, we propose a novel framework called Domain-Specific Bias Filtering (DSBF), which initializes a discriminative model with the labeled source data and then filters out its domain-specific bias with the unlabeled source data for generalization improvement. We divide the filtering process into (1) feature extractor debiasing via k-means clustering-based semantic feature re-extraction and (2) classifier rectification through attention-guided semantic feature projection. DSBF unifies the exploration of the labeled and the unlabeled source data to enhance the discriminability and generalization of the trained model, resulting in a highly generalizable model. We further provide theoretical analysis to verify the proposed domain-specific bias filtering process. Extensive experiments on multiple datasets show the superior performance of DSBF in tackling both the challenging SLDG task and the CDG task.Comment: Accepted by International Journal of Computer Vision (IJCV

    Modality-invariant and Specific Prompting for Multimodal Human Perception Understanding

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    Understanding human perceptions presents a formidable multimodal challenge for computers, encompassing aspects such as sentiment tendencies and sense of humor. While various methods have recently been introduced to extract modality-invariant and specific information from diverse modalities, with the goal of enhancing the efficacy of multimodal learning, few works emphasize this aspect in large language models. In this paper, we introduce a novel multimodal prompt strategy tailored for tuning large language models. Our method assesses the correlation among different modalities and isolates the modality-invariant and specific components, which are then utilized for prompt tuning. This approach enables large language models to efficiently and effectively assimilate information from various modalities. Furthermore, our strategy is designed with scalability in mind, allowing the integration of features from any modality into pretrained large language models. Experimental results on public datasets demonstrate that our proposed method significantly improves performance compared to previous methods

    M2ORT: Many-To-One Regression Transformer for Spatial Transcriptomics Prediction from Histopathology Images

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    The advancement of Spatial Transcriptomics (ST) has facilitated the spatially-aware profiling of gene expressions based on histopathology images. Although ST data offers valuable insights into the micro-environment of tumors, its acquisition cost remains expensive. Therefore, directly predicting the ST expressions from digital pathology images is desired. Current methods usually adopt existing regression backbones for this task, which ignore the inherent multi-scale hierarchical data structure of digital pathology images. To address this limit, we propose M2ORT, a many-to-one regression Transformer that can accommodate the hierarchical structure of the pathology images through a decoupled multi-scale feature extractor. Different from traditional models that are trained with one-to-one image-label pairs, M2ORT accepts multiple pathology images of different magnifications at a time to jointly predict the gene expressions at their corresponding common ST spot, aiming at learning a many-to-one relationship through training. We have tested M2ORT on three public ST datasets and the experimental results show that M2ORT can achieve state-of-the-art performance with fewer parameters and floating-point operations (FLOPs). The code is available at: https://github.com/Dootmaan/M2ORT/
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