6 research outputs found
Recommended from our members
Storm surge frequency reduction in Venice under climate change
Increased tidal levels and storm surges related to climate change are
projected to result in extremely adverse effects on coastal regions. Predictions of
such extreme and small-scale events, however, are exceedingly challenging, even
for relatively short time horizons. Here we use data from observations, ERA-40 reanalysis,
climate scenario simulations, and a simple feature model to find that the
frequency of extreme storm surge events affecting Venice is projected to decrease
by about 30% by the end of the twenty-first century. In addition, through a trend
assessment based on tidal observations we found a reduction in extreme tidal levels.
Extrapolating the current +17 cm/century sea level trend, our results suggest that
the frequency of extreme tides in Venice might largely remain unaltered under the
projected twenty-first century climate simulations