Continuity of the Effective Path Delay Operator for Networks Based on the Link Delay Model

This paper is concerned with a dynamic traffic network performance model, known as dynamic network loading (DNL), that is frequently employed in the modeling and computation of analytical dynamic user equilibrium (DUE). As a key component of continuous-time DUE models, DNL aims at describing and predicting the spatial-temporal evolution of traffic flows on a network that is consistent with established route and departure time choices of travelers, by introducing appropriate dynamics to flow propagation, flow conservation, and travel delays. The DNL procedure gives rise to the path delay operator, which associates a vector of path flows (path departure rates) with the corresponding path travel costs. In this paper, we establish strong continuity of the path delay operator for networks whose arc flows are described by the link delay model (Friesz et al., 1993). Unlike result established in Zhu and Marcotte (2000), our continuity proof is constructed without assuming a priori uniform boundedness of the path flows. Such a more general continuity result has a few important implications to the existence of simultaneous route-and-departure choice DUE without a priori boundedness of path flows, and to any numerical algorithm that allows convergence to be rigorously analyzed.Comment: 12 pages, 1 figur

Financial Frictions and Credit Spreads

This paper uses the credit-friction model developed by Curdia and Woodford, in a series of papers, as the basis for attempting to mimic the behavior of credit spreads in moderate as well as crisis times. We are able to generate movements in representative credit spreads that are, at times, both sharp and volatile. We then study the impact of quantitative easing and credit easing. Credit easing is found to reduce spreads, unlike quantitative easing, which has opposite effects. The relative advantage of credit easing becomes even clearer when we allow borrowers to default on their loans. Since increases in default offset the beneficial effects of credit easing on spreads, the policy implication is that, in times of financial stress, the central bank should be aggressive when applying credit easing policies.Credit easing, credit spread, financial friction, quantitative easing.

A Link-based Mixed Integer LP Approach for Adaptive Traffic Signal Control

This paper is concerned with adaptive signal control problems on a road network, using a link-based kinematic wave model (Han et al., 2012). Such a model employs the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards model with a triangular fundamental diagram. A variational type argument (Lax, 1957; Newell, 1993) is applied so that the system dynamics can be determined without knowledge of the traffic state in the interior of each link. A Riemann problem for the signalized junction is explicitly solved; and an optimization problem is formulated in continuous-time with the aid of binary variables. A time-discretization turns the optimization problem into a mixed integer linear program (MILP). Unlike the cell-based approaches (Daganzo, 1995; Lin and Wang, 2004; Lo, 1999b), the proposed framework does not require modeling or computation within a link, thus reducing the number of (binary) variables and computational effort. The proposed model is free of vehicle-holding problems, and captures important features of signalized networks such as physical queue, spill back, vehicle turning, time-varying flow patterns and dynamic signal timing plans. The MILP can be efficiently solved with standard optimization software.Comment: 15 pages, 7 figures, current version is accepted for presentation at the 92nd Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Boar

Lagrangian-based Hydrodynamic Model: Freeway Traffic Estimation

This paper is concerned with highway traffic estimation using traffic sensing data, in a Lagrangian-based modeling framework. We consider the Lighthill-Whitham-Richards (LWR) model (Lighthill and Whitham, 1955; Richards, 1956) in Lagrangian-coordinates, and provide rigorous mathematical results regarding the equivalence of viscosity solutions to the Hamilton-Jacobi equations in Eulerian and Lagrangian coordinates. We derive closed-form solutions to the Lagrangian-based Hamilton-Jacobi equation using the Lax-Hopf formula (Daganzo, 2005; Aubin et al., 2008), and discuss issues of fusing traffic data of various types into the Lagrangian-based H-J equation. A numerical study of the Mobile Century field experiment (Herrera et al., 2009) demonstrates the unique modeling features and insights provided by the Lagrangian-based approach.Comment: 17 pages, 7 figures, current version submitted to Transportation Research Part

Telling the difference between deceiving and truth telling: An experiment in a public space

The behavioral experiment presented in this paper investigated deception tasks (both concealment and lying) undertaken in a public space. The degree of risk of deception detection and the demands of self-regulation when deceiving were manipulated. The results showed a significant interaction effect between veracity and risk of deception detection, emerged for the body movement of “hand(s) in pocket(s)”. The incidence of “hand(s) in pocket(s)” was found to increase from truth telling to deceiving conditions when the risk of deception detection was higher, and to decrease from truth telling to deceiving conditions when the risk was lower. Higher risk of deception detection was also found in magnifying the “overall negative and controlled impression” displayed by both deceivers and truth tellers, compared to the lower risk of detection condition. We also discussed the possible effects of risk of deception detection and depletion of self-regulation, on deception behavior. Further studies and the connection between this study and the research community of computer vision and multimodel interaction is also discussed