29 research outputs found

    Measuring global ocean heat content to estimate the earth energy imbalance

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    The energy radiated by the Earth toward space does not compensate the incoming radiation from the Sun leading to a small positive energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere (0.4–1 Wm–2). This imbalance is coined Earth’s Energy Imbalance (EEI). It is mostly caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and is driving the current warming of the planet. Precise monitoring of EEI is critical to assess the current status of climate change and the future evolution of climate. But the monitoring of EEI is challenging as EEI is two orders of magnitude smaller than the radiation fluxes in and out of the Earth system. Over 93% of the excess energy that is gained by the Earth in response to the positive EEI accumulates into the ocean in the form of heat. This accumulation of heat can be tracked with the ocean observing system such that today, the monitoring of Ocean Heat Content (OHC) and its long-term change provide the most efficient approach to estimate EEI. In this community paper we review the current four state-of-the-art methods to estimate global OHC changes and evaluate their relevance to derive EEI estimates on different time scales. These four methods make use of: (1) direct observations of in situ temperature; (2) satellite-based measurements of the ocean surface net heat fluxes; (3) satellite-based estimates of the thermal expansion of the ocean and (4) ocean reanalyses that assimilate observations from both satellite and in situ instruments. For each method we review the potential and the uncertainty of the method to estimate global OHC changes. We also analyze gaps in the current capability of each method and identify ways of progress for the future to fulfill the requirements of EEI monitoring. Achieving the observation of EEI with sufficient accuracy will depend on merging the remote sensing techniques with in situ measurements of key variables as an integral part of the Ocean Observing System

    Quantifying cloud adjustments and the radiative forcing due to aerosol–cloud interactions in satellite observations of warm marine clouds

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    Aerosol–cloud interactions and their resultant forcing remains one of the largest sources of uncertainty in future climate scenarios. The effective radiative forcing due to aerosol–cloud interactions (ERFaci) is a combination of two different effects, namely how aerosols modify cloud brightness (RFaci, intrinsic) and how cloud extent reacts to aerosol (cloud adjustments CA; extrinsic). Using satellite observations of warm clouds from the NASA A-Train constellation from 2007 to 2010 along with MERRA-2 Reanalysis and aerosol from the SPRINTARS model, we evaluate the ERFaci in warm, marine clouds and its components, the RFaciwarm and CAwarm, while accounting for the liquid water path and local environment. We estimate the ERFaciwarm to be −0.32±0.16 Wm−2. The RFaciwarm dominates the ERFaciwarm contributing 80 % (−0.21±0.15 Wm−2), while the CAwarm enhances this cooling by 20 % (−0.05±0.03 Wm−2). Both the RFaciwarm and CAwarm vary in magnitude and sign regionally and can lead to opposite, negating effects under certain environmental conditions. Without considering the two terms separately and without constraining cloud–environment interactions, weak regional ERFaciwarm signals may be erroneously attributed to a damped susceptibility to aerosol

    Assessing Latent and Kinetic Energy Trend Changes in Extratropical Cyclones From 1940 to 2020: Results From ERA‐5 Reanalysis

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    Abstract Baroclinic or extratropical cyclones (ETCs) transport heat and moisture to higher latitudes, making it fundamentally important to understand how their influence changes as Earth's climate evolves. A 2–8‐day Lanzcos bandpass filter is applied to European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting 5th Generation Reanalysis latent energy (LE) and kinetic energy (KE) data to assess how ETCs have changed from 1940 to 2020 relative to full‐scale changes in LE and KE. Full‐scale KE trends are more positive at high latitudes relative to mid‐latitudes, confirming several previous studies that ETCs have shifted poleward. LE increases have occurred globally, and trends in both full‐scale LE and KE are statistically significant in the southern high latitudes. The high relative fractional contribution of 2–8‐day LE wave power and trend clearly suggest that ETCs have an increasingly important role in poleward moisture transport but are not solely responsible for the observed statistically significant increases

    Implications of Warm Rain in Shallow Cumulus and Congestus Clouds for Large-Scale Circulations

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    Space-borne observations reveal that 20–40% of marine convective clouds below the freezing level produce rain. In this paper we speculate what the prevalence of warm rain might imply for convection and large-scale circulations over tropical oceans. We present results using a two-column radiative–convective model of hydrostatic, nonlinear flow on a non-rotating sphere, with parameterized convection and radiation, and review ongoing efforts in high-resolution modeling and observations of warm rain. The model experiments investigate the response of convection and circulation to sea surface temperature (SST) gradients between the columns and to changes in a parameter that controls the conversion of cloud condensate to rain. Convection over the cold ocean collapses to a shallow mode with tops near 850 hPa, but a congestus mode with tops near 600 hPa can develop at small SST differences when warm rain formation is more efficient. Here, interactive radiation and the response of the circulation are crucial: along with congestus a deeper moist layer develops, which leads to less low-level radiative cooling, a smaller buoyancy gradient between the columns, and therefore a weaker circulation and less subsidence over the cold ocean. The congestus mode is accompanied with more surface precipitation in the subsiding column and less surface precipitation in the deep convecting column. For the shallow mode over colder oceans, circulations also weaken with more efficient warm rain formation, but only marginally. Here, more warm rain reduces convective tops and the boundary layer depth—similar to Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) studies—which reduces the integrated buoyancy gradient. Elucidating the impact of warm rain can benefit from large-domain high-resolution simulations and observations. Parameterizations of warm rain may be constrained through collocated cloud and rain profiling from ground, and concurrent changes in convection and rain in subsiding and convecting branches of circulations may be revealed from a collocation of space-borne sensors, including the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) and upcoming Aeolus missions. Keywords: Warm rain; Shallow cumulus; Congestus; Circulations; Climat

    Joint Use of Far-Infrared and Mid-Infrared Observation for Sounding Retrievals: Learning From the Past for Upcoming Far-Infrared Missions

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    Atmosphere and surface properties are routinely retrieved from satellite measurements and extensively used in weather forecast and climate analysis. Satellite missions dedicated to fill the gap of far-infrared (far-IR) observations are scheduled to be launched this decade. To explore mid-infrared (mid-IR) and far-IR joint retrievals for the future far-IR satellite missions, this study uses an optimal-estimation-based method to retrieve atmospheric specific humidity and temperature profiles, surface skin temperature, and surface spectral emissivity from the Infrared Interferometer Sounder-D (IRIS-D) measurements in 1970, the only existing spaceborne far-IR spectral observations with global coverage. Based on a set of criteria, two cases in the Arctic, which are most likely under clear-sky conditions, are chosen for the retrieval experiments. Information content analysis suggests that the retrieved surface skin temperature and the mid-IR surface spectral emissivity are highly sensitive to the true values while the retrieval estimates of far-IR surface emissivity are subject to the variation of water vapor abundance. Results show that radiances based on the retrieved state variables are more consistent with the IRIS-D observations compared to those based on the reanalysis data. Retrieval estimates of the state variables along with retrieval uncertainties generally fall within reasonable ranges. The relative uncertainties of retrieved state variables decrease compared to the a priori relative uncertainties. In addition, the necessity to retrieve surface emissivity is corroborated by a parallel retrieval experiment assuming a blackbody surface emissivity that has revealed significant distortions of retrieved specific humidity and temperature profiles in the Arctic lower troposphere.Key PointsAtmospheric profiles and surface properties are simultaneously retrieved from satellite observations made 50 years agoCompared to reanalysis data, the retrieval estimates produce radiances which are more consistent with the observationsRetrievals of humidity and temperature profiles in the lower troposphere can be considerably affected by the surface spectral emissivityPeer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/176101/1/ess21415.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/176101/2/ess21415_am.pd
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