Evaluating the Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the Level of Dollarization in Ukraine

The objectives of the article are identifying causal relationships between the macroeconomic determinants and the level of dollarization in Ukraine, as well as determining the activities for de-dollarization. The prerequisites, causes and consequences of dollarization have been covered. On the external grounds, dollarization is recognized as a manifestation of financial integration, on internal grounds, as a consequence of financial instability. The main types and forms of dollarization have been allocated. Forms of financial dollarization have been considered as: deposit, credit and monetary. The determinants that potentially impact the dollarization level have been allocated. According to the results of a correlation analysis, the thesis of direct strong connection between dollarization and currency deposits, i.e. the dominance of deposit dollarization, has been confirmed. In order to determine the causal nature of the interdependencies between variables and the level of dollarization, a Granger causality test was carried out, which confirmed the hypothesis of the significant influence of psychological attitudes and the distrust of economic agents towards the policies of government and monetary authorities. A set of macroeconomic, market and incentive de-dollarization activities have been proposed

Problems of Asset Valuation in the Process of Bank Liquidation

The aim of the article is to identify problematic issues of valuation of property (assets) of banks that are in the process of liquidation, and substantiate proposals for the desired solution, taking into account the need to protect the rights of bank creditors. Although the bankruptcy of banks causes significant economic and moral losses, the processes of removing insolvent banks from the market, their reorganization or liquidation are constantly taking place. Therefore, regulators and banks that have been declared insolvent face many questions, including the adequate valuation of banking assets and the determination of the liquidation estate. The article discusses approaches to asset valuation and features of their application in Ukrainian practice, as well as peculiarities of the sale of assets of banks in liquidation according to the Dutch auction model. It is noted that the imperfection of management of banks’ assets in the process of their functioning leads to discrepancies in the valuation of these low-quality assets in the liquidation procedure. It is determined that the ratio between the estimated value of assets and their book value for banks declared insolvent is on average 26.2 %, and the median value is 22.3 % This leads to a number of problems, including the inability of the Deposit Guarantee Fund (DGF) to ensure the repayment of part of the bank’s liabilities, which could be repaid in case of timely acceptance of tender offers at market value. It is noted that the most liquid assets, which are real estate and property, occupy an insignificant share in the structure of the liquidation mass – about 5 %, and the conversion rate in the sale of real estate quite often reaches 200 %. It is proposed, in accordance with European practice, to empower the Fund to monitor the assets of banks in the process of their functioning. The expediency of valuating assets not from the position of doing business «as usual» but from the point of view of the objective need to sell assets, focusing on the quick sale of assets at a market price, is emphasized. In order to improve the process of valuating the assets of an insolvent bank and focusing on the quick and transparent sale of the bank’s assets, it is proposed to implement the international experience of using loss-sharing agreements into domestic practice

Stock market in Ukraine: state and prospects of development

The article is devoted to analysis of the topical problem of detection of specific features of functioning and problem of development of the stock market of Ukraine and also justification of directions of increase of its liquidity and efficiency. It analyses main tendencies and regularities of development of the stock market in the context of institutional, instrumental and infrastructural components. It considers issues of changes of volumes of trade and other parameters of activity of stock exchanges during recent years. It focuses on existing problems on the way of development of the stock market of Ukraine, which interfere with its efficient functioning, in particular, a limited number of liquid and investment attractive financial instruments, high fragmentariness of the exchange and depositary infrastructure, and insufficient legislative regulation of the exchange activity. For solution of problem issues and stimulation of further development of the domestic stock market the article marks expediency of consolidation of stock exchanges, necessity to increase capitalisation, liquidity and transparency of the stock market; further formation and consolidation of the market infrastructure and ensuring its reliable and efficient functioning, and improvement of mechanisms of state regulation, supervision and protection of the rights of investors in the Ukrainian stock market

Forms of Information Efficiency of the Financial Market

The goal of the article lies in the study of forms of efficient information support of functioning of the financial market. Analysing, systemising and generalising scientific works of many scientists, the article considers the financial market as a system phenomenon. The article offers, by analogy with technical sciences, a market model that consists of the servicing system (in the form of information) and support system (waiting of participants), combination of which makes the management system. Information in this model is the main driving force: it is at the inlet of the system, is transformed into participants waiting inside the system, and arrives to the outlet as the price of the financial asset. This movement is continuous and, consequently, market efficiency depends on information and degree of its perception by the market. The article characterises three hypotheses about forms of market efficiency, identifies their advantages and shortcomings from the position of fundamental and technical analysis, and provides a practical example of assessment of information in the quasi-strong form of information efficiency of the market. The article identifies the reasons, pursuant to which, while market participants have similar information, each might or might not obtain income from its use. The prospect of further studies in this direction is identification of the degree of information efficiency of the domestic market, volume, quality and needs in a certain range of information, which influences price formation of financial assets that circulate in the market

The Nature and Structural Regularities of Financial Integration in the Global Dimension in the Context of «Impossible Trinity»

The aim of the article is to determine the nature of financial integration and to justify its place in the system of measures on state regulation intended to search for a balanced model of economic growth of the country through the impossible trilemma reflecting the impossibility of simultaneous implementation of three macro-economic policies in one country, namely financial openness, monetary independence and exchange rate stability. On the basis of synthesis, analysis and comparison of different interpretations, the concept of «financial integration» is clarified. There identified signs of integration of financial markets, such as: the uniformity of rules (transparency); equal access (availability); common operating environment (involvement); equity of prices (unity); uniformity of the reaction of financial assets on the impact of external trends and news (response). The policy of financial integration, in particular its component of the free movement of capital is designed to provide additional incentives to domestic economic growth by attracting external financial resources. To stimulate the economy and prevent the unstable volatility of exchange rate, many countries seek to achieve such macroeconomic goals as openness of financial markets, independence of the monetary policy and exchange rate stability. Since the monetary authorities may choose at any moment only two of the three goals, the Mundell-Fleming trilemma determines a possibility of three different combinations of monetary targeting. At present science has not developed a unified methodological approach to determination of indices of financial integration. To assess the dynamics of financial integration the following basic indices of integration are used: KAOPEN, FINREFORM, KASHI, etc. Based on the analysis of the mentioned indices in the context of different countries, there can be made a conclusion about a possibility of combination of different policies with a tendency towards financial integration. In today’s environment it is expedient to use the policy of monetary stimulation of growth rather than support unproductive monetary contraction. The prospect of further research is working out directions of monetary policy taking into account priorities in the country’s development

Climate Change Risks in Financial Business

The article is aimed at identifying, firstly, the features and the ways in which climate change influences the profile of financial business, and secondly, financial risks modification while taking into account climate change risks. Climate change is global, it causes new challenges for corporations, financial institutions and central banks, and for economy, as a whole. Statistics on the scale of the threatening impact produced by climate-re;ated risks on economy and its financial sector are presented. It is noted that the aggregate impact of climate change risks significantly exceeds the losses from the financial markets collapse. In particular, due to the natural disasters in 2020, the world economy suffered losses of about US$ 200 billion. The properties of climate-related risks are systematized and generalized, including the following: unpredictability, radical uncertainty, complex dynamics, chain effect, irreversibility, nonlinearity. Due to the high level of uncertainty, the problem of integrating climate change risks into the risk management system of financial institutions remains particularly complex. The ways in which risks generated by global climate change transform into financial risks are determined. It is noted that, despite the threatening impact of damage caused by extreme weather events and climate catastrophes, the management of these risks is still characterized by a low level of penetration into the system of risk-oriented management of financial institutions. In order for the financial business to effectively manage risks taking into account climate change, innovative approaches of strategic importance have been suggested, namely, green bonds and disaster bonds. The financial stability and sustainable dynamic development of economy will depend on the performance of financial institutions in implementing their policies in this area

Monetization of the Global Economy: The Trends and Features

Monetary support of the economy represents a necessary prerequisite for ensuring sustainable economic development, which is a priority strategic direction of public policy of any State. The purpose of the article is to identify the features and trends of monetary provision of the world economy in general and in terms of groups of countries, which will contribute to a better understanding of the relationship between economic development and the process of monetization of the economy. The concept of «monetization of the economy» is distinguished as a state and as a process. In the context of management, the monetization of the economy should be considered as a process that is a product of a reaction to the measures of public policies to manage the supply and demand for money, which is expressed in the remonetization and demonetization of the economy, while the state of monetization of the economy is proposed to be considered as a criterion for the adequacy of monetary provision to the economy. It is noted that a sufficient level of monetary provision of the economy has a positive impact on economic development, the dominant component of which is defined as economic growth. The analysis of the monetization of the world economy in the dynamics for 2000-2020 reveals a general trend towards monetary expansion of world economies. Based on data for 133 countries, the article identifies an increasing correlation between the level of monetization of the economy and economic development in the years of 2000, 2010 and 2020, which shows the importance of ensuring the processes of remonetization of economies for the economic development of the global economy. It is determined that the monetization of the world economy has a general upward trend, which intensifies after the passage of economic crises. The hypothesis that there is a link between the level of monetary support of the economy and economic development in other countries is justified. The existence of a positive relationship over the past 20 years, which has been strengthening over time, has been revealed. Several countries have a generally high level of monetization, but do not have tangible progress in economic development, which is primarily due to the non-monetary features of the development of these countries