The Instrumentarium for Sustainable Development of an Enterprise in Conditions of Crisis

Development as a continuous process should be carried out at all stages of the business cycle of an enterprise. Particular attention should be paid to the development at the downturn stages of the business cycle of the enterprise, in particular in the conditions of crisis in its activities. The focus of the article led to the need to disclose the content of the concepts of «crisis», «development», «sustainable development» and «sustainable development of the enterprise in a crisis». At the descending stages of the business cycle of the enterprise, its development should be fully controlled and carefully managed. To ensure control and manageability of the development of the enterprise in a crisis, an appropriate instrumentarium is needed, wherein the central place belongs to the anti-crisis scenarios of sustainable development and its key resources. Anti-crisis scenarios of sustainable development of the enterprise in a crisis are proposed to be developed on the basis of identified and assessed threats to its activities, taking into account the nature of threats, their interconnectedness and interdependence, as well as the stage of development of each of the threats. Because the implementation of threats to the enterprise’s activities can further aggravate its condition: crisis phenomena are transformed into a crisis situation, which, in turn, threatens to develop into a crisis state. In order to develop an anti-crisis scenario for the development of the enterprise in the situation of the probable simultaneous implementation of several threats to its activities, the use of the method of tuples is proposed. A general view of the tuple for the anti-crisis scenario is presented. The role of key resources in ensuring sustainable development of the enterprise in a crisis is disclosed. The problematic aspects of using key resources in ensuring sustainable development of the enterprise in a crisis are displayed

Methodological Principles for Assessing Socio-Economic Security of a Region

Socio-economic development of a region is possible under several conditions, one of which at present is socio-economic security of a region. Its provision implies the availability of assessments, the reliability of which directly depends on the quality of the methodological principles of assessment. The proposed methodological principles for assessing socio-economic security of a region proceed from the provisions of the conceptual and defensive approaches to determining its status and nature, the functional and indicator approaches to its assessment. The sequence of operations and actions on the assessment is combined in the presented algorithm. The content of the stages of the developed algorithm is disclosed. According to the algorithm, both the integral assessment of socio-economic security of a region as a whole and its intermediate assessments are calculated for each of its components. The basis of the methodological principles for assessing socio-economic security of a region is a set of indicators, which include indicators of not only objective but also of subjective nature, which is why at the information stage of the assessment algorithm attention is paid to the results of monitoring public opinion in the region. Indicators for assessing socio-economic security of a region are selected using the principles of inheritance, reliability, measurability, consistency and are distributed by its individual components. An important characteristic of the selected indicators is that they allow for carrying out analysis in time and measuring regional differentiation. A sequence of formalizing the calculations of the integral indicator of the socio-economic security of a region is provided. The proposed methodological principles for assessing socio-economic security of a region can be used in practice

The Nature of Crisis in Enterprise Activities

It is shown that the concept of enterprise anti-crisis management and its components should be based on the nature of crisis in enterprise activities, the idea of which is the fundamental basis of enterprise anti-crisis management and determines its object, subject, tasks, main guidelines and vectors. Examples of defining the concept “crisis in enterprise activities”, which testify to the lack of unity of views on its content, are given. There revealed the attributive nature of crisis in enterprise activities, according to which a crisis, being an attribute of the system “enterprise”, begins intensifying under the influence of driving forces and individual factors, which is identified by presence of disruptions in the performance by the enterprise of its functions. There substantiated the expediency of singling out manifestations of crisis in enterprise activities (crisis phenomena, crisis situation and crisis state) depending on the level of disruptions in the performance by the enterprise of its functions, which is of great importance for determining the tasks of enterprise anti-crisis management. The crisis cycle in enterprise activities in any of its manifestations is analysed, features of the cycle are considered

The Analysis of Approaches to Assessing Socio-Economic Security of a Region

Assessment of social and economic security of a region is used in determining the ways for ensuring it, selecting directions, guidelines and priorities for the development of the socio-economic system of a region. To assess the socio-economic security of a region, there needed an appropriate methodological base, the main element of which is the approach to assessment. There analyzed the content, advantages and limitations of approaches to assessing the socio-economic security of a region (the functional (or complex) approach, the indicator one, the index approach, ranking), which are available in the science of economic security of the meso level, and the presence of which can be regarded as a reflection of the contextual postmodern methodology of the science of economic security. The actual problems in the use of approaches to assessing social and economic security of a region that require resolving are outlined: the lack of justification for the number and type of primary indicators, their inconsistency, the lack of a reasonable base for comparison of the selected indicators, insufficient use of modeling capabilities, low operationalization of the methods of the analyzed approaches

Extremal behavior of the heat random field

We study the exponential type inequalities for the distribution of the supremum of a random field that arises as the solution of the heat equation with a random initial condition that is a strictly sub-Gaussian random field