Deep learning to predict elevated pulmonary artery pressure in patients with suspected pulmonary hypertension using standard chest X ray

Accurate diagnosis of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is crucial to ensure that patients receive timely treatment. We hypothesized that application of artificial intelligence (AI) to the chest X-ray (CXR) could identify elevated pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) and stratify the risk of heart failure hospitalization with PH. We retrospectively enrolled a total of 900 consecutive patients with suspected PH. We trained a convolutional neural network to identify patients with elevated PAP (> 20 mmHg) as the actual value of PAP. The endpoints in this study were admission or occurrence of heart failure with elevated PAP. In an independent evaluation set for detection of elevated PAP, the area under curve (AUC) by the AI algorithm was significantly higher than the AUC by measurements of CXR images and human observers (0.71 vs. 0.60 and vs. 0.63, all p < 0.05). In patients with AI predicted PH had 2-times the risk of heart failure with PH compared with those without AI predicted PH. This preliminary work suggests that applying AI to the CXR in high risk groups has limited performance when used alone in identifying elevated PAP. We believe that this report can serve as an impetus for a future large study

Deep learning approach for analyzing chest x-rays to predict cardiac events in heart failure

Background: A deep learning (DL) model based on a chest x-ray was reported to predict elevated pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) as heart failure (HF). Objectives: The aim of this study was to (1) investigate the role of probability of elevated PAWP for the prediction of clinical outcomes in association with other parameters, and (2) to evaluate whether probability of elevated PAWP based on DL added prognostic information to other conventional clinical prognostic factors in HF. Methods: We evaluated 192 patients hospitalized with HF. We used a previously developed AI model to predict HF and calculated probability of elevated PAWP. Readmission following HF and cardiac mortality were the primary endpoints. Results: Probability of elevated PAWP was associated with diastolic function by echocardiography. During a median follow-up period of 58 months, 57 individuals either died or were readmitted. Probability of elevated PAWP appeared to be associated with worse clinical outcomes. After adjustment for readmission score and laboratory data in a Cox proportional-hazards model, probability of elevated PAWP at pre-discharge was associated with event free survival, independent of elevated left atrial pressure (LAP) based on echocardiographic guidelines (p < 0.001). In sequential Cox models, a model based on clinical data was improved by elevated LAP (p = 0.005), and increased further by probability of elevated PAWP (p < 0.001). In contrast, the addition of pulmonary congestion interpreted by a doctor did not statistically improve the ability of a model containing clinical variables (compared p = 0.086). Conclusions: This study showed the potential of using a DL model on a chest x-ray to predict PAWP and its ability to add prognostic information to other conventional clinical prognostic factors in HF. The results may help to enhance the accuracy of prediction models used to evaluate the risk of clinical outcomes in HF, potentially resulting in more informed clinical decision-making and better care for patients

AI for Exercise-Induced Pulmonary Hypertension

Background: Stress echocardiography is an emerging tool used to detect exercise-induced pulmonary hypertension (EIPH). However, facilities that can perform stress echocardiography are limited by issues such as cost and equipment. Objective: We evaluated the usefulness of a deep learning (DL) approach based on a chest X-ray (CXR) to predict EIPH in 6-min walk stress echocardiography. Methods: The study enrolled 142 patients with scleroderma or mixed connective tissue disease with scleroderma features who performed a 6-min walk stress echocardiographic test. EIPH was defined by abnormal cardiac output (CO) responses that involved an increase in mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP). We used the previously developed AI model to predict PH and calculated PH probability in this cohort. Results: EIPH defined as ΔmPAP/ΔCO >3.3 and exercise mPAP >25 mmHg was observed in 52 patients, while non-EIPH was observed in 90 patients. The patients with EIPH had a higher mPAP at rest than those without EIPH. The probability of PH based on the DL model was significantly higher in patients with EIPH than in those without EIPH. Multivariate analysis showed that gender, mean PAP at rest, and the probability of PH based on the DL model were independent predictors of EIPH. A model based on baseline parameters (age, gender, and mPAP at rest) was improved by adding the probability of PH predicted by the DL model (AUC: from 0.65 to 0.74; p = 0.046). Conclusion: Applying the DL model based on a CXR may have a potential for detection of EIPH in the clinical setting

Cone-beam CT reconstruction for non-periodic organ motion using time-ordered chain graph model

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to introduce the new concept of a four-dimensional (4D) cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) reconstruction approach for non-periodic organ motion in cooperation with the time-ordered chain graph model (TCGM) and to compare it with previously developed methods such as total variation-based compressed sensing (TVCS) and prior-image constrained compressed sensing (PICCS). Materials and Methods: Our proposed reconstruction is based on a model including the constraint originating from the images of neighboring time phases. Namely, the reconstructed time-series images depend on each other in this TCGM scheme, and the time-ordered images are concurrently reconstructed in the iterative reconstruction approach. In this study, iterative reconstruction with the TCGM was carried out with 90◦ projection ranges. The images reconstructed by the TCGM were compared with the images reconstructed by TVCS (200◦ projection ranges) and PICCS (90◦ projection ranges). Two kinds of projection data sets–an elliptic-cylindrical digital phantom and two clinical patients’ data–were used. For the digital phantom, an air sphere was contained and virtually moved along the longitudinal axis by 3 cm/30 s and 3 cm/60 s; the temporal resolution was evaluated by measuring the penumbral width of the air sphere. The clinical feasibility of the non-periodic time-ordered 4D CBCT image reconstruction was examined with the patient data in the pelvic region. Results: In the evaluation of the digital-phantom reconstruction, the penumbral widths of the TCGM yielded the narrowest result; the results obtained by PICCS and TCGM using 90◦ projection ranges were 2.8% and 18.2% for 3 cm/30 s, and 5.0% and 23.1% for 3 cm/60 s narrower than that of TVCS using 200◦ projection ranges. This suggests that the TCGM has a better temporal resolution, whereas PICCS seems similar to TVCS. These reconstruction methods were also compared using patients’ projection data sets. Although all three reconstruction results showed motion related to rectal gas or stool, the result obtained by the TCGM was visibly clearer with less blurring. Conclusion: The TCGM is a feasible approach to visualize non-periodic organ motion. The digital-phantom results demonstrated that the proposed method provides 4D image series with a better temporal resolution compared to TVCS and PICCS. The clinical patients’ results also showed that the present method enables us to visualize motion related to rectal gas and flatus in the rectum

Cluster analysis after TAVR

Aims The aim of this study was to identify phenotypes with potential prognostic significance in aortic stenosis (AS) patients after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) through a clustering approach. Methods and results This multi-centre retrospective study included 1365 patients with severe AS who underwent TAVR between January 2015 and March 2019. Among demographics, laboratory, and echocardiography parameters, 20 variables were selected through dimension reduction and used for unsupervised clustering. Phenotypes and outcomes were compared between clusters. Patients were randomly divided into a derivation cohort (n = 1092: 80%) and a validation cohort (n = 273: 20%). Three clusters with markedly different features were identified. Cluster 1 was associated predominantly with elderly age, a high aortic valve gradient, and left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy; Cluster 2 consisted of preserved LV ejection fraction, larger aortic valve area, and high blood pressure; and Cluster 3 demonstrated tachycardia and low flow/low gradient AS. Adverse outcomes differed significantly among clusters during a median of 2.2 years of follow-up (P < 0.001). After adjustment for clinical and echocardiographic data in a Cox proportional hazards model, Cluster 3 (hazard ratio, 4.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.76–9.94; P = 0.001) was associated with increased risk of adverse outcomes. In sequential Cox models, a model based on clinical data and echocardiographic variables (χ2 = 18.4) was improved by Cluster 3 (χ2 = 31.5; P = 0.001) in the validation cohort. Conclusion Unsupervised cluster analysis of patients after TAVR revealed three different groups for assessment of prognosis. This provides a new perspective in the categorization of patients after TAVR that considers comorbidities and extravalvular cardiac dysfunction

Causal relations of health indices inferred statistically using the DirectLiNGAM

Causal relations among many statistical variables have been assessed using a Linear non-Gaussian Acyclic Model (LiNGAM). Using access to large amounts of health checkup data from Osaka prefecture obtained during the six fiscal years of years 2012–2017, we applied the DirectLiNGAM algorithm as a trial to extract causal relations among health indices for age groups and genders. Results show that LiNGAM yields interesting and reasonable results, suggesting causal relations and correlation among the statistical indices used for these analyses

Gradient boosting decision tree becomes more reliable than logistic regression in predicting probability for diabetes with big data

We sought to verify the reliability of machine learning (ML) in developing diabetes prediction models by utilizing big data. To this end, we compared the reliability of gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) and logistic regression (LR) models using data obtained from the Kokuho-database of the Osaka prefecture, Japan. To develop the models, we focused on 16 predictors from health checkup data from April 2013 to December 2014. A total of 277,651 eligible participants were studied. The prediction models were developed using a light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), which is an effective GBDT implementation algorithm, and LR. Their reliabilities were measured based on expected calibration error (ECE), negative log-likelihood (Logloss), and reliability diagrams. Similarly, their classification accuracies were measured in the area under the curve (AUC). We further analyzed their reliabilities while changing the sample size for training. Among the 277,651 participants, 15,900 (7978 males and 7922 females) were newly diagnosed with diabetes within 3 years. LightGBM (LR) achieved an ECE of 0.0018 ± 0.00033 (0.0048 ± 0.00058), a Logloss of 0.167 ± 0.00062 (0.172 ± 0.00090), and an AUC of 0.844 ± 0.0025 (0.826 ± 0.0035). From sample size analysis, the reliability of LightGBM became higher than LR when the sample size increased more than 104. Thus, we confirmed that GBDT provides a more reliable model than that of LR in the development of diabetes prediction models using big data. ML could potentially produce a highly reliable diabetes prediction model, a helpful tool for improving lifestyle and preventing diabetes

Classification of chest X-ray images by incorporation of medical domain knowledge into operation branch networks

Background This study was conducted to alleviate a common difficulty in chest X-ray image diagnosis: The attention region in a convolutional neural network (CNN) does not often match the doctor’s point of focus. The method presented herein, which guides the area of attention in CNN to a medically plausible region, can thereby improve diagnostic capabilities. Methods The model is based on an attention branch network, which has excellent interpretability of the classification model. This model has an additional new operation branch that guides the attention region to the lung field and heart in chest X-ray images. We also used three chest X-ray image datasets (Teikyo, Tokushima, and ChestX-ray14) to evaluate the CNN attention area of interest in these fields. Additionally, after devising a quantitative method of evaluating improvement of a CNN’s region of interest, we applied it to evaluation of the proposed model. Results Operation branch networks maintain or improve the area under the curve to a greater degree than conventional CNNs do. Furthermore, the network better emphasizes reasonable anatomical parts in chest X-ray images. Conclusions The proposed network better emphasizes the reasonable anatomical parts in chest X-ray images. This method can enhance capabilities for image interpretation based on judgment

Cone-beam CT reconstruction for non-periodic organ motion using time-ordered chain graph model

Abstract Purpose The purpose of this study is to introduce the new concept of a four-dimensional (4D) cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) reconstruction approach for non-periodic organ motion in cooperation with the time-ordered chain graph model (TCGM) and to compare it with previously developed methods such as total variation-based compressed sensing (TVCS) and prior-image constrained compressed sensing (PICCS). Materials and Methods Our proposed reconstruction is based on a model including the constraint originating from the images of neighboring time phases. Namely, the reconstructed time-series images depend on each other in this TCGM scheme, and the time-ordered images are concurrently reconstructed in the iterative reconstruction approach. In this study, iterative reconstruction with the TCGM was carried out with 90° projection ranges. The images reconstructed by the TCGM were compared with the images reconstructed by TVCS (200° projection ranges) and PICCS (90° projection ranges). Two kinds of projection data sets–an elliptic-cylindrical digital phantom and two clinical patients’ data–were used. For the digital phantom, an air sphere was contained and virtually moved along the longitudinal axis by 3 cm/30 s and 3 cm/60 s; the temporal resolution was evaluated by measuring the penumbral width of the air sphere. The clinical feasibility of the non-periodic time-ordered 4D CBCT image reconstruction was examined with the patient data in the pelvic region. Results In the evaluation of the digital-phantom reconstruction, the penumbral widths of the TCGM yielded the narrowest result; the results obtained by PICCS and TCGM using 90° projection ranges were 2.8% and 18.2% for 3 cm/30 s, and 5.0% and 23.1% for 3 cm/60 s narrower than that of TVCS using 200° projection ranges. This suggests that the TCGM has a better temporal resolution, whereas PICCS seems similar to TVCS. These reconstruction methods were also compared using patients’ projection data sets. Although all three reconstruction results showed motion related to rectal gas or stool, the result obtained by the TCGM was visibly clearer with less blurring. Conclusion The TCGM is a feasible approach to visualize non-periodic organ motion. The digital-phantom results demonstrated that the proposed method provides 4D image series with a better temporal resolution compared to TVCS and PICCS. The clinical patients’ results also showed that the present method enables us to visualize motion related to rectal gas and flatus in the rectum