Heterogeneous Treatment Effect with Trained Kernels of the Nadaraya-Watson Regression

A new method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect is proposed in the paper. It is called TNW-CATE (the Trainable Nadaraya-Watson regression for CATE) and based on the assumption that the number of controls is rather large whereas the number of treatments is small. TNW-CATE uses the Nadaraya-Watson regression for predicting outcomes of patients from the control and treatment groups. The main idea behind TNW-CATE is to train kernels of the Nadaraya-Watson regression by using a weight sharing neural network of a specific form. The network is trained on controls, and it replaces standard kernels with a set of neural subnetworks with shared parameters such that every subnetwork implements the trainable kernel, but the whole network implements the Nadaraya-Watson estimator. The network memorizes how the feature vectors are located in the feature space. The proposed approach is similar to the transfer learning when domains of source and target data are similar, but tasks are different. Various numerical simulation experiments illustrate TNW-CATE and compare it with the well-known T-learner, S-learner and X-learner for several types of the control and treatment outcome functions. The code of proposed algorithms implementing TNW-CATE is available in https://github.com/Stasychbr/TNW-CATE

BENK: The Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels for Estimating the Heterogeneous Treatment Effect

A method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect under condition of censored time-to-event data called BENK (the Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels) is proposed. The main idea behind the method is to apply the Beran estimator for estimating the survival functions of controls and treatments. Instead of typical kernel functions in the Beran estimator, it is proposed to implement kernels in the form of neural networks of a specific form called the neural kernels. The conditional average treatment effect is estimated by using the survival functions as outcomes of the control and treatment neural networks which consists of a set of neural kernels with shared parameters. The neural kernels are more flexible and can accurately model a complex location structure of feature vectors. Various numerical simulation experiments illustrate BENK and compare it with the well-known T-learner, S-learner and X-learner for several types of the control and treatment outcome functions based on the Cox models, the random survival forest and the Nadaraya-Watson regression with Gaussian kernels. The code of proposed algorithms implementing BENK is available in https://github.com/Stasychbr/BENK