Near-Field Limits on the Role of Faint Galaxies in Cosmic Reionization

Reionizing the Universe with galaxies appears to require significant star formation in low-mass halos at early times, while local dwarf galaxy counts tell us that star formation has been minimal in small halos around us today. Using simple models and the ELVIS simulation suite, we show that reionization scenarios requiring appreciable star formation in halos with $M_{\rm vir} \approx 10^{8}\,M_{\odot}$ at $z=8$ are in serious tension with galaxy counts in the Local Group. This tension originates from the seemingly inescapable conclusion that 30 - 60 halos with $M_{\rm vir} > 10^{8}\,M_{\odot}$ at $z=8$ will survive to be distinct bound satellites of the Milky Way at $z = 0$. Reionization models requiring star formation in such halos will produce dozens of bound galaxies in the Milky Way's virial volume today (and 100 - 200 throughout the Local Group), each with $\gtrsim 10^{5}\,M_{\odot}$ of old stars ($\gtrsim 13$ Gyr). This exceeds the stellar mass function of classical Milky Way satellites today, even without allowing for the (significant) post-reionization star formation observed in these galaxies. One possible implication of these findings is that star formation became sharply inefficient in halos smaller than $\sim 10^9 \,M_{\odot}$ at early times, implying that the high-$z$ luminosity function must break at magnitudes brighter than is often assumed (at ${\rm M_{UV}} \approx -14$). Our results suggest that JWST (and possibly even HST with the Frontier Fields) may realistically detect the faintest galaxies that drive reionization. It remains to be seen how these results can be reconciled with the most sophisticated simulations of early galaxy formation at present, which predict substantial star formation in $M_{\rm vir} \sim 10^8 \, M_{\odot}$ halos during the epoch of reionization.Comment: 6 pages, 4 figures; minor updates. Published in MNRAS Letter

ELVIS: Exploring the Local Volume in Simulations

We introduce a set of high-resolution dissipationless simulations that model the Local Group (LG) in a cosmological context: Exploring the Local Volume in Simulations (ELVIS). The suite contains 48 Galaxy-size halos, each within high-resolution volumes that span 2-5 Mpc in size, and each resolving thousands of systems with masses below the atomic cooling limit. Half of the ELVIS galaxy halos are in paired configurations similar to the Milky Way (MW) and M31; the other half are isolated, mass-matched analogs. We find no difference in the abundance or kinematics of substructure within the virial radii of isolated versus paired hosts. On Mpc scales, however, LG-like pairs average almost twice as many companions and the velocity field is kinematically hotter and more complex. We present a refined abundance matching relation between stellar mass and halo mass that reproduces the observed satellite stellar mass functions of the MW and M31 down to the regime where incompleteness is an issue, $M_\star \sim 5\times 10^5 \, M_\odot$. Within a larger region spanning approximately 3 Mpc, the same relation predicts that there should be $\sim$ 1000 galaxies with $M_\star > 10^{3}\,M_\odot$ awaiting discovery. We show that up to 50% of halos within 1 Mpc of the MW or M31 could be systems that have previously been within the virial radius of either giant. By associating never-accreted halos with gas-rich dwarfs, we show that there are plausibly 50 undiscovered dwarf galaxies with HI masses $> 10^5\,M_\odot$ within the Local Volume. The radial velocity distribution of these predicted gas-rich dwarfs can be used to inform follow-up searches based on ultra-compact high-velocity clouds found in the ALFALFA survey.Comment: 22 pages, 19 figures, 3 tables; v2 -- accepted to MNRAS. Movies, images, and data are available at http://localgroup.ps.uci.edu/elvi

Organized Chaos: Scatter in the relation between stellar mass and halo mass in small galaxies

We use Local Group galaxy counts together with the ELVIS N-body simulations to explore the relationship between the scatter and slope in the stellar mass vs. halo mass relation at low masses, $M_\star \simeq 10^5 - 10^8 M_\odot$. Assuming models with log-normal scatter about a median relation of the form $M_\star \propto M_\mathrm{halo}^\alpha$, the preferred log-slope steepens from $\alpha \simeq 1.8$ in the limit of zero scatter to $\alpha \simeq 2.6$ in the case of $2$ dex of scatter in $M_\star$ at fixed halo mass. We provide fitting functions for the best-fit relations as a function of scatter, including cases where the relation becomes increasingly stochastic with decreasing mass. We show that if the scatter at fixed halo mass is large enough ($\gtrsim 1$ dex) and if the median relation is steep enough ($\alpha \gtrsim 2$), then the "too-big-to-fail" problem seen in the Local Group can be self-consistently eliminated in about $\sim 5-10\%$ of realizations. This scenario requires that the most massive subhalos host unobservable ultra-faint dwarfs fairly often; we discuss potentially observable signatures of these systems. Finally, we compare our derived constraints to recent high-resolution simulations of dwarf galaxy formation in the literature. Though simulation-to-simulation scatter in $M_\star$ at fixed $M_\mathrm{halo}$ is large among separate authors ($\sim 2$ dex), individual codes produce relations with much less scatter and usually give relations that would over-produce local galaxy counts.Comment: 15 pages, 6 figures, 1 table. Accepted for publication into MNRA