Nonconvex High-Dimensional Time-Varying Coefficient Estimation for Noisy High-Frequency Observations

In this paper, we propose a novel high-dimensional time-varying coefficient estimator for noisy high-frequency observations. In high-frequency finance, we often observe that noises dominate a signal of an underlying true process. Thus, we cannot apply usual regression procedures to analyze noisy high-frequency observations. To handle this issue, we first employ a smoothing method for the observed variables. However, the smoothed variables still contain non-negligible noises. To manage these non-negligible noises and the high dimensionality, we propose a nonconvex penalized regression method for each local coefficient. This method produces consistent but biased local coefficient estimators. To estimate the integrated coefficients, we propose a debiasing scheme and obtain a debiased integrated coefficient estimator using debiased local coefficient estimators. Then, to further account for the sparsity structure of the coefficients, we apply a thresholding scheme to the debiased integrated coefficient estimator. We call this scheme the Thresholded dEbiased Nonconvex LASSO (TEN-LASSO) estimator. Furthermore, this paper establishes the concentration properties of the TEN-LASSO estimator and discusses a nonconvex optimization algorithm.Comment: 54 pages, 5 figure

Robust High-Dimensional Time-Varying Coefficient Estimation

In this paper, we develop a novel high-dimensional coefficient estimation procedure based on high-frequency data. Unlike usual high-dimensional regression procedure such as LASSO, we additionally handle the heavy-tailedness of high-frequency observations as well as time variations of coefficient processes. Specifically, we employ Huber loss and truncation scheme to handle heavy-tailed observations, while $\ell_{1}$-regularization is adopted to overcome the curse of dimensionality. To account for the time-varying coefficient, we estimate local coefficients which are biased due to the $\ell_{1}$-regularization. Thus, when estimating integrated coefficients, we propose a debiasing scheme to enjoy the law of large number property and employ a thresholding scheme to further accommodate the sparsity of the coefficients. We call this Robust thrEsholding Debiased LASSO (RED-LASSO) estimator. We show that the RED-LASSO estimator can achieve a near-optimal convergence rate. In the empirical study, we apply the RED-LASSO procedure to the high-dimensional integrated coefficient estimation using high-frequency trading data.Comment: 55 pages, 5 figure

Note on Hamiltonicity of basis graphs of even delta-matroids

We show that the basis graph of an even delta-matroid is Hamiltonian if it has more than two vertices. More strongly, we prove that for two distinct edges $e$ and $f$ sharing a common end, it has a Hamiltonian cycle using $e$ and avoiding $f$ unless it has at most two vertices or it is a cycle of length at most four. We also prove that if the basis graph is not a hypercube graph, then each vertex belongs to cycles of every length $\ell\ge 3$, and each edge belongs to cycles of every length $\ell \ge 4$. For the last theorem, we provide two proofs, one of which uses the result of Naddef (1984) on polytopes and the result of Chepoi (2007) on basis graphs of even delta-matroids, and the other is a direct proof using various properties of even delta-matroids. Our theorems generalize the analogous results for matroids by Holzmann and Harary (1972) and Bondy and Ingleton (1976).Comment: 10 pages, 2 figures. Corrected a typ

Large Global Volatility Matrix Analysis Based on Structural Information

In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different trading hours in the international financial market. However, this approach can lead to inefficiency due to information loss. To mitigate this problem, our proposed method, called Structured Principal Orthogonal complEment Thresholding (Structured-POET), incorporates structural information for both global and national factor models. We establish the asymptotic properties of the Structured-POET estimator, and also demonstrate the drawbacks of conventional covariance matrix estimation procedures when using lower-frequency data. Finally, we apply the Structured-POET estimator to an out-of-sample portfolio allocation study using international stock market data