44 research outputs found
genomic and behavioural evolution in the artificial ecosystem simulation EcoSim
Artificial life evolutionary systems facilitate addressing lots of fundamental questions in evolutionary genetics. Behavioral adaptation requires long term evolution with continuous emergence of new traits, governed by natural selection. We model organism\u27s genomes coding for their behavioral model and represented by fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM), in an individual-based evolutionary ecosystem simulation (EcoSim). The emergent of new traits (genes) in EcoSim is examined by studying their effect on individual\u27s fitness and well being. We examine how the new traits are used to predict the value of fitness using machine learning techniques. A comparison between the genomic evolution of EcoSim and a neutral model (a randomized version of EcoSim) is examined focusing on their respective genomic diversity. In order to further emphasize the importance of genetic diversity to adaptation and thus the well being of individuals, we were encouraged to study the effect that genetic diversity has on fitness. EcoSim gives us the chance to study the relation between species genetic diversity and average species fitness without the limits in environmental conditions and time scales found in biological studies, but in highly variable environments and across evolutionary time. The ecological effects of predator removal and its consequence on prey behavior have been investigated widely. We investigated the effects of predation risk on prey energy allocation and fitness. Here the role of predator removal on the contemporary evolution of prey traits such as movement, reproduction and foraging was evaluated. Our study clearly shows that predation risk alone induces behavioural changes in prey which drastically affect population and community dynamics, A classification algorithm was used to demonstrate the difference between genomes belonging to prey co-evolving with predators and prey evolving in the absence of predation pressure. We argue that predator introductions to naive prey might be destabilizing if prey have evolved and adapted to the absence of predators. Our results suggest that both predator introduction and predator removal from an ecosystem have widespread effects on the survival and evolution of prey by altering their genomes and behaviour, even after relatively short time intervals
Numerical nonlinear analysis of RC beans with un-strengthened and CFRP-strengthened opening drilled under service loads within shear zones
Current research paper deals with reinforced concrete (R.C.) beams numerical modeling and suggested strengthening procedure if it is required to create an opening within their shear zones. Strengthening is assumed to be achieved during different service load application conditions. Reinforced Concrete beams with rectangular or circular opening in shear zone; as critical regions; sustain two concentrated system of loads are tested till failure before and after performing suggested opening assessing technique by means of Carbon Fibers Reinforced Polymer sheets (CFRP). The main aim of this research is simulating real practice situation where the beam is subjected to service loads, supported temporary by means of hydraulic jacks, opening is created and strengthening is performed then jacking supports are released. Results of achieved numerical nonlinear modeling are introduced and influence of strengthening achieving on improving assessed beams almost structural behavior such as initial cracking loads, load deflection curves, cracking patterns, failure loads & modes for reference (without opening), main un-strengthened control beams, and CFRP strengthened opening beams are introduced and analyzed in details. Some important conclusions & recommendations for designer and executive engineers are stated
Early Cerebrovascular Silent Changes in Long-Standing End-Stage Renal Disease Patients on Hemodialysis Value of Adding Advanced Unenhanced MRI Sequences to Imaging Protocols
Background: End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD) patients on hemodialysis suffered from many central and peripheral neurological insults.
Aim of the work:This study aimed to assess the value of using MRA, MRV, and SWAN sequences in early visualization of the silent cerebrovascular complications in those patients.
Patients and Methods: Our study was conducted on forty-five patients with well-documented ESRD on regular hemodialysis for more than 5 years with no neurological manifestation, all undergone unenhanced MRI, DWI with ADC and measuring the ADC value, SWAN, MRA, and MRV.
Results: we found that 11% of cases have acute infarction at the basal ganglia region. 36.7% of patients are diagnosed with intracerebral hemorrhage, only 26.7% of them are seen by the conventional MRI, and 16.7% of cases showed microbleeds on SWAN with normal conventional MRI. The sensitivity and specificity of SWAN with ADC value to detect brain hemorrhage are 100% and 88.8% respectively.
Conclusion: Visualization of cerebrovascular complications such as infarction, hemorrhage, atherosclerosis, and arterial and venous occlusion using DWI with ADC, MRA, MRV, and SWAN and is very useful in early management and better prognosis of ESRD patients even with silent complications that don’t give up symptoms with high sensitivity and specificity of SWAN in early detection of hemorrhage and microbleeds
High-resolution Melting Curve (HRM) analysis in genotypic discrimination of Cryptosporidium isolates from stool of Egyptian children
Cryptosporidiosis is a recognized child infectious killer and the second cause of diarrheal disease and death in infants. Assessing Cryptosporidium spp. genetic diversity is a real goal to elucidate its transmission dynamics and to design preventive measures in absence of effective treatment. Cryptosporidium isolates in stool of Egyptian children were detected using Acid Fast (AF) staining, copro-nPCR/RFLP assay and real time PCR high-resolution melting (HRM) curve analysis assay. Stool samples were collected from 335 children complaining of diarrhea and other GIT symptoms, attending the outpatient clinic of Abu El Reesh hospital, Kasr Al-Ainy School of Medicine, Cairo University. Two genotypes C. hominis and C. parvum were identified in 43 isolates from Egyptian children by copro-nPCR targeting COWP gene and HRM assay. Real time PCR HRM curve analysis, a closed-tube genotyping method, targeting ITS-2 gene confirmed the results of copro-nPCR/RFLP. It is simple, rapid, has more sample throughput, analysis capacities and data storage with less carry-over contamination and cost
Numerical nonlinear analysis of RC beams with un-strengthened and CFRP-strengthened opening drilled under service loads within shear zones
The current research deals with the Reinforced Concrete (RC) beams numerical modeling using the finite element analysis software ANSYS-standard and the proposed strengthening procedure if it is urgently required to drill rectangular or circular in shape openings within their shear zones under different applied service loads levels. The shear zone is selected to investigate drilling the opening within since it is a critical zone to reduce the structural section effective area against shear. The RC beams are analyzed under two concentrated loads till failure before and after applying the proposed opening strengthening technique by means of the Carbon Fibers Reinforced Polymer sheets (CFRP). The main aim of this research is simulating the real practice situation conditions where the RC beam is subjected to the service loads, supported temporary by means of hydraulic jacks, the opening is drilled and then the strengthening is performed after which the jacking supports are released. The used finite element modeling (FEM) is verified using one of the available experimental studies of FRP-strengthened simply supported beams with and without openings which found in the literature before achieving the investigation. The results of proposed numerical nonlinear modeling are introduced. Many aspects of structural analysis such as the initial cracking loads, load deflection curves, cracking patterns and failure loads and modes for the reference (solid without opening) and un-strengthened and strengthened opening main control and services loaded RC beams are introduced and analyzed in details. CFRP opening strengthening improved the beams structural behavior as a whole. The service loads up to about 40% of the ultimate design strength relatively have an unnoticeable influence on the strengthened opening RC beams bearing capacities regardless the opening shape. Some important conclusions and recommendations for designer and executive engineers are stated
Hybrid model of intensive lifestyle intervention is potentially effective in patients with diabetes & obesity for post-COVID era
The Weight Achievement and Intensive Treatment (Why WAIT) program is a 12-week multidisciplinary intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) for patients with diabetes and obesity in real-world clinical practice that has led to long-term weight loss maintenance for up to 10 years. During COVID-19, we reported that a virtual model (VM) of the program was equally effective in reducing body weight and improving glycemic control. Here, we test a newly-introduced hybrid model (HM), to accommodate ongoing restrictions of the pandemic. We evaluated 56 participants: 18 from HM, 16 from VM and 22 from the in-person model (iPM). At 12 weeks, mean change in body weight from baseline for HM was -8.2 ± 5.0 kg; p<0.001. Mean change in A1C for HM was -0.6 ± 0.6%; p=0.002. There were no significant differences in body weight reduction (p=0.7) or A1C reduction (p=0.6) between groups. Blood pressure, lipid profile, and all other parameters showed improvements without significant differences between groups. Overall, HM is as effective as VM and iPM in reducing body weight and A1C after 12 weeks. Given its scalability, HM could be offered to more patients with diabetes and obesity who may benefit from its increased flexibility and enhanced accountability without compromising the multidisciplinary approach for a post-COVID era
Loss of symmetric cell division of apical neural progenitors drives DENND5A-related developmental and epileptic encephalopathy.
Developmental and epileptic encephalopathies (DEEs) feature altered brain development, developmental delay and seizures, with seizures exacerbating developmental delay. Here we identify a cohort with biallelic variants in DENND5A, encoding a membrane trafficking protein, and develop animal models with phenotypes like the human syndrome. We demonstrate that DENND5A interacts with Pals1/MUPP1, components of the Crumbs apical polarity complex required for symmetrical division of neural progenitor cells. Human induced pluripotent stem cells lacking DENND5A fail to undergo symmetric cell division with an inherent propensity to differentiate into neurons. These phenotypes result from misalignment of the mitotic spindle in apical neural progenitors. Cells lacking DENND5A orient away from the proliferative apical domain surrounding the ventricles, biasing daughter cells towards a more fate-committed state, ultimately shortening the period of neurogenesis. This study provides a mechanism for DENND5A-related DEE that may be generalizable to other developmental conditions and provides variant-specific clinical information for physicians and families
Mapping development and health effects of cooking with solid fuels in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000-18 : a geospatial modelling study
Background More than 3 billion people do not have access to clean energy and primarily use solid fuels to cook. Use of solid fuels generates household air pollution, which was associated with more than 2 million deaths in 2019. Although local patterns in cooking vary systematically, subnational trends in use of solid fuels have yet to be comprehensively analysed. We estimated the prevalence of solid-fuel use with high spatial resolution to explore subnational inequalities, assess local progress, and assess the effects on health in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) without universal access to clean fuels.Methods We did a geospatial modelling study to map the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking at a 5 km x 5 km resolution in 98 LMICs based on 2.1 million household observations of the primary cooking fuel used from 663 population-based household surveys over the years 2000 to 2018. We use observed temporal patterns to forecast household air pollution in 2030 and to assess the probability of attaining the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target indicator for clean cooking. We aligned our estimates of household air pollution to geospatial estimates of ambient air pollution to establish the risk transition occurring in LMICs. Finally, we quantified the effect of residual primary solid-fuel use for cooking on child health by doing a counterfactual risk assessment to estimate the proportion of deaths from lower respiratory tract infections in children younger than 5 years that could be associated with household air pollution.Findings Although primary reliance on solid-fuel use for cooking has declined globally, it remains widespread. 593 million people live in districts where the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking exceeds 95%. 66% of people in LMICs live in districts that are not on track to meet the SDG target for universal access to clean energy by 2030. Household air pollution continues to be a major contributor to particulate exposure in LMICs, and rising ambient air pollution is undermining potential gains from reductions in the prevalence of solid-fuel use for cooking in many countries. We estimated that, in 2018, 205000 (95% uncertainty interval 147000-257000) children younger than 5 years died from lower respiratory tract infections that could be attributed to household air pollution.Interpretation Efforts to accelerate the adoption of clean cooking fuels need to be substantially increased and recalibrated to account for subnational inequalities, because there are substantial opportunities to improve air quality and avert child mortality associated with household air pollution. Copyright (C) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.Peer reviewe
Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019 : A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Background
Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) involves all people receiving the health services they need, of high quality, without experiencing financial hardship. Making progress towards UHC is a policy priority for both countries and global institutions, as highlighted by the agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13). Measuring effective coverage at the health-system level is important for understanding whether health services are aligned with countries' health profiles and are of sufficient quality to produce health gains for populations of all ages.
Methods
Based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we assessed UHC effective coverage for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Drawing from a measurement framework developed through WHO's GPW13 consultation, we mapped 23 effective coverage indicators to a matrix representing health service types (eg, promotion, prevention, and treatment) and five population-age groups spanning from reproductive and newborn to older adults (≥65 years). Effective coverage indicators were based on intervention coverage or outcome-based measures such as mortality-to-incidence ratios to approximate access to quality care; outcome-based measures were transformed to values on a scale of 0–100 based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile of location-year values. We constructed the UHC effective coverage index by weighting each effective coverage indicator relative to its associated potential health gains, as measured by disability-adjusted life-years for each location-year and population-age group. For three tests of validity (content, known-groups, and convergent), UHC effective coverage index performance was generally better than that of other UHC service coverage indices from WHO (ie, the current metric for SDG indicator 3.8.1 on UHC service coverage), the World Bank, and GBD 2017. We quantified frontiers of UHC effective coverage performance on the basis of pooled health spending per capita, representing UHC effective coverage index levels achieved in 2019 relative to country-level government health spending, prepaid private expenditures, and development assistance for health. To assess current trajectories towards the GPW13 UHC billion target—1 billion more people benefiting from UHC by 2023—we estimated additional population equivalents with UHC effective coverage from 2018 to 2023.
Findings
Globally, performance on the UHC effective coverage index improved from 45·8 (95% uncertainty interval 44·2–47·5) in 1990 to 60·3 (58·7–61·9) in 2019, yet country-level UHC effective coverage in 2019 still spanned from 95 or higher in Japan and Iceland to lower than 25 in Somalia and the Central African Republic. Since 2010, sub-Saharan Africa showed accelerated gains on the UHC effective coverage index (at an average increase of 2·6% [1·9–3·3] per year up to 2019); by contrast, most other GBD super-regions had slowed rates of progress in 2010–2019 relative to 1990–2010. Many countries showed lagging performance on effective coverage indicators for non-communicable diseases relative to those for communicable diseases and maternal and child health, despite non-communicable diseases accounting for a greater proportion of potential health gains in 2019, suggesting that many health systems are not keeping pace with the rising non-communicable disease burden and associated population health needs. In 2019, the UHC effective coverage index was associated with pooled health spending per capita (r=0·79), although countries across the development spectrum had much lower UHC effective coverage than is potentially achievable relative to their health spending. Under maximum efficiency of translating health spending into UHC effective coverage performance, countries would need to reach adjusted for purchasing power parity) in order to achieve 80 on the UHC effective coverage index. From 2018 to 2023, an estimated 388·9 million (358·6–421·3) more population equivalents would have UHC effective coverage, falling well short of the GPW13 target of 1 billion more people benefiting from UHC during this time. Current projections point to an estimated 3·1 billion (3·0–3·2) population equivalents still lacking UHC effective coverage in 2023, with nearly a third (968·1 million [903·5–1040·3]) residing in south Asia.
Interpretation
The present study demonstrates the utility of measuring effective coverage and its role in supporting improved health outcomes for all people—the ultimate goal of UHC and its achievement. Global ambitions to accelerate progress on UHC service coverage are increasingly unlikely unless concerted action on non-communicable diseases occurs and countries can better translate health spending into improved performance. Focusing on effective coverage and accounting for the world's evolving health needs lays the groundwork for better understanding how close—or how far—all populations are in benefiting from UHC
Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Background
Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) involves all people receiving the health services they need, of high quality, without experiencing financial hardship. Making progress towards UHC is a policy priority for both countries and global institutions, as highlighted by the agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13). Measuring effective coverage at the health-system level is important for understanding whether health services are aligned with countries' health profiles and are of sufficient quality to produce health gains for populations of all ages.
Methods
Based on the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, we assessed UHC effective coverage for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Drawing from a measurement framework developed through WHO's GPW13 consultation, we mapped 23 effective coverage indicators to a matrix representing health service types (eg, promotion, prevention, and treatment) and five population-age groups spanning from reproductive and newborn to older adults (≥65 years). Effective coverage indicators were based on intervention coverage or outcome-based measures such as mortality-to-incidence ratios to approximate access to quality care; outcome-based measures were transformed to values on a scale of 0–100 based on the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile of location-year values. We constructed the UHC effective coverage index by weighting each effective coverage indicator relative to its associated potential health gains, as measured by disability-adjusted life-years for each location-year and population-age group. For three tests of validity (content, known-groups, and convergent), UHC effective coverage index performance was generally better than that of other UHC service coverage indices from WHO (ie, the current metric for SDG indicator 3.8.1 on UHC service coverage), the World Bank, and GBD 2017. We quantified frontiers of UHC effective coverage performance on the basis of pooled health spending per capita, representing UHC effective coverage index levels achieved in 2019 relative to country-level government health spending, prepaid private expenditures, and development assistance for health. To assess current trajectories towards the GPW13 UHC billion target—1 billion more people benefiting from UHC by 2023—we estimated additional population equivalents with UHC effective coverage from 2018 to 2023.
Findings
Globally, performance on the UHC effective coverage index improved from 45·8 (95% uncertainty interval 44·2–47·5) in 1990 to 60·3 (58·7–61·9) in 2019, yet country-level UHC effective coverage in 2019 still spanned from 95 or higher in Japan and Iceland to lower than 25 in Somalia and the Central African Republic. Since 2010, sub-Saharan Africa showed accelerated gains on the UHC effective coverage index (at an average increase of 2·6% [1·9–3·3] per year up to 2019); by contrast, most other GBD super-regions had slowed rates of progress in 2010–2019 relative to 1990–2010. Many countries showed lagging performance on effective coverage indicators for non-communicable diseases relative to those for communicable diseases and maternal and child health, despite non-communicable diseases accounting for a greater proportion of potential health gains in 2019, suggesting that many health systems are not keeping pace with the rising non-communicable disease burden and associated population health needs. In 2019, the UHC effective coverage index was associated with pooled health spending per capita (r=0·79), although countries across the development spectrum had much lower UHC effective coverage than is potentially achievable relative to their health spending. Under maximum efficiency of translating health spending into UHC effective coverage performance, countries would need to reach adjusted for purchasing power parity) in order to achieve 80 on the UHC effective coverage index. From 2018 to 2023, an estimated 388·9 million (358·6–421·3) more population equivalents would have UHC effective coverage, falling well short of the GPW13 target of 1 billion more people benefiting from UHC during this time. Current projections point to an estimated 3·1 billion (3·0–3·2) population equivalents still lacking UHC effective coverage in 2023, with nearly a third (968·1 million [903·5–1040·3]) residing in south Asia.
Interpretation
The present study demonstrates the utility of measuring effective coverage and its role in supporting improved health outcomes for all people—the ultimate goal of UHC and its achievement. Global ambitions to accelerate progress on UHC service coverage are increasingly unlikely unless concerted action on non-communicable diseases occurs and countries can better translate health spending into improved performance. Focusing on effective coverage and accounting for the world's evolving health needs lays the groundwork for better understanding how close—or how far—all populations are in benefiting from UHC