Longitudinal profile of antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 in patients with COVID-19 in a setting from Sub-Saharan Africa: A prospective longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND Serological testing for SARS-CoV-2 plays an important role for epidemiological studies, in aiding the diagnosis of COVID-19, and assess vaccine responses. Little is known on dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 serology in African settings. Here, we aimed to characterize the longitudinal antibody response profile to SARS-CoV-2 in Ethiopia. METHODS In this prospective study, a total of 102 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients were enrolled. We obtained 802 plasma samples collected serially. SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were determined using four lateral flow immune-assays (LFIAs), and an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay. We determined longitudinal antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 as well as seroconversion dynamics. RESULTS Serological positivity rate ranged between 12%-91%, depending on timing after symptom onset. There was no difference in positivity rate between severe and non-severe COVID-19 cases. The specificity ranged between 90%-97%. Agreement between different assays ranged between 84%-92%. The estimated positive predictive value (PPV) for IgM or IgG in a scenario with seroprevalence at 5% varies from 33% to 58%. Nonetheless, when the population seroprevalence increases to 25% and 50%, there is a corresponding increases in the estimated PPVs. The estimated negative-predictive value (NPV) in a low seroprevalence scenario (5%) is high (>99%). However, the estimated NPV in a high seroprevalence scenario (50%) for IgM or IgG is reduced significantly to 80% to 85%. Overall, 28/102 (27.5%) seroconverted by one or more assays tested, within a median time of 11 (IQR: 9-15) days post symptom onset. The median seroconversion time among symptomatic cases tended to be shorter when compared to asymptomatic patients [9 (IQR: 6-11) vs. 15 (IQR: 13-21) days; p = 0.002]. Overall, seroconversion reached 100% 5.5 weeks after the onset of symptoms. Notably, of the remaining 74 COVID-19 patients included in the cohort, 64 (62.8%) were positive for antibody at the time of enrollment, and 10 (9.8%) patients failed to mount a detectable antibody response by any of the assays tested during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS Longitudinal assessment of antibody response in African COVID-19 patients revealed heterogeneous responses. This underscores the need for a comprehensive evaluation of seroassays before implementation. Factors associated with failure to seroconvert needs further research

Effect of co-infection with intestinal parasites on COVID-19 severity: A prospective observational cohort study

Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection results in a spectrum of clinical presentations. Evidence from Africa indicates that significantly less COVID-19 patients suffer from serious symptoms than in the industrialized world. We and others previously postulated a partial explanation for this phenomenon, being a different, more activated immune system due to parasite infections. Here, we aimed to test this hypothesis by investigating a potential correlation of co-infection with parasites with COVID-19 severity in an endemic area in Africa. Methods: Ethiopian COVID-19 patients were enrolled and screened for intestinal parasites, between July 2020 and March 2021. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with severe COVID-19. Ordinal logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between parasite infection, and COVID-19 severity. Models were adjusted for sex, age, residence, education level, occupation, body mass index, and comorbidities. Findings: 751 SARS-CoV-2 infected patients were enrolled, of whom 284 (37.8%) had intestinal parasitic infection. Only 27/255 (10.6%) severe COVID-19 patients were co-infected with intestinal parasites, while 257/496 (51.8%) non-severe COVID-19 patients were parasite positive (p<0.0001). Patients co-infected with parasites had lower odds of developing severe COVID-19, with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 0.23 (95% CI 0.17–0.30; p<0.0001) for all parasites, aOR 0.37 ([95% CI 0.26–0.51]; p<0.0001) for protozoa, and aOR 0.26 ([95% CI 0.19–0.35]; p<0.0001) for helminths. When stratified by species, co-infection with Entamoeba spp., Hymenolepis nana, Schistosoma mansoni, and Trichuris trichiura implied lower probability of developing severe COVID-19. There were 11 deaths (1.5%), and all were among patients without parasites (p = 0.009). Interpretation: Parasite co-infection is associated with a reduced risk of severe COVID-19 in African patients. Parasite-driven immunomodulatory responses may mute hyper-inflammation associated with severe COVID-19. Funding: European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP) – European Union, and Joep Lange Institute (JLI), The Netherlands

The role of rk39 serologic test in the diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis in a Tertiary Hospital, Northern Ethiopia

Abstract Background The study is done in Ayder Referral Hospital in Northern Ethiopia. Ethiopia is one of the countries where visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is endemic. Diagnosis of VL in Ethiopia is primarily based on rK39 immunochromatographic (rk39-ICT) strip. This test has been shown to have variable sensitivity and specificity in different countries. Hence the objective of the study is to determine the sensitivity and specificity of rk39-ICT in the diagnosis of VL in our set up. The study participants were VL suspected patients admitted to the hospital. A cross sectional study design was used. The study was conducted from January 14, 2013 to June 26, 2015. The rK39-ICT strip used was the InBios brand. Ethical clearance was obtained from the IRB of the college and written consent was obtained from the individual patients. Results A total of 62 VL suspects were involved in the study. The mean age was 26.3 years (SD = 6.94 years) with a median age of 25.5 years. Sixty-one (98.4%) of the patients was males. The rK39-ICT was positive in 50 (80.6%) of the patients. Splenic aspiration was positive in 44 (71%) of the patients. In 37 (59.7%) of the patients both rK39 and splenic aspiration were positive. Thirteen (21%) of the patients had positive rK39 but negative splenic aspiration. Five (8.1%) of the patients had both negative rK39 and splenic aspiration however seven (11.3%) of the patients had rk39 negative but splenic aspiration positive. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and the negative predictive value of rK39-ICT, taking splenic aspiration as a gold standard test, is 84.1% (95% CI 69.9–93.4%), 27.8% (95% CI 9.7–53.5%), 74.0% (95% CI 60–85.4%) and 41.7% (95% CI 15.2–72.3%) respectively. Conclusion Sensitivity of rK39-ICT is low and its specificity is poor in our set up. Significant number of patients with confirmed VL did not have travel history to endemic areas. We recommend that the rK39-ICT needs improvement for clinical use in our set up and case definition for visceral leishmaniasis in Ethiopia needs to be revisited

Immune recovery in HIV-1 infected patients with sustained viral suppression under long-term antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia.

BackgroundThere is very little data on long-term immune recovery responses in patients on suppressive antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the setting of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Thus, we sought to determine CD4+ T-cell, CD8+ T-cell and CD4/CD8 ratio responses in a cohort of HIV infected individuals on sustained suppressive ART followed up for more than a decade.MethodsThe cohort comprised adult patients who started ART between 2001 and 2007 and followed for up to 14 years. Trends in median CD4+ T-cells, CD8+ T-cells and CD4/CD8 ratio were reviewed retrospectively. Poisson regression models were used to identify factors associated with achieving normalized T-cell biomarkers. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the probability of attaining normalized counts while on suppressive ART.ResultsA total of 227 patients with a median duration of follow-up on ART of 12 (IQR: 10.5-13.0) years were included. CD4 cell count increased from baseline median of 138 cells (IQR: 70-202) to 555 cells (IQR: 417-830). CD4 cell increased continuously up until 5 years, after which it plateaued up until 14 years of follow up. Only 69.6% normalized their CD4 cell count within a median of 6.5 (IQR: 3.0-10.5) years. In addition, only 15.9% of the cohort were able to achieve the median reference CD4+ T-cell threshold count in Ethiopians (≈760 cells/μL). CD8+ T-cell counts increased initially until year 1, after which continuous decrease was ascertained. CD4/CD8 ratio trend revealed continuous increase throughout the course of ART, and increased from a median baseline of 0.14 (IQR: 0.09-0.22) to a median of 0.70 (IQR: 0.42-0.95). However, only 12.3% normalized their ratio (≥ 1.0) after a median of 11.5 years. In addition, only 8.8% of the cohort were able to achieve the median reference ratio of healthy Ethiopians.ConclusionDetermination of both CD4+ and CD8+ T-cells, along with CD4/CD8 ratio is highly relevant in long-term follow-up of patients to assess immune recovery. Monitoring ratio levels may serve as a better biomarker risk for disease progression among patients on long-term ART. In addition, the findings emphasize the relevance of initiation of ART at the early stage of HIV-1 infection

Role of CD4/CD8 ratio on the incidence of tuberculosis in HIV-infected patients on antiretroviral therapy followed up for more than a decade.

BACKGROUND:The role of CD4/CD8 ratio on the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) in patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) is unknown. Thus, we sought to determine whether the CD4/CD8 ratio was associated with development of TB in a cohort of HIV infected individuals on ART followed up for more than a decade in the setting of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). METHODS:The cohort comprised adult patients who started ART between 2001 and 2007 and followed for up to 15 years. Clinical data were collected in retrospective manner. Patients with an AIDS defining illness or a CD4 count <200 cell/μL were started with a combination of ART. The participants have clinic visits every 6 months and/or as needed. Poisson regression models were used to identify factors associated with development of incident TB. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the probability of incident TB while on ART. RESULTS:A total of 347 patients with a median duration of follow-up on ART of 11.5 (IQR: 10.0-12.5) years were included. Incident TB developed in 47 patients during the 3259 person-years of follow-up, the majority (76.6%) occurred within five year of ART initiation. On univariate analysis, poor ART adherence (RR:2.57, 95% CI: 1.28-5.17), time-updated CD4 cell count of lower than 200 (RR: 4.86, 95%CI 2.33-10.15), or CD4 cell count between 200 and 500 (RR: 4.68, 95% CI: 2.17-10.09), time-updated CD8 cell count lower than 500 (RR: 2.83 95% CI 1.31-6.10), or CD8 cell count over 1000 (RR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.12-4.45), time-updated CD4/CD8 ratio of less than 0.30 (RR: 6.00, 95% CI: 2.96-12.14), lack of normalization of CD4 T-cell count (RR: 6.13, 95% CI: 2.20-17.07), and virological failure (RR: 2.35 (95% CI: 1.17-4.71) were all associated with increased risk of incident TB. In multivariate analysis, however, time-updated CD4/CD8 ratio of less than 0.30 (adjusted RR: 4.08, 95% CI: 1.31-12.68) was the only factor associated with increased risk of developing incident TB (p = 0.015). Similar results were obtained in a sensitivity analysis by including only those virally suppressed patients (n = 233, 69% of all patients). In this group, CD4/CD8 ratio of less than 0.30 was associated with development of incident TB (adjusted RR: 4.02, 95% CI: 1.14-14.19, p = 0.031). Overall, the incidence rate of TB in patients with an updated CD4/CD8 ratio of less than 0.30 was more than 5-fold higher when compared with those with a ratio more than 0.45. CONCLUSION:Low CD4/CD8 ratio is independently associated with an increased risk of incident TB despite viral suppression. CD4/CD8 ratio may serve as a biomarker for identifying patients at risk of TB in patients on ART in the setting of SSA

Effect of rK39 testing in guiding treatment initiation and outcome in patients with visceral leishmaniasis in Ethiopia: A prospective cohort study

Background The rapid diagnostic test (RDT) rK39 is currently being used for routine diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in East Africa. However, continuous monitoring of the performance of the assay, in particular its impact on the clinical decision in initiating anti-leishmanial treatment and outcomes remains needed as there are concerns about the diagnostic performance of this test. Methods VL patients prospectively enrolled in a diagnostic trial and with rK39 RDT were included. We evaluated the effect of rK39 testing in guiding treatment initiation and outcome. On the basis of rK39 RDT test result as well as clinical case definition for VL and microscopy examination, the clinicians decide whether to initiate VL therapy or not. Poisson regression models were used to identify factors associated with a decision to initiate VL therapy. In addition, treatment outcomes of those who received VL therapy were compared to those who received non-VL treatment. Results Of 324 VL suspects enrolled, 184 (56.8%) were rK39+ and 140 (43.2%) were rK39-. In addition, microscopy exam was done on tissue aspirates from a sub-population (140 individuals), which is 43.2% of the suspected cases, comprising of 117 (63.6%) rK39+ and only 23 (16.4%) rK39- cases. Of those with microscopy examination, only 87 (62.1%) were found positive. Among 184 (56.8%) patients without microscopy, 67 (36.4%) were rK39+, of whom 83 (65.9%) were positive by microscopy, 21 (16.7%) were negative by microscopy and 22 (17.5%) had no microscopy results. On the other hand, of those who did not receive VL treatment 58/189 (30.7%) were rK39+ and 131 (69.3%) were rK39-. Of the rK39+ cases who did not receive VL therapy, only 1 (1.7%) patient was microscopy positive, 12 (20.7%) were negative and 45 (77.6%) patients had no microscopy result. Of the rK39- cases (n = 131) who did not receive VL treatment, 16 were microscopy negative and 115 without microscopy exams. Whereas positive rK39 result [adjusted Relative Risk (aRR) 0.69; 95% CI: 0.49-0.96, p = 0.029] and positive microscopy results (aRR 0.03; 95% CI: 0.00-0.24, p = 0.001) were independently associated with VL treatment, having confirmed diagnosis other than VL (aRR 1.64; 95% CI: 1.09-2.46, p = 0.018) was independently associated with initiation of non-VL therapy. The proportion of rK39+ patients who received non-VL treatment with no improvement outcome was significantly higher when compared to those who received VL treatment (24.1%, 95% CI: 14.62-37.16 vs. 11.9%, 95%CI: 7.26-18.93; p<0.0001). Conclusion The study shows that a significant proportion of patients with rK39+ results were undertreated. Failure to do microscopy was associated with lack of improved clinical outcome. Including an additional simple point-of-care assay in the diagnostic work-up is urgently needed to correctly identify VL cases and to prevent morbidity and mortality associated with the disease

Utility of the loop-mediated isothermal amplification assay for the diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis from blood samples in Ethiopia

Rapid and accurate diagnosis of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is needed to initiate prompt treatment to reduce morbidity and mortality. Here, we evaluated the performance of loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) assay for the diagnosis of VL from blood in an endemic area in Ethiopia. LAMP was positive in 117/122 confirmed VL cases and negative in 149/152 controls, resulting in a sensitivity of 95.9% (95% CI: 90.69-98.66) and a specificity of 98.0% (95% CI: 94.34-99.59), respectively. The sensitivity of the LAMP assay was 95.0% (95% CI: 88.61-98.34) in HIV-negatives and 100% (95% CI: 85.18-100.0) in HIV-positives. Compared with microscopy, LAMP detected 82/87 (94.3%, 95% CI: 87.10-98.11) of the microscopy1 cases and was negative in 11/27 (40.7%, 95% CI: 22.39-61.20) of the microscopy2 cases. Compared with the rK39 serology, LAMP detected 113/120 (94.2%, 95% CI: 88.35-97.62) of the rK391 cases and was negative in 149/154 (96.8%, 95% CI: 92.59-98.94) of the rK392 cases. However, when compared with microscopy only, rK39 detected 83/87 (95.4%, 95% CI: 88.64-98.73) of the microscopy1 cases and negative in only 12/27 (44.4%, 95% CI: 25.48-64.67) of the microscopy- cases. There was an excellent agreement between rK39 and LAMP (Kappa 5 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86-0.96). Furthermore, an algorithm using rK39 followed by LAMP would yield a sensitivity of 99.2% (95%CI: 95.52-99.89) and a specificity of 98.0% (95% CI: 94.34-99.59). The findings demonstrate that LAMP assay is an accurate and rapid molecular assay for VL diagnosis, including in HIV-1 coinfected patients, in an endemic setting

Clinical features and risk factors associated with morbidity and mortality among patients with COVID-19 in northern Ethiopia

Objective: To describe the clinical features and assess the determinants of severity and in-hospital mortality of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from a unique setting in Ethiopia. Methods: Consecutive patients admitted to a COVID-19 isolation and treatment centre were included in this study. The overall clinical spectrum of COVID-19, and factors associated with risk of severe COVID-19 and in-hospital mortality were analysed. Results: Of 2617 quarantined patients, three-quarters (n = 1935, 74%) were asymptomatic and only 114 (4.4%) presented with severe COVID-19. Common characteristics among the 682 symptomatic patients were cough (n = 354, 50.6%), myalgia (n = 212, 31.1%), headache (n = 196, 28.7%), fever (n = 161, 23.6%), dyspnoea (n = 111, 16.3%), anosmia and/or dysgeusia (n = 90, 13.2%), sore throat (n = 87, 12.8%) and chest pain (n = 77, 11.3%). Factors associated with severe COVID-19 were older age [adjusted relative risk (aRR) 1.78, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.61–1.97; P < 0.0001], diabetes (aRR 2.00, 95% CI 1.20–3.32; P = 0.007), cardiovascular disease (aRR 2.53, 95% CI 1.53–4.17; P < 0.0001), malignancy (aRR 4.57, 95% CI 1.62–12.87; P = 0.004), surgery/trauma (aRR 23.98, 95% CI 10.35–55.57; P < 0.0001) and human immunodeficiency virus infection (aRR 4.24, 95% CI 1.55–11.61; P = 005). Factors associated with risk of in-hospital mortality included older age (aRR 2.37, 95% CI 1.90–2.95; P < 0.001), malignancy (aRR 6.73, 95% CI 1.50–30.16; P = 0.013) and surgery/trauma (aRR 59.52, 95% CI 12.90–274.68; P < 0.0001). Conclusions: A significant proportion of cases of COVID-19 were asymptomatic, and key comorbid conditions increased the risk of severe COVID-19 and in-hospital mortality. These findings could help in the design of appropriate management strategies for patients

Longitudinal profile of antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 in patients with COVID-19 in a setting from Sub-Saharan Africa: A prospective longitudinal study

BACKGROUND: Serological testing for SARS-CoV-2 plays an important role for epidemiological studies, in aiding the diagnosis of COVID-19, and assess vaccine responses. Little is known on dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 serology in African settings. Here, we aimed to characterize the longitudinal antibody response profile to SARS-CoV-2 in Ethiopia. METHODS: In this prospective study, a total of 102 PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients were enrolled. We obtained 802 plasma samples collected serially. SARS-CoV-2 antibodies were determined using four lateral flow immune-assays (LFIAs), and an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay. We determined longitudinal antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 as well as seroconversion dynamics. RESULTS: Serological positivity rate ranged between 12%-91%, depending on timing after symptom onset. There was no difference in positivity rate between severe and non-severe COVID-19 cases. The specificity ranged between 90%-97%. Agreement between different assays ranged between 84%-92%. The estimated positive predictive value (PPV) for IgM or IgG in a scenario with seroprevalence at 5% varies from 33% to 58%. Nonetheless, when the population seroprevalence increases to 25% and 50%, there is a corresponding increases in the estimated PPVs. The estimated negative-predictive value (NPV) in a low seroprevalence scenario (5%) is high (>99%). However, the estimated NPV in a high seroprevalence scenario (50%) for IgM or IgG is reduced significantly to 80% to 85%. Overall, 28/102 (27.5%) seroconverted by one or more assays tested, within a median time of 11 (IQR: 9-15) days post symptom onset. The median seroconversion time among symptomatic cases tended to be shorter when compared to asymptomatic patients [9 (IQR: 6-11) vs. 15 (IQR: 13-21) days; p = 0.002]. Overall, seroconversion reached 100% 5.5 weeks after the onset of symptoms. Notably, of the remaining 74 COVID-19 patients included in the cohort, 64 (62.8%) were positive for antibody at the time of enrollment, and 10 (9.8%) patients failed to mount a detectable antibody response by any of the assays tested during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal assessment of antibody response in African COVID-19 patients revealed heterogeneous responses. This underscores the need for a comprehensive evaluation of seroassays before implementation. Factors associated with failure to seroconvert needs further research