199 research outputs found

    Subcritical Randomly Indexed Branching Processes

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    2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 62P05.The paper continues the study of the randomly indexed branching processes in the subcritical case. The asymptotic behavior of the moments and the probability for non-extinction is investigated. Conditional limiting distributions are obtained.The first author wish to thank the Organizing Committee of the ISCPS, SDA, and WBPA 2010 for the financial support which allows him to participate in the conference

    An Estimate of the Probability Pr(X<Y)

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    2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 33C90, 62E99In the area of stress-strength models there has been a large amount of work as regards estimation of the probability R = Pr(X<Y) when X and Y are independent random variables belonging to the same univariate family of distributions. In this paper we propose an estimate of this quantity based on a simple property of the uniform distribution. We illustrate the use of the estimate with bootstrap confidence intervals for four commonly known distributions (normal, exponential, gamma and beta).The third author is supported by by NFSI-Bulgaria, Grant No. MM-1101/2001

    Maximal Number of Successors in a Nginar(1) Process

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    2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 60J20, 60J10, 60G10, 60G70, 60F99.In this paper we obtain upper and lower bounds for normalized sequences of maxima, associated with a stationary integer-valued autoregressive process of first order with geometricmarginals (NGINAR(1) process). These processes are a special case of AR(1) processes and strictly stationary ergodic Markov chains.The first author is partially supported by grant RD–05-333/2010 (RD-07-1028) of Shumen University, Bulgaria

    Characterization of nanodimensional Ni-Zn ferrite prepared by mechanochemical and thermal methods.

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    Nickel zinc ferrite nanoparticles, Ni1−xZnxFe2O4 (x = 0, 0.2, 0.5, 0.8, 1.0), with dimensions below 10 nm have been prepared by combining chemical precipitation with high-energy ball milling. For comparison, their analogues obtained by thermal synthesis have also been studied. Mössbauer spectroscopy, X-ray diffraction, and magnetic measurements are used for the characterization of the obtained materials. X-ray diffraction shows that after 3h of mechanical treatment ferrites containing zinc are formed, while 6h of treatment is needed to obtain NiFe2O4. The magnetic properties of the samples exhibit a strong dependence on the phase composition, particle size and preparation method

    Nonlinear Normalization in Limit Theorems for Extremes

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    2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60G70, 60F05.It is well known that under linear normalization the maxima of iid random variables converges in distribution to one of the three types of max-stable laws: Frechet, Gumbel and Weibull. During the last two decades the first author and her collaborators worked out a limit theory for extremes and extremal processes under non-linear but monotone normalizing mappings. In this model there is only one type of max-stable distributions and all continuous and strictly increasing df's belong to it. In a recent paper on General max-stable laws, Sreehari points out two "confusing" results in Pancheva (1984). They concern the explicit form of a max-stable df with respect to a continuous one-parameter group of max-automorphisms, and domain of attraction conditions. In the present paper the first claim is answered by a detailed explanation of the explicit form, while for the second we give a revised proof. The rate of convergence is also discussed

    Total Progeny in a Subcritical Branching Process with two Types of Immigration

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    2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 60F05We consider subcritical Bellman-Harris branching processes with two types of immigration - one appears whenever the process hits zero state and an other one is in accordance of an independent renewal process. The law of large numbers (LLN) for the total progeny of these processes and Anscombe's type central limit theorem (CLT) for the total number of particles in the cycles completely finished by the moment t are obtained.The paper is supported by NFSI-Bulgaria, Grant No. MM-1101/2001

    PIN36 Six Years Observational Study of the Cost of Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy and HIV/AIDS Control

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    Content-Based Image Retrieval in Digital Libraries of Art Images Utilizing Colour Semantics

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    Abstract. The paper presents the architecture of experimental Content-Based Image Retrieval (CBIR) system APICAS (&quot;Art Painting Image Colour Aesthetics and Semantics&quot;). This system has been developed within a doctoral thesis which aims to provide a suite of specialized tools for CBIR within a digital library of art images. The high-level architecture suggested in this work takes OAIS as a basis and adds a designated layer to it allowing CBIR functions to be used both within ingest and access to the digital library

    EPIDEMIOLOGICAL, CLINICA.L AND VIROLOGICAL STUDIES ON INFLUENZA MORBIDITY RATES FOR ТНЕ PERIOD APRIL 1962 – МАY 1963 IN ТНЕ СIТУ OF VARNA

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    Тhe epidemic process of influenza acquires vaгious forms in its couгse: pandemics, epidemics аnd sporadic morbidity inbetween epidemics. Wе dispose of mоrе precise data оn its course in Bulgaria since 1952. Мorе scanty аrе the data which characteгize influenza epidemics in the city of Vагnа up to 1955 which is seen on Diagr. 1. From the latter it becomes evident that influenza morbidity rates in the city of Vагnа run parallel to morbidity rates in the whole country, being occasionally morе intensive - 1959, 1962. Тlie diаgrаm reveals high level for influenza morbldity rates fог the countгy and the city of Vаrnа in 1956 and аn epidemic peak in 1957, 1959 аnd 1962. Тhe epidemic peak in 1962 is due to аn influenza outbreak caused bу virus А2 which started at the end of January and continued till Магсh, the same уеаr.After the epidemics а period was established, characteгized bу а low level of influenza morbldity rates in the city of Varna. Stress should bе laid оn the fact that determination of actual levels of influenza morbidity rates inbetween epidemics is particularly difficult owing to the imperfect diagnosis and the diversity of clinical forms of influenza
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